Don Cherry's Jacket Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I hope this will be enough for some of you...http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2015/Hurricane-Joaquin?map=ensmodel Oh, look, ZERO members with landfall. (Ok one hits PEI.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Coast guard searching for a container ship close to the storm...Hurricane hunters even dropped very low inside the eye a little while ago in order to try and establish contact with the ship...to no avail apparently. 33 people on board. http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2015/10/02/445272576/coast-guard-searching-for-ship-crew-of-33-caught-in-hurricane-joaquin?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=business&utm_medium=social&utm_term=nprnews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I hope this will be enough for some of you...http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2015/Hurricane-Joaquin?map=ensmodel 11am = Not 12z plots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Oh, look, ZERO members with landfall. (Ok one hits PEI.) and a few outliers for GEM, Euro, and CFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 11am = Not 12z plots All that matters is those are the most recent full suite of ensembles available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I hope this will be enough for some of you...http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/atlantic/2015/Hurricane-Joaquin?map=ensmodel It will not be enough for some people even when it is over the central Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 and I think we've established that the time labels on those plots are odd. Those are indeed the 12z members. All that matters is those are the most recent full suite of ensembles available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I think the Euro knows.. since like 4 days ago. yea i mean i know that euro is the most reliable and consistent, but i'm just saying that i appreciate when i see posts from people analyzing what the other options could be. the way i see it...OTS is the overwhelming favorite right now, but if it decides to hang a little closer to the coast it would certainly be worth continued tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 and I think we've established that the time labels on those plots are odd. Those are indeed the 12z members. Maybe the time stamps are for the most recent official placement of the cyclone? eta: It would be interesting to see if the first ensemble member initializes at 8:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 no. It's the ensemble for the 12z GFS run. It's run like that every day (00,06,18z too) and is not run for specific storms. Maybe the time stamps are for the most recent official placement of the cyclone? eta: It would be interesting to see if the first ensemble member initializes at 8:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Updated on nam track LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Euro is faster and a tad to the west for what it's worth. Maybe a bit of phaseing. but it's too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 no. It's the ensemble for the 12z GFS run. It's run like that every day (00,06,18z too) and is not run for specific storms. I'm not disagreeing with that. Wunderground just seems to be posting different ways of displaying them as you previously noted. My last post was a speculative assumption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Sucker is moving North it looks like. Wonder why not East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Sucker is moving North it looks like. Wonder why not East. Looks NNE IMO and is finally beginning to pick up speed. Good riddance Joaquin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyDabbundo Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 At least now I have a really cool profile photo and I am ready to track snowstorms! this is like the 2 month early tease of tracking snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Consensus emerging .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 NAM crashed again, but pretty sure it was in the process of booting Joaquin out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I wonder how much rain the Bahamas have gotten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Updated on nam track LOL So by 8am saturday the projection is for it to be at 72.7W(except for NAM) That should tell the tale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 NAM is pretty far OTS compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Why was that ship anywhere near Joaquin? I hope it wasn't told to sail straight through it to meet some deadline or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Why was that ship anywhere near Joaquin? I hope it wasn't told to sail straight through it to meet some deadline or something. Jacksonville to Puerto Rico. Lost engines at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I can't believe parts of MD are still under a state of emergency, and they're still citing Joaquin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I can't believe parts of MD are still under a state of emergency, and they're still citing Joaquin per tenman we need to wait until Saturday morning for The Truth to be revealed, so an ongoing soe is prudent. Master of disaster would likely concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Z-Cast Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 And Joaquin goes NE. Adios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUMG11 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 And Joaquin goes NE. Adios. What a pronounced turn NE. Fun one to track at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 And Joaquin goes NE. Adios. i thought that was the plan all along. the difference now is that the models don't have it getting pulled back towards the coast. i don't think it was ever supposed to be a beeline to the coast like hugo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 What a pronounced turn NE. Fun one to track at least.As it starts to weaken the surrounding ridging breaks down and it gets sucked in. If that wasn't there.. Tho arguably at this or the upper ridge configuration is too centered to our north v ne. So close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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