H2Otown_WX Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I would take the under on a lot of those numbers. Agreed, I highly doubt I get to 10" here. I'd be surprised if I get more than 6 really. Dry air just eating away at the northern edge and I'm in subsidence between bands lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 The h res vertically integrated liquid shows the dry air winning on the north margins initially. Check that out and loop t from your vendor and obviously this is very time sensitive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Nearing 4 inches, hard to tell with all the wind though. Snow +sweet, must be a great fix for an addict lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR showed this evolution well last night. It had the band struggling to rotate into SNE this morning, instead favoring a secondary surge of advective processes this afternoon to get appreciable progress into the area. You can see on regional radar loops that the pivot appears to be already occurring over SE NY, so I'm not sure how much northward movement we really see until that next development happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Dp up to 27 here, lower levels won't be a problem along the coast at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Winds are really becoming nonstop. Mid 20 gusts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 96 ing with the painfully slow and virga, Man I hope our boys at NWS see something we don't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Well I'm in the advisory zone for 2-5 accumulation better than C-1. Let's see how this one pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Wind is starting to crank though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR showed this evolution well last night. It had the band struggling to rotate into SNE this morning, instead favoring a secondary surge of advective processes this afternoon to get appreciable progress into the area. You can see on regional radar loops that the pivot appears to be already occurring over SE NY, so I'm not sure how much northward movement we really see until that next development happens. Exactly. It has held solid on this and the nam went that way as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 sweet, must be a great fix for an addict lol LOL I made the username when I was 13, I have used it too long to change it. The wind is starting to get real nasty right now, can hardly see across the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR showed this evolution well last night. It had the band struggling to rotate into SNE this morning, instead favoring a secondary surge of advective processes this afternoon to get appreciable progress into the area. You can see on regional radar loops that the pivot appears to be already occurring over SE NY, so I'm not sure how much northward movement we really see until that next development happens. Yeah as the low occludes and begins pushing eastward we should begin to see that northward push on that band. We should also see more OES enhanced precip blossoming into the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 96 ing with the painfully slow and virga, Man I hope our boys at NWS see something we don'tI think their call is in serious trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 96 ing with the painfully slow and virga, Man I hope our boys at NWS see something we don'tCurious to see their afd.I think it looks good for Southern counties, especially those on the edge in middlesex county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 I'd run with the rgem and hope it is right. Upped me significantly since 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Flurries just started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 rgem has been iffy from the get go and its 12z run didnt pick up the deathband in CNJ currently, all that well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Gfs is 7 or so inches here now hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 HRRR showed this evolution well last night. It had the band struggling to rotate into SNE this morning, instead favoring a secondary surge of advective processes this afternoon to get appreciable progress into the area. You can see on regional radar loops that the pivot appears to be already occurring over SE NY, so I'm not sure how much northward movement we really see until that next development happens. Yea the push north along eastern New England is from the redevelopment. We won't see the radar really respond in the far eastern sections until that occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Mike Trout total weenie on TWC with Cantore lol, awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Dp up to 27 here, lower levels won't be a problem along the coast at least. Low levels won't be a problem, but there still is a fair amount of dry air at 850 mb that needed to be overcome on the 12z CHH sounding. More importantly GYX has PWAT of 0.11 at 12z...north winds will be killer on the northern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kocab Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Winds here in Wickford RI are up to a sustained 34 mph off the bay. Gusting to 45 or so. Still nothing but the occasional flake of snow though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 If anyone was worried.. The accumulating snow isn't supposed to reach N CT to the puke region until 12-2:00 south to north. You can see tha band pushing north now onshore. Sit back and enjoy the show. Gonna be a wild late afternoon and evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 rgem has been iffy from the get go and its 12z run didnt pick up the deathband in CNJ currently, all that well.Box's decision to raise amounts is probably at least in part because of models busting down south a bit. But that's a dangerous game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Nice band forming in the long island sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 If anyone was worried.. The accumulating snow isn't supposed to reach N CT to the puke region until 12-2:00 south to north. You can see tha band pushing north now onshore. Sit back and enjoy the show. Gonna be a wild late afternoon and evening Freudian slip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 23, 2016 Author Share Posted January 23, 2016 Box's decision to raise amounts is probably at least in part because of models busting down south a bit. But that's a dangerous game. very dangerous. there will be positive and negative busts. going to be a razor sharp edge its tough call for them tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 If anyone was worried.. The accumulating snow isn't supposed to reach N CT to the puke region until 12-2:00 south to north. You can see tha band pushing north now onshore. Sit back and enjoy the show. Gonna be a wild late afternoon and eveningYou are 4 hours too early on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Some dim sun now visible through the clouds. This is easily one of the most painful near misses in a long time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted January 23, 2016 Share Posted January 23, 2016 Intensity has really dropped off here in the past 15 minutes. Hopefully it picks up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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