Morris Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Yup! This summer was a pleasure, except for a single troll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Ha! I think he gets too much crap just for liking warm weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 21, 2015 Author Share Posted October 21, 2015 The Mets looks like they about to be in world series Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 The Islanders will finish ahead of the Rangers this season. Feel free to bump troll this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Can't wait to see the Caps beat the Isles in Brooklyn this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Can't wait to see the Devils beat the Rangers this year. Oh wait, that already happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Hi psv. Yo yo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 The Mets looks like they about to be in world seriesif they keep playing like this I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Flood to fire to flood again. We're supposed to get deluged over the next 4 days by TS Patricia in the Pacific, and troughs coming from the Southwest. NWS is going with 3-6" widespread and locally 8-10" through this weekend. If this is the start to a wet El Niño winter, many of us will be flooded again soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Flood to fire to flood again. We're supposed to get deluged over the next 4 days by TS Patricia in the Pacific, and troughs coming from the Southwest. NWS is going with 3-6" widespread and locally 8-10" through this weekend. If this is the start to a wet El Niño winter, many of us will be flooded again soon. The 00z ECMWF had widespread totals of 5-8" over Central, Eastern TX with a large bullseye > 10" near Austin. Most of the moisture however comes from the tropical moisture coming out of the Gulf and the trough digging into the Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 The 00z ECMWF had widespread totals of 5-8" over Central, Eastern TX with a large bullseye > 10" near Austin. Most of the moisture however comes from the tropical moisture coming out of the Gulf and the trough digging into the Plains.That kind of rain would definitely cause flooding on some of the rivers, although it wouldn't be severe because of how dry it's been here. Some parts near here have barely seen a couple of showers since mid June, and we've had 25 100 degree days since then, along with upper 90s just last week. This is the first cloudy day here in months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Best weather forum on the internet right here!it's good if you don't know that much about weather. otherwise twitter beats it in spades Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 it's good if you don't know that much about weather. otherwise twitter beats it in spades The Nino thread has been surprisingly informative though. Probably the most put together one I've seen in these forums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 The website is up and down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 21, 2015 Author Share Posted October 21, 2015 The Nino thread has been surprisingly informative though. Probably the most put together one I've seen in these forums. Yep. Got people from different regions posting reliable info. Even the trolls know their stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 The Mets looks like they about to be in world series Wow. I never pay the Mets any mind, I forget they exist, which is a shame since I'm from Queens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 That kind of rain would definitely cause flooding on some of the rivers, although it wouldn't be severe because of how dry it's been here. Some parts near here have barely seen a couple of showers since mid June, and we've had 25 100 degree days since then, along with upper 90s just last week. This is the first cloudy day here in months.Water temps where the source region of moisture is comming from are over 30c in mid october!!! That's just nuts. Start building an arkAlso since you moved we have had a similar situation in your home area. Almost no rain except 2 flash flood events. One which hit lb hard and clipped me the other that chrushed me and clipped lb. Almost no rain all summer to 6" in one day. It ran off and led to some serious flash flooding top 3 I have ever seen here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 AC's running today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Water temps where the source region of moisture is comming from are over 30c in mid october!!! That's just nuts. Start building an ark Also since you moved we have had a similar situation in your home area. Almost no rain except 2 flash flood events. One which hit lb hard and clipped me the other that chrushed me and clipped lb. Almost no rain all summer to 6" in one day. It ran off and led to some serious flash flooding top 3 I have ever seen here Models are starting to get crazy for the I-35 corridor. The GFS had an area of over 12" of rain near Dallas, and the Euro has a wide 4-8" swath with spots over 10" from Corpus Christi to Austin to Dallas. The trajectories aloft look favorable for training heavy rain, and the source regions for the rain have huge moisture content. TS Patricia will also contribute this weekend. Memorial Day had a similar profile and resulted in tremendous flooding. We're going to this from floods in June, to areas with extreme drought again today after a very hot and dry summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted October 21, 2015 Share Posted October 21, 2015 Hiked Bear Mountain this past weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 This is quite the read. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47089-my-2015-2016-winter-outlook/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 22, 2015 Author Share Posted October 22, 2015 This is quite the read. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47089-my-2015-2016-winter-outlook/ Yeah very detailed and informative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Watching back to the future 2. Did you know in 2015 you can predict the weather down to the exact second? Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Watching back to the future 2. Did you know in 2015 you can predict the weather down to the exact second? Damn. That'd be cool, but boring. Uncertainty adds to the excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 BTW METS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 BTW METS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 This is quite the read. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/47089-my-2015-2016-winter-outlook/ Excellent information and incredibly detailed on a slew of scenarios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 That'd be cool, but boring. Uncertainty adds to the excitement. That would be horrible. I think we live in the prime period for a weather enthusiast. CC and computer models good enough to make it fun to track long range events without completely spoiling things. I think in 30 years models will be so good our hobby will be observational rather then forecast based Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 That would be horrible. I think we live in the prime period for a weather enthusiast. CC and computer models good enough to make it fun to track long range events without completely spoiling things. I think in 30 years models will be so good our hobby will be observational rather then forecast based I'm entirely unconvinced. They'll get better, but not that much in the grand scheme of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 I'm entirely unconvinced. They'll get better, but not that much in the grand scheme of things. According to Moore's law with processor speeds doubling every two years in 30 years today's room size super computers will be the size of a cell phone. A super computer at that time will be capable of billions of times more calculations then our current ones. I think they will be deadly accurate at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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