superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Echo WeenieChaser. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Bruh, the LORDS model says no snow for the next 10 days and some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Bruh, the LORDS model says no snow for the next 10 days and some. The LORDS Model tends to be warm-biased at the surface and 850 mb by about 5C. Unskew that from the model and you have a certifiable blizzard at D16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I was going to suggest something simple like...modelreader. Kidding aside, good choice keeping Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Hey Brick. How about changing your name to: IsoQuitTrollinMe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 What about UNCSUCKSWOSNOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The Saturday 00z runs will show a great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The Saturday 00z runs will show a great storm. D16 Superstorm FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Hey Brick. How about changing your name to: IsoQuitTrollinMe? AndYetAnotherRDUGuy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The Saturday 00z runs will show a great storm.for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 As you know, Brian Shrader WRAL is ANTI SNOW. He has started an anti snow page>>>facebook.com/antisnowleague WRAL Elizabeth Gardner LOVES a good snow. She has stared the PRO SNOW page facebook.com/SnowLoversLobby Which camp do you fall in? Go like their pages to show your allegiance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 AndYetAnotherRDUGuy Touche Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 As you know, Brian Shrader WRAL is ANTI SNOW. He has started an anti snow page>>>facebook.com/antisnowleague WRAL Elizabeth Gardner LOVES a good snow. She has stared the PRO SNOW page facebook.com/SnowLoversLobby Which camp do you fall in? Go like their pages to show your allegiance! I like to fall into the fish camp! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 Poor Boston , 3 days of snow in a row, for another 12-18 inches total! They don't know where they are going to put it all!? Poor them! #YANKEEPROBLEMS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 My argument is the models have performed pretty well this year. They have not shown any snowstorm within five days and the last time I checked we haven't had a snowstorm... Sounds like they are working to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 6, 2015 Author Share Posted February 6, 2015 My argument is the models have performed pretty well this year. They have not shown any snowstorm within five days and the last time I checked we haven't had a snowstorm... Sounds like they are working to me....Ask NYC how they worked 2-3 days out ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Ask NYC how they worked 2-3 days out ! They were bitching about a 50 mile swing in the LP center that shafted them... IMO it wasn't that big of a jump, it's just that 50 miles had huge implications.... The models pretty much nailed what happened they were just off on the placement by a touch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 They were bitching about a 50 mile swing in the LP center that shafted them... IMO it wasn't that big of a jump, it's just that 50 miles had huge implications.... The models pretty much nailed what happened they were just off on the placement by a touch.Lol! But you are correct. The models have performed pretty well this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 They were bitching about a 50 mile swing in the LP center that shafted them... IMO it wasn't that big of a jump, it's just that 50 miles had huge implications.... The models pretty much nailed what happened they were just off on the placement by a touch. Lol! But you are correct. The models have performed pretty well this winter. Are we looking at an hourly chart, daily, weekly, monthly? If you say the models haven't shown any snowstorms within 5 days, you'd be correct. If that's the litmus test for the models working well, then ok, they're working well. You could also say the models have shown no 100 degree days with 5 days, so therefore they're working well. It's pretty common for the models to be generally correct about the general pattern within 3 days. It's also pretty common for them to be slightly off on SIGNIFICANT details that impact who gets snow and who gets rain or nothing within a day or even just a few hours. The models have been horrible this year outside of 4/5 days. All of them. I don't think they have been any worse or better in the short range than they usually are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 They were bitching about a 50 mile swing in the LP center that shafted them... IMO it wasn't that big of a jump, it's just that 50 miles had huge implications.... The models pretty much nailed what happened they were just off on the placement by a touch. Quite honestly, that's pretty much within the model noise range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 If you say the models haven't shown any snowstorms within 5 days, you'd be correct. If that's the litmus test for the models working well, then ok, they're working well. You could also say the models have shown no 100 degree days with 5 days, so therefore they're working well. That's a false dichotomy. It's not the time of year for 100º days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 That's a false dichotomy. It's not the time of year for 100º days. Or snow, apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 That's a false dichotomy. It's not the time of year for 100º days. I like a good false dichotomy every now and then! It's apparently not the time of year for snowstorms either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Are we looking at an hourly chart, daily, weekly, monthly? If you say the models haven't shown any snowstorms within 5 days, you'd be correct. If that's the litmus test for the models working well, then ok, they're working well. You could also say the models have shown no 100 degree days with 5 days, so therefore they're working well. It's pretty common for the models to be generally correct about the general pattern within 3 days. It's also pretty common for them to be slightly off on SIGNIFICANT details that impact who gets snow and who gets rain or nothing within a day or even just a few hours. The models have been horrible this year outside of 4/5 days. All of them. I don't think they have been any worse or better in the short range than they usually are. No they haven't. All the winter events shown this year where 240 or more. The ice storm only gave you guys big expectations because of what the NAM was showing and some fell for that. The GFS nailed that event. I would like for you to find something this winter where the models did bad inside day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 I thought there were a couple of storms showing up at day 7 a couple of times for one run and then they went poof. But really it's hard to say they have been bad inside 7 days for us when there has been nothing inside 7 days to follow here. They have been good at showing something from 7 to 10 days out, and then disappearing right after 7 days. It would be so much easier if nothing showed up on the models until 3 days out. At least 5. Would be a lot less disappointment, and probably actually end up happening more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Ask NYC how they worked 2-3 days out ! A lot of that bust was a result of people hugging the Euro, even after other modeling shifted way east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 No they haven't. All the winter events shown this year where 240 or more. The ice storm only gave you guys big expectations because of what the NAM was showing and some fell for that. The GFS nailed that event. I would like for you to find something this winter where the models did bad inside day 7. The Euro has shown a few one-off fantasy snowstorms within 4-6 days, to be fair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 Forget what the groundhog said. I'm buying a really expensive sweater I've been wanting all winter. Here comes spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 You know its the end of the winter when the pbp thread hasn't been updated since yesterday. I stopped looking for snowstorms 2 days ago. Sad this winter has come to this conclusion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 6, 2015 Share Posted February 6, 2015 The Euro has shown a few one-off fantasy snowstorms within 4-6 days, to be fair.When? The "ice storm" doesn't count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.