Amped Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 240 on the euro looks yummy, where would it go from there? Wish they had day 11 and 12. That would be the biggest snowstorm ever from OKC to BOS. Unless of course the northern stream digs 100 miles west, then it would be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Wish they had day 11 and 12. That would be the biggest snowstorm ever from OKC to BOS. Unless of course the northern stream digs 100 miles west, then it would be rain. Ensembles go to Day 15... so maybe we will get a peek there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 240 on the euro looks yummy, where would it go from there? HECS that low is going to try to ride up west of the apps but no way with that 1042 high locked in, its going to be forced east off the mid atl coast in a massive battle that we win out on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Wish they had day 11 and 12. That would be the biggest snowstorm ever from OKC to BOS. Unless of course the northern stream digs 100 miles west, then it would be rain. its not too far from last nights control run that dumped on us. If anything it might be an even better setup at that point. Either way its 10 days away but this run was drool worthy at day 10. Better then seeing some monster ridge over our area like it said we would have by that point a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 its not too far from last nights control run that dumped on us. If anything it might be an even better setup at that point. Either way its 10 days away but this run was drool worthy at day 10. Better then seeing some monster ridge over our area like it said we would have by that point a few days ago. a strong southern stream attacking what looks like severe cold air for us...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 a strong southern stream attacking what looks like severe cold air for us...haha Blizzards come in bunches now. We might get bored of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Upper single digits around the area the morning of 2/15.....as the cloud deck thickens and lowers. I may have to get up from the craps table (2/8-9) and move over to the poker table (2/15). 10-12 days away but I like the odds a little better. Models are pretty united with the idea of a monster arctic high hovering around the can border and not driving down to tenn valley or scooting to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Euro ens are about as bullish as you can get at 10 day leads for a big storm. This long lead signal might be the real deal. D11-12 look even better. Quite a few big hits on the ind members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Euro ens are about as bullish as you can get at 10 day leads for a big storm. This long lead signal might be the real deal. D11-12 look even better. Quite a few big hits on the ind members. Control run is a thing of beauty...which I am sure you saw. It's in the fun to look at range but it sure gets the juices flowing. Could we have two long lead storms this year that the models lock down early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Euro ens are about as bullish as you can get at 10 day leads for a big storm. This long lead signal might be the real deal. D11-12 look even better. Quite a few big hits on the ind members. Bob, the mean snowfall on the ensembles really didn't budge after day 10. If there is such a strong signal, why wouldn't it be reflected on the mean in your opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Bob, the mean snowfall on the ensembles really didn't budge after day 10. If there is such a strong signal, why wouldn't it be reflected on the mean in your opinion? Are we looking at the same mean? It's like almost 3" from d9-14. That's pretty huge for 9-14 days out. Take a look at the member panels. You almost never see so many big hits this far out in time. I'm not saying anything is a lock because that's crazy talk but that's a bullish eps run for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Some really nice members in the EPS.18 members w at least 6" in DC thru the period. Mean around 5-6". E39 please. Thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Are we looking at the same mean? It's like almost 3" from d9-14. That's pretty huge for 9-14 days out. Take a look at the member panels. You almost never see so many big hits this far out in time. I'm not saying anything is a lock because that's crazy talk but that's a bullish eps run for sure. Well I thought I counted 2.5" at bwi, but it could have been 3. It just didn't seem like much at all compared to areas to our north and northeast. I haven't been looking at them but for a couple weeks as you know so I'll defer to your experience with them as to whether that's meaningful at that distance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Are we looking at the same mean? It's like almost 3" from d9-14. That's pretty huge for 9-14 days out. Take a look at the member panels. You almost never see so many big hits this far out in time. I'm not saying anything is a lock because that's crazy talk but that's a bullish eps run for sure. That is a great look @ d10. Strong surface High over SE Canada, a nice block over N Canada/ Greenland, a vortex tucked underneath near NF. Oh and the Pacific looks pretty dang good. I am already looking past next week's convoluted mess lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Also almost a day7 clipper on the GFS if anyone cares It doesn't quite form Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 18z GFS @ 210 hrs is barking...looks similar to EURO....Sweet HP in great spot. When it came to our Blizzard in January the one thing that stood out in the LR was that the models were showing a strong HP in the right spot. Right now the models are showing an even stronger one.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 18z GFS @ 210 hrs is barking...looks similar to EURO....Sweet HP in great spot. When it came to our Blizzard in January the one thing that stood out in the LR was that the models were showing a strong HP in the right spot. Right now the models are showing an even stronger one.... There is some serious cold on the table for next weekend. The high is for real. Good to see that kind of high in mid February. This is time of year that is in our wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 18z GFS @ 210 hrs is barking...looks similar to EURO....Sweet HP in great spot. When it came to our Blizzard in January the one thing that stood out in the LR was that the models were showing a strong HP in the right spot. Right now the models are showing an even stronger one.... 234 looks classic except for the ridge in the gulf, It's snowing anyway with a 1042 over Quebec and a 1006 in western KY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 18z GFS @ 210 hrs is barking...looks similar to EURO....Sweet HP in great spot. When it came to our Blizzard in January the one thing that stood out in the LR was that the models were showing a strong HP in the right spot. Right now the models are showing an even stronger one.... Could to strong be a problem? I'd be afraid it would get surpressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Did the GFS get stuck...It is about to smoke us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Did the GFS get stuck...It is about to smoke us Yeah, I'm much more into this threat than the Miller Bust. It smokes us at 240, but its trying to break through that stout High Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Did the GFS get stuck...It is about to smoke us We get destroyed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Could to strong be a problem? I'd be afraid it would get surpressed. Not on this run, KU storm!! 18hrs of snow ULL still at the IN/OH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2016 Author Share Posted February 5, 2016 Could to strong be a problem? I'd be afraid it would get surpressed. I would never worry about a modeled high 10 days away being too strong. That happens like never. GFS is a crushing so we're good for now. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MacintoshPro Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Woof. GFS is HECS at 252. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Could to strong be a problem? I'd be afraid it would get surpressed. NO! Supression definitely isn't a worry with that setup. GFS trying to break through the HIgh, although I doubt it will in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 We get destroyed Pummeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 It's a brutal beatdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2016 Share Posted February 5, 2016 Lock up this run of the happy hour GFS please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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