Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 BOX map was wrong. Has been corrected. Up to 22F here already. Nice 38f swing in 3 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Can someone start an Obs thread? Precip just slamming into NW jersey now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've been entirely optimistic for both the trough and this event. Nobody notices when I'm being hopelessly optimistic like the reverend. It'll continue south because it's getting shredded, it's the overall multi day trend and its butt cold over here. It could be playing out nicely for you. But this is morphing into a very minor event up here. Temp rising quickly now. Mostly cloudy, still some patches of blue to my north. 6.1/-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 RGEM is once again all snow at BOS and BDL with 5" ish at the former and 7" ish at the latter. Can't see other stations because only meteograms are out right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Weak and shredded s/w FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 RGEM is once again all snow at BOS and BDL with 5" ish at the former and 7" ish at the latter. Can't see other stations because only meteograms are out right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Weak and shredded s/w FTW. Sun's shining now. The sucky winter of 2014-2015 continues. Alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Radar showing a lot of longitudinal movement. Latitude, not so much. 7.1/-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sun's shining now. The sucky winter of 2014-2015 continues. Alas. Sun has been shining brightly through thin homogenous cloud layer. Starting to get "that look" that worries me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Weak and shredded s/w FTW.it's reaching the point where I may not even snowblow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sun's shining now. The sucky winter of 2014-2015 continues. Alas. You need your tail nailed back to your ass again. Stay still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sun has been shining brightly through thin homogenous cloud layer. Starting to get "that look" that worries me. You'll be okay down there. It might still tone down a little from what the RGEM's showing, but you'll get your advisory levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 it's reaching the point where I may not even snowblow. I wondered with 06z run. With the 12z runs coming in and the sun shining, I think it's an easy call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 So when do we start radar watching for WAA snow development? Mid afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Temperatures are running way ahead of guidance here in CT now. Up to 22F in my backyard with a really gusty southerly wind. Shouldn't make a big difference but interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 one slight shift south and its nothing special here either and i will go out of my mind lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Might be able to pull an 8 or 9 spot out of this mofo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Quite a difference in 4 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 it's reaching the point where I may not even snowblow. The time is nearing for NNE to cash in soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Temperatures are running way ahead of guidance here in CT now. Up to 22F in my backyard with a really gusty southerly wind. Shouldn't make a big difference but interesting. The temps are the thing I'm looking at to indicate if the qpf modeling/trending might be a fail. Radar shows things staying south, but it is warming quickly. 8.5/-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 wow rgem giving me 4-6"I am wondering how the surface temps will be. Gonna be an interesting storm to watch develop. My weenie is getting a bit excited Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 up to 17.7 now from a low of -18.9 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sun has been shining brightly through thin homogenous cloud layer. Starting to get "that look" that worries me. BOX 10 am update: Have faith! "PRECIP SHIELD WELL TO THE WEST ACROSS WESTERN PA/NY AT 10 AM. HOWEVER HI RES ARW AND NMM INDICATE CU FIELD OVER THE OCEAN SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING WILL EVOLVE INTO A NEW PRECIP FIELD AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THUS SHOULD SEE TWO DISTINCT PRECIP FIELDS INVADE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ONE FROM THE WEST AND ANOTHER FROM THE SOUTH BETWEEN 3 PM AND 5 PM." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 BOX 10 am update: Have faith! "PRECIP SHIELD WELL TO THE WEST ACROSS WESTERN PA/NY AT 10 AM. HOWEVER HI RES ARW AND NMM INDICATE CU FIELD OVER THE OCEAN SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING WILL EVOLVE INTO A NEW PRECIP FIELD AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THUS SHOULD SEE TWO DISTINCT PRECIP FIELDS INVADE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ONE FROM THE WEST AND ANOTHER FROM THE SOUTH BETWEEN 3 PM AND 5 PM." For western Mass, there's little faith to be had. The western batch is being shunted very much east rather than north (which I'd be watching in areas currently in the j/p areas given the steady southward movement of modeled qpf). And, the batch moving north will be invading RI/SE Mass not so much CT. Temp's rocketing. 9.1/-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 BOX 10 am update: Have faith! "PRECIP SHIELD WELL TO THE WEST ACROSS WESTERN PA/NY AT 10 AM. HOWEVER HI RES ARW AND NMM INDICATE CU FIELD OVER THE OCEAN SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING WILL EVOLVE INTO A NEW PRECIP FIELD AND OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THUS SHOULD SEE TWO DISTINCT PRECIP FIELDS INVADE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ONE FROM THE WEST AND ANOTHER FROM THE SOUTH BETWEEN 3 PM AND 5 PM." I'm probably the westernmost poster here, about 18 miles from the NY border, so I was expecting darker skies, especially seeing precip edge is about 40 miles away. I try to hang in the closer NYC forum, but its generally full of drama-queens. In fact, today it's been like the Glee cast on meth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS is still really meh overall except for parts of CT. Interesting battle between RGEM and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS is really consistent for the last few runs with respect to QPF totals/distribution. Gives all of western mass above the pike 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Sun's shining now. The sucky winter of 2014-2015 continues. Alas. Went from warm cutter to dusting out here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GFS is still really meh overall except for parts of CT. Interesting battle between RGEM and GFS. Time to just follow the radar and temp gradients--that'll tell the tale. GC is out of the game. Ironically, I'd be pulling for a warmer intrusion in southern zones like Tolland/Windham. I think that'll give the indication that they may get into some decent qpf and with evaporational cooling can realize several inches. I don't see RGEM amounts taking place though--it's continuing to slide. Breaks of sun continue for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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