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Cypress

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  1. regarding GFS upgrade & NHC's displeasure for Atlantic forecasting: http://mashable.com/2017/03/10/hurricane-forecasts-suffer-gfs-model-upgrade/?utm_cid=hp-r-1#K3XptrNy6mq9 " In short, their argument is that no upgrade is better than a bad upgrade, and that if the upgrade goes forward as planned, forecasts will suffer. This could put millions of coastal residents in the path of a hurricane at risk, depending on the forecast error. " Testing and evaluation of the GFS 2017 http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/noor/GFS2017/GFS2017.htm
  2. MN got nailed https://twitter.com/NWSduluth/with_replies https://twitter.com/cityofduluth https://twitter.com/duluthnews https://twitter.com/wdiowirt https://twitter.com/KQDS_FOX21 https://twitter.com/KBJR6news https://twitter.com/LCPCoop https://twitter.com/mnpower
  3. wicked line, looks like it's not going away any time soon http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?type=North_Dakota-rad-1-48&checked=&prodDim=100&overDim=100
  4. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/reports/ (over 300 at post time)
  5. ftp://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/bal012016.dat AL, 01, 2016011412, , BEST, 0, 308N, 287W, 75, 981, HU, 34, NEQ, 120, 130, 100, 30, 1012, 300, 15, 90, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ALEX, D, AL, 01, 2016011412, , BEST, 0, 308N, 287W, 75, 981, HU, 50, NEQ, 30, 30, 0, 0, 1012, 300, 15, 90, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ALEX, D, AL, 01, 2016011412, , BEST, 0, 308N, 287W, 75, 981, HU, 64, NEQ, 20, 20, 0, 0, 1012, 300, 15, 90, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, ALEX, D,
  6. cool, tks - he spoke with them twice, they asked him to hold while they did a commercial - he said he was calling from a private residence's landline. said they would venture out to explore areas of "possibly worse damage" than the area they were in
  7. not quite sure, he lost internet, satellite, etc... saw a bit of blue sky, but can't say with certainty if it was dry slot or edge of eastern wall - can't remember what his lowest pressure was, but not indicative of a center reading, imo - take that with whatever grain of salt needed as this is not an expert's opinion, but mine. very good to hear they're ok & the story of huddling in the "safe room" with others during the worst winds (after his last contact with TWC yesterday)
  8. just heard Josh live on TWC, harrowing experience, but they're ok - so good to hear from them !
  9. http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_pages/patricia2015/ https://noaahrd.wordpress.com/2015/10/23/doppler-radar-quick-looks-from-1100-am-p-3-flight-into-hurricane-patricia-22-october-2015/ It's a NASA plane: http://jsc-aircraft-ops.jsc.nasa.gov/wb57/index.html out of Houston, Ellington: https://flightaware.com/live/aircrafttype/WB57https://flightaware.com/live/airport/KEFD on a Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment mission, such as this one: http://catalog.eol.ucar.edu/tci/report/67/1127/139040/49637912
  10. CDT is Z-5hrs, not 6 http://www.worldtimebuddy.com/?pl=1&lid=100,6,3991328&h=100 CST starts Nov 1st
  11. anyone with input on the severe potential for MN, please chime in. I have family/friends at a NHRA event at Brainerd International Raceway this weekend & was wondering if I'm being too hyper-nervous about severe potential for that area. There's a lot of campers there in tents, RVs, etc & drinking, etc... http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/enhtstm/ http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html many thanks in advance
  12. I like this one http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+today http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+/24h/
  13. before yesterday, our yard was actually very dry
  14. per NWS San Antonio's Twitter page: NWS San Antonio @NWSSanAntonio · 2h 2 hours ago It appears that we have lost the Blanco River @ Wimberley, which has not reported since about 1am. At that time, the gauge was at 40.21 ft. NWS San Antonio @NWSSanAntonio · 14m 14 minutes ago Medina Lake has risen 22 feet in just 7 hours!