Stormsfury Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I personally think it snows in all of NC at some points and this becomes a dangerous storm for many in NC and SC. I could see snow reaching all the way down to Charleston, SC at some point. 13 of the 20 GFS ENSEMBLES showed this possibility with a couple of 1"+ members. Yesterday, it had ZERO. Wraparound flakes for this area looks more possible on SAT am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 you said you are going to Asheville ? I haven't decided where I'm going. Somewhere in NC or TN. Im debating on whether I should go somewhere that will see epic snow amounts or go somewhere that gets a good bit of snow but not so much that it'll make it hard to get back home. I have to work on Sunday afternoon ! I have to be back by Sunday AM- the heavy snow in AVL should be over by Saturday AM, I figure that the Interstate will be open by afternoon. That is why I picked them (besides the beer) because I figured the secondary roads would be the last to be cleared.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 and KAVL total qpf - 2.51 total ZR - 0.14 total PL - 0.76 total SN - 19.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Not a good map for GA- only rain for the whole state???? Yea, I find that very hard to believe. I think he got tired of drawing... and doesn't really care about the south anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 13 of the 20 GFS ENSEMBLES showed this possibility with a couple of 1"+ members. Yesterday, it had ZERO. Wraparound flakes for this area looks more possible on SAT am. Yeah I am in Southport, NC (ILM area) and I remember a storm a few years ago that snowed like crazy here on Valentines Day. Do not expect that but I could see an inch or two on the back side. Should be cold enough. Depends on how far off the coast it is as well. Plenty of factors I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Is there a lot of instability coming with the ULL? Thundersnow potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 Already at 12 hrs on the 18z GFS the trough is digging moreso over NM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 are you serious ? I haven't seen many models showing significant snow for the I-20 corridor. This is not going to be a big deal for the ATL metro. I am sorry - My post should have read from northern Atlanta suburbs (Marietta, roswell, Dunwoody, etc...) northward. Both the EURO and NAM show at least 2 inches in northern burbs of Atl and some parts of extreme north fulton are pushing 3-4 inches. Criteria for WSW in Atlanta area is just 2 inches, maybe 3 inches if memory serves me correct.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 20, 2016 Author Share Posted January 20, 2016 sfc low nearing Houston at 21 hrs. south south south south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 If this is all snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 its south @33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 GFS is also further south the low through 30 hours, similar to NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 colder run, looks like a lot of sleet for rdu at onset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Just a hair SE at 48.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 slp off sc coast @54. snowing wnc almost to raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Rgem throws SC the goodies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18Z GFS alot colder for many areas. High in PA is 1MB stronger as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 gfs lots of ice for rdu. slp over the obx. low starts really cranking at 63 and rdu is about to turn over to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 18Z GFS alot colder for many areas. High in PA is 1MB stronger as wellDumb question, but is the high we've been watching all week, come in behind today's system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The GFS is a pretty decent snow thump for the north central/northeast Piedmont before changing to freezing rain/sleet. It looks like about .50 QPF as snow possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 The GFS is a pretty decent snow thump for the north central/northeast Piedmont before changing to freezing rain/sleet. It looks like about .50 QPF as snow possibly. DT's map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 I am sorry - My post should have read from northern Atlanta suburbs (Marietta, roswell, Dunwoody, etc...) northward. Both the EURO and NAM show at least 2 inches in northern burbs of Atl and some parts of extreme north fulton are pushing 3-4 inches. Criteria for WSW in Atlanta area is just 2 inches, maybe 3 inches if memory serves me correct.... In the past, we seem to come in low in these marginal events. I'd say the burbs right on 285 will be doing well to get an inch, but you could probably justify a WSW for Forsyth and counties north/northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 In the past, we seem to come in low in these marginal events. I'd say the burbs right on 285 will be doing well to get an inch, but you could probably justify a WSW for Forsyth and counties north/northeast. correct. definitely early at this point to know the exact cut off but there is high potential for areas very close to Atlanta, just north of the city, to get a few inches. with the gfs looking good as well just now, I would suspect watches may fire overnight if euro continues its trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Local met ( ch4) just said" NAM, Euro, GFS , all give us 4"+!" Call that a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 WYFF mets coming around to a severe winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Skew-Ts indicate that the I-40 corridor in NC (INT, GSO, etc.) is very close to all-snow on the 18z GFS. There are a couple panels where we may be mixing with sleet, but it really depends on the precip rates. Interesting trend considering the GFS was mostly ZR/IP here yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepPounding Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 Local met ( ch4) just said" NAM, Euro, GFS , all give us 4"+!" Call that a win Why is anyone paying attention to local mets and going off of their forecasts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 DT's map? It definitely lends credence to said map. It's good to see the American models shift to colder solutions at this range. I think we're in for a bonifide winter storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted January 20, 2016 Share Posted January 20, 2016 GSP a hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.