ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 It's 1-3 for the entire region except the Cape. It's not just a Orh west thing with no snow anywhere else My forecast is a bit more specific. Going broadbrush 1-3 is probably ok but there's def a mini sweet spot on short range guidance over N ORH county to monads and Berkshires. But in the end the difference between 2.4 and 1.6 is pretty trivial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think max for anybody would be 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 My forecast is a bit more specific. Going broadbrush 1-3 is probably ok but there's def a mini sweet spot on short range guidance over N ORH county to monads and Berkshires. But in the end the difference between 2.4 and 1.6 is pretty trivial. But you tend to just give specific forecasts for Mass since you live there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 But you tend to just give specific forecasts for Mass since you live there. makes sense, don't you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 But you tend to just give specific forecasts for Mass since you live there. Usually Ryan chimes in for CT. I'd forecast 1-2 for CT with best shot of 2"+ in litchfield hills. Maybe a 3 spot there. Tapering down to a coating on the south coast of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Nam spits 2-4" somewhere north of woodbride township (Nnj) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
robPAwx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Woodbridge* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'd say a general 1-2" for most of the region(NNE included), with C-1" SE of a BOS to PVD line(I was going to put that line 10-15 miles NW of those two cities but decided to drag it a little SE based on nice runs from the 18z NAM and 4km NAM along with a great look on radar IMO), and up to 3" in NECT hills to ORH hills and then over to the Berks. SWCT(Fairfield county basically) is the wild card as they could either be ~2" if the guidance that has a little secondary max down by NYC(RGEM, 4km NAM, ParaGFS) is right or it'll be C-1" as they are too far SW for the main band. Will go C-2" for now. Might also go 1-3" instead of 1-2" in NWCT hills but want to wait on rest of the 18z guidance first. Tried to stress in my discussion last night though that this is a quick hitting band of mod/heavy snow and is going to be much higher impact than the last light event was considering it's coming out during the commute hours. Don't think it's a terrible idea to throw some WWA's up for the interior where amounts are more in that 2" range and timing is right in the peak of the commute, sure it probably won't verify the 4" criteria but I think you can make a case for it based on impact and intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Looks like a snow to rain scenario for the Cape and Islands, as southwesterly flow deepens it will warm up the column from the surface upwards. Damaging wind gusts of 65mph are likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I am going for 2-4" here on the west slope of Berkshires tomorrow, with the best chance for 4" in the Taconics and up at 2K in the Berkshires. It will likely be a high ratio fluff, so it won't take much moisture to yield some accumulation. Amounts will taper in the Hudson and CT River Valleys with a coating to 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I like Will's idea of C-1" for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I'll bite on a light coating here. Could easily see a scenario where we see nothing more than a few flakes though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I still think Sound and Ocean effect is a wild card Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think we will see a fair amount of 3 inch snowfalls. Fluffy snow, good omega and snow growth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think we will see a fair amount of 3 inch snowfalls. Fluffy snow, good omega and snow growth Shocking news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Shocking news.I think you see 1.5 minimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think we will see a fair amount of 3 inch snowfalls. Fluffy snow, good omega and snow growth Snow growth region is quite thick on the soundings which is good. However, there is some dry air in the low levels on the soundings which I don't exactly like seeing. But I would admittedly rather see the dry air there than in the mid-levels. But it's a yellow flag for getting too bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think we will see a fair amount of 3 inch snowfalls. Fluffy snow, good omega and snow growth agree especially PVD ORH west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 I think you see 1.5 minimum I don't know...snow growth is good, but the whole thing sort of loses its punch as it moves east. But, maybe you and Will eek out like 2.4 or something. I just think 3" east of the ct river may be more the exception if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Awesome, will bring my seasonal total closer to 5"! ¬¬ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Impressive obs and reports coming out of midwest and Lakes with our snow for tomorrow. Same kind of deal DC had on Monday as it came thru ohio Valley. I'm pretty excited most do pretty well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Impressive obs and reports coming out of midwest and Lakes with our snow for tomorrow. Same kind of deal DC had on Monday as it came thru ohio Valley. I'm pretty excited most do pretty wekll It has a bit more punch there, but ORD has a good ob of S+. Normally this get a little juiced as they move east thanks to the ocean, but it seems like we lose the forcing a bit. We'll see. I guess maybe since the mid levels are driving this, it's more immune to the lower levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 lol at the detailed breakdown of this meager system by SR airglow above, almost in Tip fashion. Man, it has actually come down to this? I will take my 1" and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 lol at the detailed breakdown of this meager system by SR airglow above, almost in Tip fashion. Man, it has actually come down to this? I will take my 1" and be happy. I can share my champagne with everyone.Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Awesome, will bring my seasonal total closer to 5"! ¬¬ Can't you measure for yourself? Good luck always using Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 Looks wintery...penny, nickels, and dimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 lol at the detailed breakdown of this meager system by SR airglow above, almost in Tip fashion. Man, it has actually come down to this? I will take my 1" and be happy. In this winter, you've got to take what you can get. Plus, that took me about 90 seconds to type out, not exactly a major exertion of effort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 My call is 1.25" IMBY. I doubt more than 2 or 3 towns in SNE hit 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2015 Author Share Posted January 8, 2015 Looks wintery...penny, nickels, and dimes. Untitled.jpg All treble..no bass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2015 Share Posted January 8, 2015 In this winter, you've got to take what you can get. Plus, that took me about 90 seconds to type out, not exactly a major exertion of effort. For Garth that was 2 hours of typing and 30 minutes to read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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