Southshorewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Emotional Roller coaster of posts in the last four pages. As a heavy equipment operator/plow driver , 3 inches on the coast with high winds and minor flooding could still be a disaster. We still have holes in the sea walls and national guard in town. Let the battle begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 OT but this cold and snow chance winter rolls on and on and on and on..quite an amazing stretch we're in. The fact that many of us are poo pooing 5-10/6-12 is telling for what we're in the middle of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Radar trending to smoke SE CT/RI a bit through early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 The NOGAPS had a SE bias. The NAVGEM is the NOGAPS love child, but it's not entirely the same model so you can't necessarily apply the same biases to it. I wouldn't put much/any stock in it though. Hi , I was being lazy with that response and went back and edited it. NAVGEM was not stronger in mid levels at least compared to 12z GFS at 12z Sunday . It was slightly weaker actually at 7H, but the precip field was just more robust. Is the NAVGEM known to be overly generous with QPF, I am not saying this from a perspective of "NAVGEM" is a red flag! OMG" but just curious if if has a Bias to be QPF friendly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RAP finally caving. 2-3 mb weaker with the NW extension vs a few hours ago. Instead of jamming decent precip well into CT like the 15z it barely gets it into coastal CT in 10-11 hours. The fade begins. Some of the American guidance just butchered that trough/developed a strong low right out of it. Your posts are as warm and fuzzy as a Dostoyevsky short story. 11.8/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A thread dedicated to the queens if New England. Let's see if this event is the "revenge of the queens" or "queens be damned". Harvey broke down the snow totals reserving the lions share for tomorrow morning which he felt would be 5-10+. He also fully acknowledged the lull coming in between. Yup if you add the numbers up, Harv is hedging heavily toward Tomorrow AM, I think the WAA snows look pretty robust this afternoon into this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 18z RAP finally caving. 2-3 mb weaker with the NW extension vs a few hours ago. Instead of jamming decent precip well into CT like the 15z it barely gets it into coastal CT in 10-11 hours. The fade begins. Some of the American guidance just butchered that trough/developed a strong low right out of it. It does start to wrap around nicely hours 14-18, looks like a pretty decent inflow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Your posts are as warm and fuzzy as a Dostoyevsky short story. 11.8/8 I picture Ginxy having a "clinch leatherwood" Voodoo doll with 10,000 holes in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Mark Searles (PVD NBC 10) "Front end of storm drops 2-5" by 9-10PM. A bit of a lull poss for a time overnight as energy shifts around to our S&E " Current radar seems to be lining up with that. Big question is, how much precip is there after the shift? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Slightly OT....but I was just out around the yard surveying the depth, I have noted for the first time all season, that this pack is finally growing more durable. Since the conclusion of the early week snows, I have only lost about 4" to compaction, and I am no longer falling through with ease. 29" avg peak depth now down to about 25". Agreed. This 2 feet I pulled off my roof was much more of a pain in the ass than the prior 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Unfortunately it seems this is trending towards a standard storm rather than something that will be remembered. Just waiting for the wind to amount to nothing as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hey guys! I'm in Boston (was on my way to Cape Elizabeth, ME), but have a gut feeling that things will verify better in Cape Cod than most of the guidance is showing. OTOH, I'm only two hours from downeast ME and if I turn back. ..it has to be my final call. So emotionally and financially invested, I can't be objective in attempting to finalize a definitive forecast on this one. So, here I sit as light snow has just begun to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 My facebook call stays the same for all my inner circle of friends who ask me for opinions. 4-6 here in the Hartford Springfield area, 6-9 in Eastern CT. As bad as some of the qpf looks, I will stay the course based on good snow growth, ratios and a favorable ULL track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Yup if you add the numbers up, Harv is hedging heavily toward Tomorrow AM, I think the WAA snows look pretty robust this afternoon into this evening. Yes. We were discussing last night how this set up on southerly winds is Alaskan but Scooter's Russian analogy may be better. When we get these usually the bl is torched and we have to wait for dynamics. This is obviously a different animal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hey guys! I'm in Boston (was on my way to Cape Elizabeth, ME), but have a gut feeling that things will verify better in Cape Cod than most of the guidance is showing. OTOH, I'm only two hours from downeast ME and if I turn back. ..it has to be my final call. So emotionally and financially invested, I can't be objective in attempting to finalize a definitive forecast on this one. So, here I sit as light snow has just begun to fall. IMO, go to Maine you've got a much better chance of seeing a good if not great event there. CC is a roll of the dice, it'll either be awesome or underwhelming depending on which guidance you believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Radar trending to smoke SE CT/RI a bit through early evening. I think you can extend that up to E/NE mass as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hey guys! I'm in Boston (was on my way to Cape Elizabeth, ME), but have a gut feeling that things will verify better in Cape Cod than most of the guidance is showing. OTOH, I'm only two hours from downeast ME and if I turn back. ..it has to be my final call. So emotionally and financially invested, I can't be objective in attempting to finalize a definitive forecast on this one. So, here I sit as light snow has just begun to fall. Well 3 possibilities in my view. Staying around Boston gives you the city vibe and lots of other people around. Going to the cape will surely expose you to big winds and blowing snow but in terms of pure snow, down east Maine is here you want to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 It does start to wrap around nicely hours 14-18, looks like a pretty decent inflow. It does but that's a huge shift over the course of 3 hours...all the previous runs had the max in central CT, now it's SE MA. It's finally sniffing the fact that it won't be able to cut that hole in the atmosphere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM nails E MA with CCB tomorrow AM. I don't know why people are writing this off as pedestrian especially with high ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 IMO, go to Maine you've got a much better chance of seeing a good if not great event there. CC is a roll of the dice, it'll either be awesome or underwhelming depending on which guidance you believe. I would go to Portsmouth or Just NE of there in extreme SW Maine. IF you look closely most models have lessened totals just NE of Portland toward Mid coast and then ramp them up WAYYYYYY EAST IN Maine. Like Machias, Eastport. Rarely have I seen such consensus in meso scale models as over Portsmouth NH later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM nails E MA with CCB tomorrow AM. I don't know why people are writing this off as pedestrian especially with high ratios. A map for an old queen please. Tyia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 OT but this cold and snow chance winter rolls on and on and on and on..quite an amazing stretch we're in. The fact that many of us are poo pooing 5-10/6-12 is telling for what we're in the middle of.sickening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A map for an old queen please. Tyia. Once the queen fully disrobes. Only out to 17 h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM nails E MA with CCB tomorrow AM. I don't know why people are writing this off as pedestrian especially with high ratios. The board is currently under the remote mind control of Clinch Leatherwood and his 100's of posts . His attitude toward the storm is very negative, but at the same time sees 8-12 w ratio's. So I mean it's a bit of a oxy-moron because I don't think anyone is forecasting 15" for Boston or expecting it. But his "mind set" has cast a turd over the board's mood . I think 12"+ is still on the Table For E Mass, especially Essex county the further NE one goes. it's just not likely but I don't know if anyone would be shocked if BOSTON got a foot, mildly surprised yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 RPM nails E MA with CCB tomorrow AM. I don't know why people are writing this off as pedestrian especially with high ratios. funny that was not mentioned Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SREFs back off a bit for eastern areas...still hits EPO hard and has some better snows in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 Hey guys! I'm in Boston (was on my way to Cape Elizabeth, ME), but have a gut feeling that things will verify better in Cape Cod than most of the guidance is showing. OTOH, I'm only two hours from downeast ME and if I turn back. ..it has to be my final call. So emotionally and financially invested, I can't be objective in attempting to finalize a definitive forecast on this one. So, here I sit as light snow has just begun to fall. Go up to York Beach. Out at Nubble light will be a perfect spot to ride this out. Should have any problem getting a room out that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 I picture Ginxy having a "clinch leatherwood" Voodoo doll with 10,000 holes in it.wut,apparently you think I am a Jp ho,said all along and will tell you again, this storm ain't about big snow and if he thinks 1-3 good for him. He didn't feel the last 18 inches of snow you got either,let's not overlook that or the fact RGEM totally missed wrap around Blizzard 1, he said blizzard warnings should come down post haste, let's see how that plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 A map for an old queen please. Tyia. AS long as he's not pulling a repeat of the poster who had the 12z euro massacre PBP yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2015 Share Posted February 14, 2015 SREFs back off a bit for eastern areas...still hits EPO hard and has some better snows in CT.inch per hour stuff falling right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.