LakeEffectKing Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Band off the SE of Ontario should shift decidedly south in the next hour....SYR may be the target for a bit this evening.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Band appears to be consolidating and pushing on south shore. I knew Hannibal was gonna get crushed. Nice! Thinking of xc skiing near Sterling tomorrow with my dog (fair haven st out), know any good areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Still a complete whiteout here. Just getting dumped on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Monroe can never lock in with these WNW events. It's a lost cause, same as it ever was.lets not throw in towel yet. Winds expected to veer a bit more NW this eve. Not bullish but not giving up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The band coming into Niagra Falls NY is directly off of Lake Huron (see Exeter ON radar). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
champy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 0.0" here in the eastern Finger Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 What an awesome band. Syracuse airport getting hit hard right now. LEK you should be getting hit now or very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 so many forecasts had me in the sweet spot down here in madison county, 18+ or so. the band was here for a short while this am, but has since settled in north of us, just came across this webcam in sylvan beach.. looks like it's hammer time there! i don't know how to capture some of the video, but right now it's S++ Wow, that is definitely heavy snow! Visibility only a few hundred yards if that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Bad time to take a 4 hr nap.. IMG_20160118_142603~2.jpg Nice deck and shed! Enjoy man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 The band coming into Niagra Falls NY is directly off of Lake Huron (see Exeter ON radar). ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM ESTTUESDAY...* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES.* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.* ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON...2 TO 4 INCHES TONIGHT...UP TO 2 INCHES TUESDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY EVENING.* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AT TIMES WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Band off the SE of Ontario should shift decidedly south in the next hour....SYR may be the target for a bit this evening.... George...as soon as u posted that I left.phoenix where it became briefly p/c as the band may have wavered north a few miles...it's back though here in Clay...just measured...7.5" since noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 It's snowing harder than it has all day! I can barely see the house across the street! If this is the grand finale before the band moves south it's been a great show! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 What an awesome band. Syracuse airport getting hit hard right now. LEK you should be getting hit now or very soon. Yep....2"/hr. type stuff here....finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The band coming into Niagra Falls NY is directly off of Lake Huron (see Exeter ON radar). I chased that one about an hour ago through Gasport, it was coming down at 3-4"/hr rates at the core of the band, Took some pics & video so enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 10" of snow so far in Phoenix. Band is weakening pretty fast but looks to be widening. Dave Eichorn said a clean sweep through the city and then reforming to a lesser degree. More than not, the bands never get their act together again like before. That was probably the best of this event but was a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Monroe can never lock in with these WNW events. It's a lost cause, same as it ever was. Man i feel for ya, it's turning out to be a dud for ROC metro area. only 1-3" expected for the city with 4-6" falling along the lakeshore and eastern burbs per latest AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 POTENTIALLY A BETTER SHOT FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWS INCREASES AGAIN FOR A TIME LATER WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY...AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES FALL TO AROUND -16C IN THE BASE OF A DEVELOPING 500 MB TROUGH AND INVERSION HEIGHTS RISE TO AROUND 7K FEET. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK ENOUGH FOR SOME LAKE SNOW TO DRIFT TOWARD THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN AREAS FOR A TIME LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BUT SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIMITED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 10" of snow so far in Phoenix. Band is weakening pretty fast but looks to be widening. Dave Eichorn said a clean sweep through the city and then reforming to a lesser degree. More than not, the bands never get their act together again like before. That was probably the best of this event but was a good one. I may be near 10", I finished driveway at 3:30 and just went to the store (big mistake), had to be another 2-3" down in less than an hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Any thoughts on the east coast weekend system coming further NW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Any thoughts on the east coast weekend system coming further NW?. It would be nice but so far looks like the coastal will stay east of most of us. I could see BGM to ALB being the furthest NW for any decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 We did receive 3" between about 3:30-4:30 pm, was impressive. Total of 10.5" IMBY. Looks like we will be on range of band for a while. I'm hopeful an upstream wind shift (s/w?) over Lake Huron may push it back North a tad later tonight. It's falling off the lake SE end now, which is never great for productive snow, except maybe out towards ROC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Rochester getting blasted now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Snow rate has picked up here (but still not nearly as intense as it was earlier) as that band expands over Monroe county. Measured a whopping total of 3" on the ground (most for the season so far) at 3 pm, about 1" fell during the passage of the earlier band. At least it looks like winter again...been a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Monroe can never lock in with these WNW events. It's a lost cause, same as it ever was. If Monroe County (Rochester) can never seem to lock in to the LES in the WNW events, and that is a fairly important wind direction, then how is it that Rochester averages 99" per winter and Buffalo averages 94.8" per winter? Because obviously Buffalo airport has gotten into some super-bands over the years that bump up snow averages over a 30 yr period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 If Monroe County (Rochester) can never seem to lock in to the LES in the WNW events, and that is a fairly important wind direction, then how is it that Rochester averages 99" per winter and Buffalo averages 94.8" per winter? Because obviously Buffalo airport has gotten into some super-bands over the years that bump up snow averages over a 30 yr period. Just guessing, but the 3 or 4 Nor' Easters that either hit us or graze us in CNY during an average season, puts ROC into a northerly flow off Ontario, to enhance the synoptic system, that just due to ROC more eastern location, on average, gives them more snow than BUF during those events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 10" of snow so far in Phoenix. Band is weakening pretty fast but looks to be widening. Dave Eichorn said a clean sweep through the city and then reforming to a lesser degree. More than not, the bands never get their act together again like before. That was probably the best of this event but was a good one.Eichorn was a great mentor. He doesn't have a PhD but he really knows a lot of the nuances of LES and is a very good forecaster. Hope his forecast for this event has been good... Looks like the band pretty much fell apart already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Eichorn was a great mentor. He doesn't have a PhD but he really knows a lot of the nuances of LES and is a very good forecaster. Hope his forecast for this event has been good... Looks like the band pretty much fell apart already We will transition to a period of multi-bands for awhile tonight (Main band actually acts as a mini cold front or wind shift line)....then, winds will help to reconnect upper lakes and try and make the multi bands become singular again around midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 If Monroe County (Rochester) can never seem to lock in to the LES in the WNW events, and that is a fairly important wind direction, then how is it that Rochester averages 99" per winter and Buffalo averages 94.8" per winter? Because obviously Buffalo airport has gotten into some super-bands over the years that bump up snow averages over a 30 yr period. Rochester nickles and dimes its way to 100" a year based on Ontario never freezing so it gets good enhancement in the comma head of deformation bands when synoptic systems hit. KBUF is actually averaging 100.4" since the year 2000 (15 year period) which may be over that of KROC. And as far as Syracuse averaging so much, it's because its well north of the city. Syracuse proper probably gets 20-30" less a year than the airport due to the favorable location for WNW LES events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Just guessing, but the 3 or 4 Nor' Easters that either hit us or graze us in CNY during an average season, puts ROC into a northerly flow off Ontario, to enhance the synoptic system, that just due to ROC more eastern location, on average, gives them more snow than BUF during those events.Idk if this is what Delta meant, but to me it seems we have trouble getting a band to setup and just produce for 12-18-24hrs at a time. Sure, it may snow at a decent clip for a time, but bands just seem to always be on the move.For MBY, this seems more of an issue with N/NW wind Ontario les bands than it does SW winds from Erie.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2016 Author Share Posted January 18, 2016 Sinclairville got hit good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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