HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Epic thunder snow for some? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 LOL, where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 wut,drunk?nope but I did just light up a cigar and cracked a beer in prep of the 0z runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sorry I missed the 18z run. Was there much change in it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I tried to explain that yesterday but coming from you it will stick. Guaranteed you won't get called Major Tom. Lol On a serious side it's almost time for some strongly worded warnings to start cooming out of the NWS. Well the models had this signature yesterday so it was sometjing we were looking at. As for wind, 9 times out of 10 these trend less impressive in the last 24 hours so we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Well 0z NAM initialization is better than its 12hr prog from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 500mb low still expected to pass south of LI? What about 700? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I mean we might even see pigs flying I know. In Mt. Tolland amazing things can happen, it actually becomes closer to BDL from April to Sept....then the plates shift back and your closer to ORH from Oct to Morch. Nam running.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 LOL, where? If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 LOL. I said "IF". We really aren't that far off from something epic here if it keeps trending. Don't think it's going to happen but potential is there if it stalls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 500mb low still expected to pass south of LI? What about 700?The low centers tilt NW with height until occlusion so if H5 is over LI and the sfc low is SE of LI...then H7 is in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 LOL. I said "IF". We really aren't that far off from something epic here if it keeps trending. Don't think it's going to happen but potential is there if it stalls Not gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Wow, so many crazy soundings around, can't remember if it was in Maine but I pulled one off the GFS with TT of 63 Waterville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 If H5 bowling ball captures SLP a couple of hours sooner and we are going to see totals higher than the blizzard of 2015 LOL. I said "IF". We really aren't that far off from something epic here if it keeps trending. Don't think it's going to happen but potential is there if it stalls We don't have 15 more days for this to tick. Either major moves in these next runs (00) or I'm basically calling 6 for me. After tonight, I'll still leave a 5% chance for, as Kevin says, "things we've never seen before." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 We don't have 15 more days for this to tick. Either major moves in these next runs (00) or I'm basically calling 6 for me.after 12z runs tomorrow I think we know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 after 12z runs tomorrow I think we know Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 0Z NAM is slightly west overall at H500 through hour 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Agreed It's pretty much impossible for this to bring widespread 2-3'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sounds like its going to move towards the other models and tuck in closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Sounds like its going to move towards the other models and tuck in closerYeah...a bit better western and downstream ridging. Gettin diggy wit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 no promises on sensible weather outcome, but 0z NAM clearly shifted southwest with digging thru 33 hours also better upstream and downstream ridging NAM with all its failings, but this is within 33 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Going to have a decent consensus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Yeah...a bit better western and downstream ridging. Gettin diggy wit it. Late to the party per annual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 Certainly getting closer to one with the goal post narrowing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 When I saw the Euro Ens position plots I thought it looked very very good....a big cluster just along and off the southern Maine coast. Somehow I thought the storm was further out. That was a great look. Just based on that I would think the heavy snow would get pretty far west. If we get another tick or two is it a bit of a tipping point in terms of storm duration or a capture/stall? I think this gets captured right, but not till closer to NS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 It's pretty much impossible for this to bring widespread 2-3'.I like how you qualified your statement with the word widespread. If this tucks in perfectly, I could see someone in extreme E MA / NE MA pull off slightly over 2'. Obviously not widespread, but if it happens in a populated area, yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 I like how you qualified your statement with the word widespread. If this tucks in perfectly, I could see someone in extreme E MA / NE MA pull off slightly over 2'. Obviously not widespread, but if it happens in a populated area, yikes. He was comparing it to the blizzard which was more widespread. This just isn't the same beast and it's progressive. Not a hard call to make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 The story is not going to be high snow totals. Man beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 13, 2015 Share Posted February 13, 2015 He was comparing it to the blizzard which was more widespread. This just isn't the same beast and it's progressive. Not a hard call to make. I never said widespread. This will be more "bandy" in nature. But it does have the potential for capture and stall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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