Shawn Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 James Spann just tweeted this out: GFS continues to show potential high winter impact Wed/Thurs I've felt good about Alabama getting Wintry precip. mississippi also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Doesn't look that great for RDU right now. Cold rain... maybe some IP to end...no impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 James Spann just tweeted this out: GFS continues to show potential high winter impact Wed/Thurs Yeah, AL has always been at much higher risk for something big vs. the bulk of N GA including ATL-AHN. Nothing new there. With nearly 100% confidence, I still say ATL-AHN will be on the outside of this one other than the possibility of something very minor (much less than they got from the various wintry events in late Feb). Could much of that corridor be done with sig. wintry threats for the season? Quite possibly but models can see only so far into the future and the weak Nino says to be wary just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Don't expect much guys! via: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N3Hy1z6n4eY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Looks like it depends on when the cold air and the precip arrives here. If it is colder than modeled, or the precip arrives later, it could be a little surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Looks like it depends on when the cold air and the precip arrives here. If it is colder than modeled, or the precip arrives later, it could be a little surprise. We know how these things always turn out, though. I'd be mildly surprised if we even ended with anything but rain at this point. Of course, I hope I am incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 We know how these things always turn out, though. I'd be mildly surprised if we even ended with anything but rain at this point. Of course, I hope I am incorrect. Usually that is the case. But there have been surprises before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 James Spann just tweeted this out: GFS continues to show potential high winter impact Wed/Thurs Do you have this look for central NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro continues to troll N NC with this Thursday system. Argh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 For GA, the 12Z Euro continues with the idea of only rain other than for the far NW corner. Totally believable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 17m17 minutes ago My thoughts remain the same w.r.t Wed pm/Thursday. Rain changing to snow/sleet then snow. Biggest accumulations likely over TN/KY/WV Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 16m16 minutes ago Some light accumulation over NW Ga, E TN, N and NE NC. Moderate accumulations in VA. Allan Huffman @RaleighWx 15m15 minutes ago For RDU, rain changing to wintry mix by late morning. Ending as snow by mid to late afternoon Thursday. Light accumulation possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro continues to troll N NC with this Thursday system. Argh. I might believe the Euro more than the GFS now. GFS seems to be all over the place. It might have sniffed this out first, but can't seem to get the specifics down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The Euro continues to troll N NC with this Thursday system. Argh. Your a subtle shift south or even just temps being 2-3F to warm for even a bigger snow/ice event. As of now the Euro is showing 3" for your area. Personally I am hoping for just rain, so done with the kids missing school. It does look like a major winter event though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The event Thurs will be totally based on the when and where of the little impulses that roll along....it does look like its over pretty quick but typically with over running setups they last longer than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I know this is not late march but all of the late march snowstorms, and I remember four of them off the top of my head, big snowstorms too, were complete surprises here in the Upstate of SC. I'm just sayin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is it time to put this event in its own thread? Hi-Res GFS clown has been dropping 5"+ run after run here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Freezing rain advisory here tonight...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Is it time to put this event in its own thread? Hi-Res GFS clown has been dropping 5"+ run after run here. Go for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 the RDU SREF for 15Z has a very difficult time with temperatures on Thursday. There is a 20 degree spread in the members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Congratulations to AR, TN, AL, MS, and KY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrdaddyman Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 18Z NAM has zilch for most of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Congratulations to AR, TN, AL, MS, and KY! I hope western and central TN (i.e. Nashville) can cash in. They had a very long snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 18Z NAM has zilch for most of NC. As does the GFS and the UKMET. Looks like we're going to have to resort to hugging Dr. Yes (Euro). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 RAH has taken any mention of snow out of the point and zone forecasts for my area (Johnston Co.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Anyone with Euro access want to discuss what it's doing in the Gulf at D10? Looks like a landfalling tropical system or something, LOL. It moves due north headed for Louisiana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 As does the GFS and the UKMET. Looks like we're going to have to resort to hugging Dr. Yes (Euro). Yeah the models are sticking a fork in the Thurs chances of anything decent.....time to start looking for the first Mod threat in the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 The models have continued to be steadfast in a mid-US ridge around D10. It doesn't look terribly warm here, with somewhat of a NW flow, but it's doubtful we'll see much winter wx to speak of either. It'll be interesting to see what happens beyond that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Yeah the models are sticking a fork in the Thurs chances of anything decent.....time to start looking for the first Mod threat in the SE Yep, these situations never work out for us east of the mountains. The mountains always block the low-level cold air. That's why we have so many Cad events. Only this time the cold air is on the wrong side of the mountains. There has to be a wave riding up the front at exactly the right time and that is very, very, rare. We could see precipitation ending as some scattered flurries or sleet pellets but that's about all I am expecting at this point. Now, having said that.... If we see the front take on more of an east-west orientation then it will improve our chances. However, the models seem to be trending away from that scenario at this time. Our fate will be sealed if the models don't show something worth hanging on to with tonight's runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Anyone with Euro access want to discuss what it's doing in the Gulf at D10? Looks like a landfalling tropical system or something, LOL. It moves due north headed for Louisiana. It's also on the GFS. I love how that low just knocks the HP out in to the Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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