danstorm Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Upton has increased snowfall amounts here, now on the border of 6-8". Looks accurate based on banding signature and temperatures staying a little colder than expected. ECM thermal profiles are going to win out over the GFS. -SN 32.5/31 Wind: ENE I have 2" here in Rivervale, doubt we eclipse 5, ratios are awful. I'm straddling the 6-8/8-10 on that new map but obviously I'm thinking less. I would think same story for you but you have some elevation, I'd cap you at around 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Anything above +0.3" in November for NYC is a good month. I hope that they don't wait too long again to measure so we don't ose some to melt like we saw in the past. The one chance I can see for east of the city is if the banding over central NY and PA stays intact enough to swipe our area as it leaves. It should be cold enough at that point to at least have falling snow. Maybe that's what Upton is banking on. Other than that I don't see much hope for accums. Central Park might walk away with 1-2" given what's happened in that area so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Well I went from nothing to less than 1". That's like a 10 billion percent increase!! Can't divide by zero, dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 18z HRRR hits Northern Jersey hard later this afternoon with a pseudo-deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 The one chance I can see for east of the city is if the banding over central NY and PA stays intact enough to swipe our area as it leaves. It should be cold enough at that point to at least have falling snow. Maybe that's what Upton is banking on. Other than that I don't see much hope for accums. Central Park might walk away with 1-2" given what's happened in that area so far. I wish that this was closing off so we could do a little better on the back end. But I will take a slushy coating on the grass before things taper down tonight if we can get some frozen before the precip ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 18z HRRR hits Northern Jersey hard later this afternoon with a pseudo-deformation band. Can't check at the moment, but when you say northern jersey is that NW NJ? Or including EWR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Upton has increased snowfall amounts here, now on the border of 6-8". Looks accurate based on banding signature and temperatures staying a little colder than expected. ECM thermal profiles are going to win out over the GFS. -SN 32.5/31 Wind: ENE According to this you should be pinging soon http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 18z HRRR hits Northern Jersey hard later this afternoon with a pseudo-deformation band. Flips EWR to NYC to snow between 6pm and 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I dont even know where is my location on that map.. 2-4"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Flips EWR to NYC to snow between 6pm and 7pm. Can't check at the moment, but when you say northern jersey is that NW NJ? Or including EWR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 as of 1pm snowfall nyc .2 ewr .9 jfk .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Lol mt holly has under an inch for Piscataway while upton goes 5-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 can you please post latest RAP and HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 According to this you should be pinging soon http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=DIX-N0C-1-24 Yup, some sleet mixing in now. Temp down to 33.3/32. Still thinking my 3-5" call for this area of Westchester is looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 On the new map Upton has me in the 10 to 14 range. I'll be surprised if we get half of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Regardless for all who arent gonna see snow today, we should be excited for winter, pattern as we head deeper into december is looking better and better for snow for all. congrats though to all who are getting they're seasons first snowfall today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 On the new map Upton has me in the 10 to 14 range. I'll be surprised if we get half of that. Agreed. It's sleeting here in Rivervale. Upton is out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Temp suddenly dropped whole degree down to 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Agreed. It's sleeting here in Rivervale. Upton is out to lunch. I haven't measured once, but I know we won't even touch 8" here. Maybe 5-6" once the sun sets and things cool down a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I haven't measured once, but I know we won't even touch 8" here. Maybe 5-6" once the sun sets and things cool down a bit Maybe less than that, I'd go 3-4. Call me a snow snob, but I enjoy fluffy, cold storms much more than these glop fests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 ImageUploadedByTapatalk1417027866.350488.jpg Upton's new map...1-3 eastern essex, 8-10 western. 1-3 SE Bergen, 10-14 NW Bergen. Ouch. Only 1/2" here so far...nice call by them Wow at that cutoff. I'm right on the line between 8-10 and 2-4. At work now and will get to know evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Maybe less than that, I'd go 3-4. Call me a snow snob, but I enjoy fluffy, cold storms much more than these glop fests. I can see some of the higher elevations of Passaic and Bergen counties maybe exceeding 6 but down in the valley where I am there's no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Wow at that cutoff. I'm right on the line between 8-10 and 2-4. At work now and will get to know evening.i'm in NW union county and it's probably going to be too high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DTWXRISK Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 well some of us are happy with those snow "amounts " as of 1pm snowfall nyc .2 ewr .9 jfk .1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeysed Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 sleet now in cadwell. Snow and sleet southern morris county... we changed over in both spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 i'm in NW union county and it's probably going to be too high Forky models did a pretty damn good job honing in on the 725mb warm punch. We'll see if any "wrap around" moisture moves across the area in the form of snow this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Ouch. What do the different colors represent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 What do the different colors represent? Mix line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 What do the different colors represent?The orange line shows where the rain/snow line is on that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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