Cold Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 LOL...I think we are heading for a 83/87 SST configuration. Did I get a lot of snow in the winter of 83/87? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Did I get a lot of snow in the winter of 83/87? Yes, active, multiple events, mountains will clean up. Not super cold, so we got plenty of rain too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 If I could be anywhere this winter it would be Superjames and points west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 I think most of us would like a mix of 1982-83 and 1986-87 for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 If I could be anywhere this winter it would be Superjames and points west. I-85 and west in both states should be fine. I'm 20 miles southeast of I-85 though so I might get more rain than most on here would. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 I-85 and west in both states should be fine. I'm 20 miles southeast of I-85 though so I might get more rain than most on here would. Dude! You're going to be in heaven then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Yes, active, multiple events, mountains will clean up. Not super cold, so we got plenty of rain too. Ok, then we're good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Did I get a lot of snow in the winter of 83/87? The winter of 83/87 was so intense that it lasted for four long years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 The winter of 83/87 was so intense that it lasted for four long years. Lol #neverforget Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 Did I get a lot of snow in the winter of 83/87? I remember it well, seemed it would never end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 I would love a repeat of the 91-92 winter. Wasn't that an El Nino winter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 I just want a real snow event, with no mixing issues and an actual accumulation ! Y'all can take all the " trace" events , and stuff them in your Brick hole! I still think D,J,F, will be -1,-2,-2, temp wise , based off my wooly worm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 I would love a repeat of the 91-92 winter. Wasn't that an El Nino winter ? It was an El Nino winter. But if it happened again you'd make most of the winter-lovers in the Carolinas and Virginia unhappy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 It was an El Nino winter. But if it happened again you'd make most of the winter-lovers in the Carolinas and Virginia unhappy.He tries that everyday! # GACRAZY! # TROLLBOT! While we are wishing, I'll take and 87/88 winter redux! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 He tries that everyday! # GACRAZY! # TROLLBOT! While we are wishing, I'll take and 87/88 winter redux! That 1 storm was very nice, but that was it for upstate SC that winter. 86/87 or 82/83 would both be better for us The 91/92 winter was just awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 That 1 storm was very nice, but that was it for upstate SC that winter. 86/87 or 82/83 would both be better for us The 91/92 winter was just awful.If all we had was one event a year, and it was like jan 88, I would take it! The powder, temps in teens, long duration , on the ground for like 2 weeks, it could be 70 every other day of the winter! I will never see another event like that in my life in the Carolinas , but will remember it my whole life! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Actually a January like 2000 would please many of us, especially the one's who got buried on Jan 24 and 25. That one dropped 1 foot here. The rest of that winter was boring though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Let's keep these ull cut offs tracking to our south the next few months, at the snails pace they seem to moving at. #knockonwood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Actually a January like 2000 would please many of us, especially the one's who got buried on Jan 24 and 25. That one dropped 1 foot here. The rest of that winter was boring though. Next year will be a Jan 2k redux with a big Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 10, 2015 Share Posted October 10, 2015 Are there any new seasonal models out? The latest CFS still torching? I do love the cutoff though, Pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 Are there any new seasonal models out? The latest CFS still torching? I do love the cutoff though, Pack. We are only 21 days away from the day I received my first snow last year !! Winter is near! Bring it! Looking forward to alot of bowling balls, ice storms and strong wedgies this winter, it's going to be epicer than ever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 We are only 21 days away from the day I received my first snow last year !! Winter is near! Bring it! Looking forward to alot of bowling balls, ice storms and strong wedgies this winter, it's going to be epicer than ever! It will forever be know as "THE WINTER" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 We are only 21 days away from the day I received my first snow last year !! Winter is near! Bring it! Looking forward to alot of bowling balls, ice storms and strong wedgies this winter, it's going to be epicer than ever! If I were a betting man, I'd have to say there is a chance for severe in spots maybe even December just by past history. Hope not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 Are there any new seasonal models out? The latest CFS still torching? I do love the cutoff though, Pack. Steady drop in temps until mid Jan then warmup? Deff not as cold as last years CFS runs. Edit: Excited to see cold rain's CPC map Meme's this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 11, 2015 Share Posted October 11, 2015 Steady drop in temps until mid Jan then warmup? Deff not as cold as last years CFS runs. Edit: Excited to see cold rain's CPC map Meme's this winter Hopefully, the CFS will start coming around to colder. We seem to have several things in our favor:1) Basin wide Nino (although I'd like to see the eastern regions cool some) 2 ) Several seasonal models show favorable patterns, particularly the 2nd half 3) Declining solar 4) Siberian snow cover looks to increase over the next week or two (although we will have to watch the last few days of the month for melting like last year) 5) Seems like some evidence points to increased blocking potential, based on summer blocking pattern 6) There seems to be a propensity for favorably tracking cut-offs so far this year 7) So far, no big October storms on the horizon Things against: 1) Strong Nino (maybe the STJ overwhelms?) 2 ) Recent tendency for no blocking in winter 3) Cooling in the GOA (though maybe we've had some renewed warming over the last few days?) 4) Feel free to add more here.... And I'm looking forward to some fine CPC charts myself! They will probably roll out in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 We are only 21 days away from the day I received my first snow last year !! Winter is near! Bring it! Looking forward to alot of bowling balls, ice storms and strong wedgies this winter, it's going to be epicer than ever! Your November storm killed our killer winter last year. Let's hold off till December this year, k? Cut-offs are looking good so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Your November storm killed our killer winter last year. Let's hold off till December this year, k? Cut-offs are looking good so far!One thing I think may or may not have some merit is that with the super typhoon recurving and really tanking the AO and the nao did that have any downstream effects on the pattern and the state of the AO through winter especially the strength of the PV? I could be over analysing this but just thought about that last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Are there any new seasonal models out? The latest CFS still torching? I do love the cutoff though, Pack. Euro's October update came out Wednesday and it was pretty good. Look at the MA forum winter thread. I'd link you but I'm on my phone and I'm all thumbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 Latest UK seasonal looks good... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 12, 2015 Share Posted October 12, 2015 One thing I think may or may not have some merit is that with the super typhoon recurving and really tanking the AO and the nao did that have any downstream effects on the pattern and the state of the AO through winter especially the strength of the PV? I could be over analysing this but just thought about that last year. I think the effect of recurving typhoons is temporary. It seems to often induce a colder east, but I don't think it creates a seasonal pattern. I'm hoping the background state is for a -NAO/-AO this year, but I'm not holding my breath. Euro's October update came out Wednesday and it was pretty good. Look at the MA forum winter thread. I'd link you but I'm on my phone and I'm all thumbs. Yep, good stuff over there. Lots of supervolcano talk too! Latest UK seasonal looks good... Looks good. Do they just give you a composite? Or do they break it out by month as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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