SACRUS Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 54 of 56 days at or above 80 central park. 79 on Jul 9 , 74 July 4th. 45 straight with today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 E-ENE flow continues today. with rising Dewpoints and temps closer to 80. Lets see if the park attains 80, might be the only challenge for the next 7 days, Wow, pretty cool that the clouds are colliding in opposite directions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Wow, pretty cool that the clouds are colliding in opposite directions. I think they're at different altitudes so that satellite shot gives the illusion that they're colliding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 I think they're at different altitudes so that satellite shot gives the illusion that they're colliding. Yeah I think you're right actually. It seems like the thinner clouds are up above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Central Park is currently one of the warmest stations relative to normal for the United States so far this month. It's +3.6 is even higher than Seattle at +3.1 and Phoenix at +3.5. The west and east coasts have been warm, while the majority of the nation has been normal to cooler than normal, from the Rockies eastward to the Appalachains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 23, 2015 Share Posted August 23, 2015 Newark was average today. +1/-1. Max/min. City was +3 on both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 86 NYC: 85 EWR: 84 LGA: 83 JFK: 83 ISP: 81 New Brunswick: 86 BLM: 81 TTN: 83 PHL: 87 ACY: 85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Looking ahead at the latest guidance - the next week to two weeks looks to remain overall above normal with a couple of slightly below normal possible mid week followed with a late season surge of heat on/around Aug 30 possible. Averages are falling but August should end solidly positive for most stations +2 to +3. Transient trough moves through this week with wed-thu potential below normal in the metro areas (it'll be interesting to see how departures stack up). Ridge builds back east and the ECM and GFS indicate stronger warmth returns by next weekend with some persistent indication of 850s between 15 and 18c which could yield some 90 degree readings. Tendency for low pressure under the ridge/southeast could create some onshore flow at times. What should become Erika could influence the forecast toards early Sep. 8/24 - 8/25: Humid / warm 8/26 - 8/28 : Temps near or slightly below normal (80s streak should continue) 8/29 - 9/4 : Above to much above normal. Potential heat (90 degree +) peaking 8/30 - 9/2.. 9/5 - beyond: Above normal continues, tropical influence? or drier pattern continues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Some clouds got in the way, but here is the Aurora borealis as seen from the Catskills last evening. I hope you don't mind me using it as a Desktop photo. Well worth any praise it gets. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I hope you don't mind me using it as a Desktop photo. Well worth any praise it gets. Love it. Don't mind at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 GFS OP and some others, CMC, like the 90's throughout first week of Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 What time do overnight models clear the front? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 NYC is on track for a top ten warmest August. NYC is currently at 79.2 with enough warmth in the forecast to maintain a finish above 77.7. The +3.6 so far is the same as my closest station JFK. 80.3...1980 79.7...2005 78.8...1988 78.7...2001 78.5...1995 78.2...1938 78.1...1955 78.0...1939 77.8...1944 77.7...2002/1983 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 KNYC starts the day with a +6 minimum departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 NYC is on track for a top ten warmest August. NYC is currently at 79.2 with enough warmth in the forecast to maintain a finish above 77.7. The +3.6 so far is the same as my closest station JFK. 80.3...1980 79.7...2005 78.8...1988 78.7...2001 78.5...1995 78.2...1938 78.1...1955 78.0...1939 77.8...1944 77.7...2002/1983 NWS tweeted that KNYC is the third warmest on record so far. Same as LGA. Warmest on record for JFK. Newark 5th. Amazing after this February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 NWS tweeted that KNYC is the third warmest on record so far. Same as LGA. Warmest on record for JFK. Newark 5th. Amazing after this February. It really shows how great an outlier the 3rd coldest February was. We quickly got back to business as usual with the 2nd warmest May and now a top ten warmest August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 It really shows how great an outlier the 3rd coldest February was. We quickly got back to business as usual with the 2nd warmest May and now a top ten warmest August. Wouldn't be surprised to see a top ten warmest September either given the expected warming depicted by the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 KNYC logs another 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Just going outside this morning reminds me of July. There's that morning haze in the distance and the sun is already hot at 9:00 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Not surprisingly, the warm El Nino Augusts such as 2002 and 2009 featured a +EPO overall, while the cooler Augusts such as 1982 and 1986 featured a negative EPO. The latter category is likely where 2015 will fall given the current projections for the EPO. This summer, July looks like it will be the warmest month relative to normal. My confidence is high on a cooler than normal August, and this should yield a summer JJA very close to normal temperature wise in our area.bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 bump BURN.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Enjoy the last of the heatbump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Me, winterwarlock and a few others in the New England forum were calling for a above average August. Some of the models were overdoing the cool down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 yeah, these mid 80's are really BIG HEAT. Good lord. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Well certainly more accurate than the cool weenies who declared summer over the last week in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 24, 2015 Author Share Posted August 24, 2015 Well I can admit I was wrong. You're not always right in the weather world. Move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 yeah, these mid 80's are really BIG HEAT. Good lord. Explain my 27 90+ readings this summer then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 I was wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 yeah, these mid 80's are really BIG HEAT. Good lord. Who's declaring Big Heat? If you went back into the July discussion thread, you would see comments of summer being done. Meanwhile, I posted that the models were overdoing the cool down, only to be bashed. Just own up to the fact that you were wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 24, 2015 Share Posted August 24, 2015 Also, remember that it's August and not in the heart of summer. 84 degrees is the average, so any temperature reading above that is above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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