Cat 5 Major Hurricane Patricia

[ncforecaster89]

Reminds me of how Katrina fell apart right before landfall. I remember some newscasters on the cable networks talking about New Orleans "dodged a bullet", but as daylight broke it was clear something catastrophic was taking place. Obviously that was a unique circumstance, but it's important to remember that for some people this still has the potential to be extremely devastating even if it's significantly weaker than at it's peak.

Totally agree!

[Coach McGuirk]

Josh said he might be in the eye.  Uh oh!

[ncforecaster89]

Josh said he might be in the eye. Uh oh!

I suspect he'll know for certain by the reading on the barometer. Very interested in that observation, as I'm sure are many others.

[Rjay]

Josh said he might be in the eye. Uh oh!

He says the current pressure where he's located is 972 mb and rapidly falling.

[ncforecaster89]

He says the current pressure where he's located is 972 mb and rapidly falling.

Praying for his safety and all the others in harms way...from all impacts of this very dangerous storm!

[ncforecaster89]

He says the current pressure where he's located is 972 mb and rapidly falling.

Looking at the latest frames, it appears to be coming ashore very close to his location. Hard to know for certain based on satellite alone.

[wxeyeNH]

Does anyone have a link to the La Manzanilla cam.  The link I earthcam link just trys to load but seems to busy.  Any other Utube type live link?

[JasonOH]

Beach Cam appears to have gone down. Looks to have just landfilled based on satellite.

[ncforecaster89]

Beach Cam appears to have gone down. Looks to have just landfilled based on satellite.

Looks like possible landfall at 545 pm CDT. Also appears Josh is either getting the eye or just outside of it in the NE quadrant!

[ncforecaster89]

Does anyone have a link to the La Manzanilla cam. The link I earthcam link just trys to load but seems to busy. Any other Utube type live link?

Maybe others can suggest better...but here's one from Colima.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=dWT3kRX-eiQ

[Scott747]

Just talked briefly with Erik (who is chasing with Josh)

 

945 and dropping. Definitely in the eyewall right now.

[ice1972]

Man is it me or is TWC really geeking out on this thing? Is this new?

[Coach McGuirk]

I'm guessing Josh's land line is gone.  It looks like he was just to the south of the eye. 

[Coach McGuirk]

Man is it me or is TWC really geeking out on this thing? Is this new?

This is Wunderground on The Weather Channel.  It's new. 

[Ginx snewx]

Josh coming on soon

[Coach McGuirk]

Josh coming on soon

We'll see!

[ice1972]

So they just mentioned Josh will be on?

[wxeyeNH]

Poor Josh,  he probably just wants to film and experience the meat of the storm and not be stuck with producers waiting to go live on the WC, but yet again maybe he likes that. I would just want to experience the storm.

[Coach McGuirk]

Josh is on!

[Coach McGuirk]

Got down to 930 MB, might have been the eye wall.

[09-10 analogy]

check it out

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZRArAZfWGp8

On the list of "wow" moments, penetrating the eyewall into the clear in a HH is right up there. What a sight that must be.

[Jackstraw]

This is a post on a La maz message board from the beach web cam owner when asked about it for posterity.....

 

Well see how long the car battery holds out. If it does much more of the crazy 
**** it did a bit ago I'm going to split.

 

http://members5.boardhost.com/lamanzanilla/msg/1445634746.html

 

[ncforecaster89]

Got down to 930 MB, might have been the eye wall.

Think he said it bottomed out in the 930's and very little doubt he was in the eyewall. He described the turbulent nature of the wind gusts I anticipated and mentioned earlier.

Impressive obs!

[user13]

Josh didn't seem impressed.

[Coach McGuirk]

Josh didn't seem impressed.

It died out quite a bit at landfall. 

[ncforecaster89]

HURRICANE PATRICIA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

EP202015 625 PM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015 ...

CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE PATRICIA MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITH 165-MPH WINDS...

Satellite images indicate that the center of the eye of Patricia made landfall at approximately 615 PM CDT...2315 UTC...along the coast of southwestern Mexico near Cuixmala.

This position is also about 55 miles...85 km...west-northwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. The maximum winds were estimated to be 165 mph...270 km/h.

SUMMARY OF 615 PM...2315 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------------

LOCATION...19.4N 105.0W

ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES

$$ Forecaster Blake/Stewart

[Weathergun]

From the 5pm Advisory:

3. The NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reports that at this time, the

Category 5 winds are occurring over a very small area near the

center - about 15 miles across.

[Cypress]

This is a post on a La maz message board from the beach web cam owner when asked about it for posterity.....

 

Well see how long the car battery holds out. If it does much more of the crazy 

**** it did a bit ago I'm going to split.

 

http://members5.boardhost.com/lamanzanilla/msg/1445634746.html

priceless

[Scott747]

Cuixmala is a resort area just a few miles from where they are at.

 

They were going to go there as it looked better structurally, but it was from what I gathered inaccessible.

[hawkeye_wx]

I'm not sure I buy this thing still having 165 mph top wind at landfall.  Andrew had 165 mph wind with about the same pressure at landfall, but Andrew was rapidly strengthening with a very healthy inner core while Patricia had already filled 40 mb and was steadily weakening at landfall.