mappy Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Can it still be my anniversary storm if it comes on the 20th/21st instead of 19th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 GFS shows 2 pre Christmas rain storms and a post Christmas rain storm. Maybe mood flakes on Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TeleConnectSnow Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Rainstorm after rainstorm. Luckily we will have a better pattern for us as we move into Jan-Feb with a -AO, +PNA, and neutral-negative AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Rainstorm after rainstorm. Luckily we will have a better pattern for us as we move into Jan-Feb with a -AO, +PNA, and neutral-negative AO. Are you taking this to heart? You do know it's the long range, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Rainstorm after rainstorm. Luckily we will have a better pattern for us as we move into Jan-Feb with a -AO, +PNA, and neutral-negative AO. Wishful thinking for sure. We need our +EPO back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Are you taking this to heart? You do know it's the long range, right? just don't respond....he must be posting this kind of stuff on purpose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Gfs is on its own right now......high res and ggem look totally different in regards to the 21st storm, GGEM has a coastal and the high res gfs scoots a weak low off the SC coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Gfs is on its own right now......high res and ggem look totally different in regards to the 21st storm, GGEM has a coastal and the high res gfs scoots a weak low off the SC coast Euro ensemble mean also has a weak coastal. The GFS is an outlier right now but this storm is several days away so expect more solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 agreed, it was in response to the rainstorm after rainstorm comment, which could be totally right but it lacks support right now edit: pretty good support from gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 agreed, it was in response to the rainstorm after rainstorm comment, which could be totally right but it lacks support right now edit: pretty good support from gefs Any solution could be right at this point. Everyone should just be patient. The pattern will eventually get better and we will most likely cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Can anyone remember the last time the GFS was right past 8 days? I cant... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Can anyone remember the last time the GFS was right past 8 days? I cant... Technically, no models are correct ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Gfs is on its own right now......high res and ggem look totally different in regards to the 21st storm, GGEM has a coastal and the high res gfs scoots a weak low off the SC coast Lol...they are all on their own then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Technically, no models are correct ever. This is too philosophical for 1am on a Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Who's staying up for the Euro?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 This is too philosophical for 1am on a Saturday. Not when it's actually my Wednesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Not when it's actually my Wednesday morning Now I think we're falling even deeper into a rabbit hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Who's staying up for the Euro?! raises hand....too bad it doesn't go out to 500 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 raises hand....too bad it doesn't go out to 500 hours... I'm considering making the Chinese model part of my regular stew. They know technology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 This is too philosophical for 1am on a Saturday. Butterfly effect mang. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Hmm, actually this run was pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 I won't believe a china modeled snow storm until they make a good car. Unless they hacked euro code of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 I live across the street from the embassy residence so they're my buddies if they're reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 The storm on 12/20 gives DC some light snow, but just falls apart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 The storm on 12/20 gives DC some light snow, but just falls apart Considering the alternative ohv track, pretty good run. Nice to see it go under us. I expected a shift the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Euro day 10 shows a storm blasting warm air northward into the NE tip of Russia. This is what is foretasted to change the pattern on the ensembles, so at least the Euro OP agrees with the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Wishful thinking for sure. We need our +EPO back. I can't tell if you're serious or just trolling.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 Rainstorm after rainstorm. Luckily we will have a better pattern for us as we move into Jan-Feb with a -AO, +PNA, and neutral-negative AO.Definitely on this us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 I thought the euro op looked great. I'd gladly take a southern slider on the 21st to set up the 24th time frame. You don't want that first storm too strong and drag the baroclinic zone offshore. Just let it move to the 50-50 spot. Ens looked GREAT going into the Xmas -NYE time frame. Patience fellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 13, 2014 Share Posted December 13, 2014 6z GFS has an interesting system during the Day 7 into Day 8 time period... primary low goes to the TN/KY VA/WV border area and then transfers (down to OBX area) to a coastal storm that goes up the Eastern Seaboard to around ACY and then makes a right turn out to sea Also, still has Dec 24th system, but that low is running up the coast just on land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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