dmc76 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 0z GFS says Merry Christmas to a good chunk of the subforum. Another 12"+ event for SEMI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Already almost 50 degrees early this morning. Could give 60 a run today. Also have a shot at 60 Sat and Sun. Definitely saving some green on heating this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Already almost 50 degrees early this morning. Could give 60 a run today. Also have a shot at 60 Sat and Sun. Definitely saving some green on heating this month. yep, smells like another over performer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 0z GFS says Merry Christmas to a good chunk of the subforum. I'll take a nice bowling ball storm on the 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 34 and light sprinkles. a crusty/slushy inch of snow from Thanksgiving time is all that's left. Never have I seen 5" of snow hang on so tuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I'll take a nice bowling ball storm on the 06z. . What am I doing wrong on this web site? When I look at it I don't get the numbers to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 . What am I doing wrong on this web site? When I look at it I don't get the numbers to show up. The numbers are on regional views and not the national map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 The numbers are on regional views and not the national map.. Ahh thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 34 and light sprinkles. a crusty/slushy inch of snow from Thanksgiving time is all that's left. Never have I seen 5" of snow hang on so tuff. It's putting up a good fight it sounds like. If snow is allowed to compact or is mixed with sleet or ice from freezing rain, it seems to linger on longer. 55° and cloudy here. Wind making it feel a little cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 nice and it's only going to get better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I know that Josh winces at the overuse of "torch", but that's an el ninoesque blowtorch right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 if the back loaded winter everyone has been wishcasting materializes, we'll at least have bathtub temperature lakes to work with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 12Z GFS has showed a couple chances for snow systems around Christmas. Keep an eye on it because there is statistically a good chance for something good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I know that Josh winces at the overuse of "torch", but that's an el ninoesque blowtorch right there.This IS a torch, particularly this week. In fact I think the January 2008 warm spell is what coined the term "torch" on the forums.The past few years some were using that word for departures of +1F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I know that Josh winces at the overuse of "torch", but that's an el ninoesque blowtorch right there. It's easier to stomach knowing that it's coming to an end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 It's easier to stomach knowing that it's coming to an end. except it's not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 except it's not it's interesting that there is almost an expectation that if we are this warm in December, than naturally things have to turn around in January. No one wants to even consider...dare I say... the dreaded 3 month torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 except it's not There will be a break in the extreme warmth. Colder weather looks transient though. Maybe by late month we get into something a little more persistent but low confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 639 PM CST WED DEC 9 2015 /739 PM EST WED DEC 9 2015/ ..ATYPICAL DECEMBER WEATHER FOR CHICAGO THROUGH THE WEEKEND ANOMALOUSLY MILD CONDITIONS FOR METEOROLOGICAL WINTER ARE FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN ADDITION...POTENTIALLY VERY WET WEATHER IS LIKELY TO UNFOLD DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY. THIS IS A LOOK AT THE FORECAST VS. DECEMBER CLIMATOLOGY. ------------------------------------------------------------------ CHICAGO FIVE CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S ARE FORECAST THROUGH SUNDAY /FROM DECEMBER 9TH-13TH/. - THIS WOULD BE THE FIRST TIME WITH FIVE OR MORE CONSECUTIVE DAYS WITH 50S IN DECEMBER SINCE 2001...WHEN DECEMBER 2ND-6TH REACHED THE 50S. - THIS WOULD BE THE LATEST INTO DECEMBER WITH FIVE OR MORE STRAIGHT DAYS IN THE 50S SINCE 1971...WHEN DECEMBER 23RD-27TH REACHED 50 PLUS DEGREES. A HIGH OF 60 DEGREES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY. - 60 DEGREES OR HIGHER WAS LAST REACHED DURING DECEMBER IN 2012 WHEN THE HIGH REACHED 70 ON DECEMBER 3RD. - 60 DEGREES WAS LAST REACHED THIS LATE IN THE MONTH IN 2008 ON DECEMBER 27TH WHEN THE HIGH HIT 61. MULTIPLE PERIODS OF RAIN ARE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO MONDAY. OVER TWO INCHES OF RAIN ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS...THOUGH THIS FORECAST COULD SHIFT. - TWO INCHES OR MORE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THREE DAYS HAS NOT HAPPENED IN DECEMBER SINCE 2.06 INCHES FELL ON DECEMBER 4TH-6TH 1999...WHICH WAS ALMOST ENTIRELY ALL RAIN. - OVER TWO INCHES OF PRECIPITATION HAS NOT HAPPENED THIS LATE INTO DECEMBER SINCE DECEMBER 24TH-26TH 1982 WHEN 2.18 INCHES FELL...WHICH WAS ALSO ALL RAIN. OBVIOUSLY THE FORECAST WILL LIKELY SHIFT SOME THROUGH THE COMING DAYS BUT THE PATTERN FAVORS AT LEAST NEAR THESE VALUES MENTIONED ABOVE. EVEN THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS LATER THIS WEEKEND! MTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 if it's not going to snow in December, then I'll take a day like today every time. Just awesome out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 if it's not going to snow in December, then I'll take a day like today every time. Just awesome out there. yeah, this feels great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 if it's not going to snow in December, then I'll take a day like today every time. Just awesome out there. Makes it a million times easier to work in. That's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 except it's not It's not going to be Feb 2015, but it will be closer to normal. I'll be snowmobiling within 4 hour drive within 2-3 weeks max. Torch (33F to 40F) all you want in Chicago... Won't affect the UP or Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 It's not going to be Feb 2015, but it will be closer to normal. I'll be snowmobiling within 4 hour drive within 2-3 weeks max. Torch (33F to 40F) all you want in Chicago... Won't affect the UP or Canada. Thats pretty optimistic, will need feet of snow to make it ridable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Thats pretty optimistic, will need feet of snow to make it ridable. SSM, Ontario is 4 hours from me. Those hills will be ready sooner than you think. I'm thinking the season kicks off around Christmas with a wrap around LES storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 it's interesting that there is almost an expectation that if we are this warm in December, than naturally things have to turn around in January. No one wants to even consider...dare I say... the dreaded 3 month torch. Actually it seems that there are just as many people on this board expecting a 3 month torch as are expecting a turn to colder (which doesn't necessarily mean colder than normal). When anyone brings up the torch will not last they get an immediate reply. This is the general theme on a weather board every December anyway, so throw in a December that actually IS warm and it increases tenfold. Look no further...than Dec 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Actually it seems that there are just as many people on this board expecting a 3 month torch as are expecting a turn to colder (which doesn't necessarily mean colder than normal). When anyone brings up the torch will not last they get an immediate reply. This is the general theme on a weather board every December anyway, so throw in a December that actually IS warm and it increases tenfold. Look no further...than Dec 2014. There is a good deal of trolling here too. Alek does get cold outside in the low 50's, so I don't doubt his sincerity in wanting the torch... I have seen it in person. LOL. We can't all work in freezers 12 months out of the year. People crack up when they see that my fall-winter-spring coat is the same, a $25 Mossimo hoodie from Target -- 4 straight years. http://www.target.com/p/men-s-sherpa-lined-fleece-hoodie-mossimo-supply-co/-/A-17073942#prodSlot=medium_1_1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 Actually it seems that there are just as many people on this board expecting a 3 month torch as are expecting a turn to colder (which doesn't necessarily mean colder than normal). When anyone brings up the torch will not last they get an immediate reply. This is the general theme on a weather board every December anyway, so throw in a December that actually IS warm and it increases tenfold. Look no further...than Dec 2014. not from what I'm seeing. General consensus from most mets, (JB, DT, LC, and many of the board mets across forums), is that December roasts but we turn around in January and true winter hits in Feb. Not seeing too many forecasts for a torch thru March. Possibly Roger Smith comes the closest that I've read. Torchamagaeddon or whatever his name is doesn't count, he torches every year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 11, 2015 Share Posted December 11, 2015 not from what I'm seeing. General consensus from most mets, (JB, DT, LC, and many of the board mets across forums), is that December roasts but we turn around in January and true winter hits in Feb. Not seeing too many forecasts for a torch thru March. Possibly Roger Smith comes the closest that I've read. Torchamagaeddon or whatever his name is doesn't count, he torches every year lol. The New England forum has a decidedly larger "looking for cold" crowd than most other subforums fwiw. We all like what we like, but I mean lets face it, the usual suspects anywhere will almost always go cold or warm. I always throw JB out, but LC & DT do not seem to have a bias. We will all get snow, some more than others. This area got an awesome snowstorm in a terrible pattern in Nov, and likewise a good pattern doesnt mean it will actually produce good results. The only guarantee is that it will not be a nonstop torch (looking for a DJF departure of +15F? not happening lol). For those north of I80, I say it all the time, "mild" does not necessarily mean crappy for snow, and "cold" does not necessarily mean snowy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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