Met1985 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 hopefully we can end this winter with a big storm we all look back and remember.Yeah a nice paste job of a foot would do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Looking at the ensembles some more....would be surprising if we don't see something in March. Atleast west of 85 and especially the mountains.But Mayretta said, the ensembles and weeklies suck, so why even look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 But Mayretta said, the ensembles and weeklies suck, so why even look? He also likes the Euro. The UK and NAVGEM are where it's at! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Suddenly the Euro weeklies that some people bashed when they showed no winter weather are now being trotted out as evidence of blocking and cold coming by the same folks who said they were garbage when they didn't show blocking o cold. Talk about a mental disorder. All hail King Euro, it is a great model but jeezz guys bi polar much?You should have learned by now , we love whatever model is showing cold and snow and toss the ones that show warm and no snow! Marvelous March ! Robert is mentioning ULL again! Saying zonal pattern won't last long, and will get amplified again. Expect some volatility and surprises! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Robert is mentioning ULL again! Saying zonal pattern won't last long, and will get amplified again. Expect some volatility and surprises! Oh, cool, Dulles will get about 30" of snow this month while we all get lots of cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 You should have learned by now , we love whatever model is showing cold and snow and toss the ones that show warm and no snow! Marvelous March ! Robert is mentioning ULL again! Saying zonal pattern won't last long, and will get amplified again. Expect some volatility and surprises! Cold Rain mentioned ULL earlier today. You'll probably get snow and it'll weaken just in time to give Packbacker rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 You should have learned by now , we love whatever model is showing cold and snow and toss the ones that show warm and no snow! Marvelous March ! Robert is mentioning ULL again! Saying zonal pattern won't last long, and will get amplified again. Expect some volatility and surprises! yep virginia, kentucky will get a paste job again and we'll get a cold rain at 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 To bad this isn't for Feb 20th instead of March 20th, would be something that would be interesting for sure. RDU's avg high is in the low-mid 60's at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 fwiw-- JB says he still thinks it snows in Atlanta before it's all said and done. don't fall for the false spring next week...... He has said March 20th til April 10th watch out for wintry weather for past two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 He called Feb when virtually everyone else was bailing. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 March 17th is gonna be the one!! I tell you what, if you look at the 6z GFS, there are so many strong wedges and gulf and coastal lows, if we had this pattern in Jan, we would be telling our great grand children about! Now it's just alot of 30s/40s and miserable cold rain! As somebody mentioned, it really will look like Seatlle around here the next 2 weeks, atleast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 If the NAO goes neg all bets will be off. Looking at the LR GFS you can see what the -NAO does to a storm track. Of course we can't take anything really serious from the GFS (or any other model for that matter at this range) but the 6z had a SE bomb on it around the 16th-18th of this month. The -NAO holds the storm just off the east coast as it shuffles its feet north.. Not saying that we will get a snowstorm during this time period, but if you want the possibility of large totals for your area then you should hope the NAO goes negative. This will be somewhat of a threaded needle type scenario but I would say the needle has a little bigger hole then normal. This should be the last time frame this winter for snow in the SE, then severe season fires up and the tornado chasing begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 If the NAO goes neg all bets will be off. Looking at the LR GFS you can see what the -NAO does to a storm track. Of course we can't take anything really serious from the GFS (or any other model for that matter at this range) but the 6z had a SE bomb on it around the 16th-18th of this month. The -NAO holds the storm just off the east coast as it shuffles its feet north.. Not saying that we will get a snowstorm during this time period, but if you want the possibility of large totals for your area then you should hope the NAO goes negative. This will be somewhat of a threaded needle type scenario but I would say the needle has a little bigger hole then normal. This should be the last time frame this winter for snow in the SE, then severe season fires up and the tornado chasing begins. That setup on the 06Z needs to shift 500 miles west so we are firmly on the severe side of that setup otherwise its cold rain for 99% of us....I have had TONS of cold rain this winter and its time to get some boomers going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 That setup on the 06Z needs to shift 500 miles west so we are firmly on the severe side of that setup otherwise its cold rain for 99% of us....I have had TONS of cold rain this winter and its time to get some boomers going Yeah man I am ready for severe season too. If trends continue like they have all year this will end up being a cutter ha. Nonetheless, we haven't had an impactful -NAO in a while so it will be interesting to see if it holds anything special for part of the board. If there was an ideal pattern for March it would be +PNA, -NAO, & -AO. Currently that is what the 00z indices had for around the 15th so we shall see. Wouldn't mind seeing the -NAO hang around though. That onshore flow would seems to be ideal for meso development on the NC coast going into the beginning of April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 That setup on the 06Z needs to shift 500 miles west so we are firmly on the severe side of that setup otherwise its cold rain for 99% of us....I have had TONS of cold rain this winter and its time to get some boomers going We're gonna need all the help we can get: strong west-based -NAO, cross-polar flow, dynamic cooling ftw, excellent high pressure, and the perfect track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 With the lows averaging above 40 for the next 10+ days I don't know why anyone would root for any kind fo wintry set up. I want severe wx asap! We've already had low Feb tornado numbers and we're on track to have low march numbers...make it stop! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 We're gonna need all the help we can get: strong west-based -NAO, cross-polar flow, dynamic cooling ftw, excellent high pressure, and the perfect track.Plus it has to snow at night! That's the only way snow can accumulate in March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 With the lows averaging above 40 for the next 10+ days I don't know why anyone would root for any kind fo wintry set up. I want severe wx asap! We've already had low Feb tornado numbers and we're on track to have low march numbers...make it stop!Tornados are boring. Just give me the hail! I had three seperate events last year, and they were awesome! Can go years and decades without seeing hail around here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 With the lows averaging above 40 for the next 10+ days I don't know why anyone would root for any kind fo wintry set up. I want severe wx asap! We've already had low Feb tornado numbers and we're on track to have low march numbers...make it stop! You have done a complete 180 over the last few weeks. For the rest of the month, you will be noJ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Give me hurricanes if we are putting in request. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Give me hurricanes if we are putting in request. They're not gonna make the playoffs this year, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 You have done a complete 180 over the last few weeks. For the rest of the month, you will be noJ! Can I be kcirB!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 They're not gonna make the playoffs this year, unfortunately. I follow hockey so much, I just found out last week ATL didnt have a NHL team anymore! Guess I didn't know they been gone like 3 or 4 years! Who knew / cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Can I be kcirB!? Only if you're not stuck in ciffart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 They're not gonna make the playoffs this year, unfortunately. What happened to them? I was at game 7 in 06 when they beat the oilers. It was awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 What happened to them? I was at game 7 in 06 when they beat the oilers. It was awesome. Not enough blocking? How's the GFS look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Not enough blocking? How's the GFS look? Just 5-10 inches of rain for most of WNC the next 10 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 rain.gif Just 5-10 inches of rain for most of WNC the next 10 days... Lol GFS. It is so wet here, if that comes close to verifying, it's going to be a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 Not enough blocking? How's the GFS look? Per the other board, looks to be blocking showing up on the models at mid month and the whatever is going into phase 7! Marvelous March in coming! Lokout for 80s style storms coming! JB and ULL lowes will save March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted March 7, 2015 Share Posted March 7, 2015 rain.gif Just 5-10 inches of rain for most of WNC the next 10 days... lol we really need to dry out here. The ground is so saturated. Oh well will be great for spring and garden time. Also looking at the telleconnections has anyone looked at the dive the AO looks to take! Wow bi polar for sure. A hint of a negative nao and don't look know but the pna keeps pushing higher and higher each day. Mid month on look very interesting if things do not break down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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