A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 i honestly could see sw lower michigan seeing nothing more than stratiform rain with intracloud lightning. don't waste the gas. that's what i'm expecting in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 i honestly could see sw lower michigan seeing nothing more than stratiform rain with intracloud lightning. don't waste the gas.Unless the models and every forecast out there does a complete 180 in the next 24 hours, still goingSent from my Nexus 6P using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Another thing I've noticed is that the HRRR has a 996 low in Nebraska at 07Z Wed. If correct that is deeper than the 1000 mb low we've been talking about which is still unusually strong for late June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I have family in the Chicago area (south burbs), is this a serious post? Very concerned. I'm in the south burbs. There is plenty of breaking coverage during severe events that so long as you have the tv or radio on, you're going to be informed. Also a lot of people get themselves out on the porch to keep an eye on things. Tough to be caught off guard in such a populated area. My biggest thing during severe events is offering up my basement to friends and family if sirens start going off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Another thing I've noticed is that the HRRR has a 996 low in Nebraska at 07Z Wed. If correct that is deeper than the 1000 mb low we've been talking about which is still unusually strong for late June. HRRR is trying to go nuclear with the MCS over IA tonight, Purduewx has been hinting at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 HRRR is trying to go nuclear with the MCS over IA tonight, Purduewx has been hinting at thatDVN just issued a Flash Flood Watch for that area for tonight and tomorrow morning Sent from my iPhone 6s using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 DVN just issued a Flash Flood Watch for that area for tonight and tomorrow morning Sent from my iPhone 6s using Tapatalk got that look out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 4K NAM has some nasty cells tomorrow, multiple discretes. Central Iowa gonna get the train ran on them hard. Wasn't sure if this was mentioned but rantoul in northtwen Champaign county near Gifford where the F-3 demolished he town on 11-17-13, sustained heavy damage last night during some straight line winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Anyone chasing tomorrow? I'm planning on taking 24 over to Northern IN to possibly WarsawI will probably be staying put until things start to develop (as the possibility exists for them tracking overhead) but thinking of heading towards Morris, Il and see where things go.Edit: that's if the baby holds off... Wife is scheduled for induction this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 4K NAM has some nasty cells tomorrow, multiple discretes. Central Iowa gonna get the train ran on them hard. Wasn't sure if this was mentioned but rantoul in northtwen Champaign county near Gifford where the F-3 demolished he town on 11-17-13, sustained heavy damage last night during some straight line winds. I saw some of the damage on Twitter looked pretty bad. The Weather Radio was going off like crazy last night for that I-74 corridor Sent from my iPhone 6s using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 low way south on the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 low way south on the 18z NAM Looking at dprog/dt, it barely changed position from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knitwx Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Depends on timing and storm motion. Trees and other factors make chasing in Northern Indiana much harder. Once you get East of U.S. 35 it becomes hard to see what is coming toward you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 low way south on the 18z NAM Likely a slight tick south but overall generally the same it has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Louieloy102 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 4K NAM shows some nice supercells for the north side of Chicago 0z tomorrow. edit: mainly heavy rain cells Also lots of precip, nearing 6" of rain in local areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 4K NAM shows some nice supercells for the north side of Chicago 0z tomorrow. Also lots of precip, nearing 6" of rain in local areas. They are north of the warm front it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Probably NW IL, eastern Iowa and over towards Lafayette looks prime for severe. Expecting a moderate rain with a little thunder here. Will be on asperatus cloud watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 elevated hailers for us on the northside and tornadic sups for the south side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 4K NAM shows some nice supercells for the north side of Chicago 0z tomorrow. Also lots of precip, nearing 6" of rain in local areas. Way North of the WF. Nothing fires in the warm sector along the WF until between 0z-03z near Pontiac, IL according to the 18z 4km NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Don't these setups typically end up north of guidance? I remember on a few occasions last year things typically lined up with models, if not a hair north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Probably NW IL, eastern Iowa and over towards Lafayette looks prime for severe. Expecting a moderate rain with a little thunder here. Will be on asperatus cloud watch. I honestly don't know what to expect, it could be a near miss or a very dangerous situation over here and near the heart of Chicago. We will have to carefully watch the models tonight and tomorrow morning's situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Louieloy102 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 elevated hailers for us on the northside and tornadic sups for the south side Agreed 100%. Interesting also to see a line struggle to develop most of the night on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
homedis Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Don't these setups typically end up north of guidance? I remember on a few occasions last year things typically lined up with models, if not a hair north? I thought they usually end up further south? But it doesn't matter, though, this situation is not the same as our regular setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I'll settle for some rain at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I thought they usually end up further south? But it doesn't matter, though, this situation is not the same as our regular setups. Yep to the bolded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I'll settle for some rain at this point We'll probably get a fair amount of the stratiform variety. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 I honestly don't know what to expect, it could be a near miss or a very dangerous situation over here and near the heart of Chicago. We will have to carefully watch the models tonight and tomorrow morning's situation Many thought June 5th 2010 wasn't going to be an event in Michigan. Boy were they wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 If we get convection anything like HRRR is showing tonight into Wed morning, that wf will no doubt be held further south due to cooling outflow. That will only enhance the baroclinity of the front. If any storm rides that front tomorrow there could be big trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 CMH sits just to the east of a severe weather threat scenario.... in other news Trump just offended someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Today is a top shelf summer day though - not a cloud in the sky and the temp in the 80s. Perfect day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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