Zeus Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 And it also has nothing to do with the rest of winter. The short range is always a mental microcosm for the long range for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 Seasons in seasons. Big snows followed by a crappy 2 week period equals climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 The GFS has minor interest at this time but after last weeks performance that's not saying to much at this juncture Yeah the GFS was a huge steaming pile of doo-doo in the D5-6 range in the last event. It was whiffing out to sea. This threat has some good support from non-GFS guidance. So I'm interested...but still fully recognize the timeframe involved. It could easily be a non-event outside of the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 If every month of winter is warm with above normal snow I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I noticed a subtle tendency for the models to shove the higher anomalies north at the ends of their respective runs. Hopefully, that's the start of building higher heights by the Davis Straits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Yeah the GFS was a huge steaming pile of doo-doo in the D5-6 range in the last event. It was whiffing out to sea. This threat has some good support from non-GFS guidance. So I'm interested...but still fully recognize the timeframe involved. It could easily be a non-event outside of the mountains. And probably will be late again to the party, But the threat has some merit and just needs to be monitored for now, The way it has gone up here so far, We have been able to squeak out wintery events every way possible so far............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 And probably will be late again to the party, But the threat has some merit and just needs to be monitored for now, The way it has gone up here so far, We have been able to squeak out wintery events every way possible so far............ what is this like Maines 8th snow event today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Ensembles look rather south for storm 1 through hr 102. We'll see if it pinwheels north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Yep, pinwheeling back..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 A little toasty at 850, but I expect the mean to look like that since the op wasn't cold at that level and the means probably have both amped up and flat members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Yep, pinwheeling back..lol. pretty interesting setup for sure. Something to watch . always have to like when teleconnects have these coincidental drops/rises . potential certainly exits at those juncture points, now lets see if its good for us or disjointed until past us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Seems like some members like the follow up low because the isobars become huge at hr 156 indicating spread. A good storm verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Wow, that's a dam good storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 What about the first wave on Fri nite? Have that too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 What about the first wave on Fri nite? Have that too? Yes..but that wave uis pretty uninteresting...esp for SNE and south of pike...it might start as a few flakes, then rainage. Kind of like last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 The members must be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Friday night seems pretty tough south of the pike as it is now. Reinforcing cold Saturday aftn and night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 The members must be interesting. I came to that realization much earlier in life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I thought Friday/Saturday system was the cold front moving through the region.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2014 Author Share Posted December 3, 2014 Should be a fun period the weekend into next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Ice storm enroute, stock up on the rock salt, beer, and candles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I'm thinking this has been getting some play in mass and social media. Numerous people have asked me about Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 EC ensembles are also balls cold at the sfc too for early next week threat. That's a pretty potent high...one reason we watch those Quebec highs so closely is they can often be under-modeled initially. Too bad we're still 5+ days out. I'd like to get that depiction about 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 It's not recurving.****e just got realhttp://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/22W_gefs_latest.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 I'm thinking this has been getting some play in mass and social media. Numerous people have asked me about Monday It's all over Twitter from what I've seen. I tweeted that the EURO/GGEM would suggest a storm and left it at that, but plenty of the weenieologists are tweeting snow maps and model maps in full force and the social media hype parade is starting up. When you think about it, it's usually around this time that you start to see people talk about an event. Get it to tomorrow at 12z and you'll start to see media mentioning it tomorrow night I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 Even JB seems skeptical of the euro right now...I do like it during El Ninos and it did hit this last event but only 3...maybe 4 GFS ensembles at 144 hours support it. If JB is skeptical then I am going all in on this storm(s). That man has never met a modeled hurricane or blizzard he didn't like. And if he suddenly doesn't like it, then it must be about to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 the euro shows a nearly carbon copy of haiyan's track with hagupit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 what is this like Maines 8th snow event today? Yeah, Steve, # 5 for me here but DE and Car area had at least 3 more events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 ****e just got real http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/22W_gefs_latest.png The 12z ECMWF and GGEM don't even sniff a curve. Not yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 3, 2014 Share Posted December 3, 2014 what is this like Maines 8th snow event today? lol yeah it's been a good start in NNE...I've had at least 10 days/events worth of accumulating snow so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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