NEG NAO Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Todays GFS shows the continued blocking/trough off the east coast which relaxes at times to allow the heat ridge out west to expand east briefly - also have to keep an eye on the tropics in the 8 - 10 day frames shows a tropical system making landfall in the GOM http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850®ion=us&t=l http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr water vapor shows exactly why the heat can't expand east http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Todays GFS shows the continued blocking/trough off the east coast which relaxes at times to allow the heat ridge out west to expand east briefly - also have to keep an eye on the tropics in the 8 - 10 day frames shows a tropical system making landfall in the GOM http://www.weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0&plot=850®ion=us&t=l http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=kewr water vapor shows exactly why the heat can't expand east http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/wv-animated.gif Post should be titled, June 2014 will be 2009's almost equally, cool cousin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Lol....I will take above normal again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Lol....I will take above normal again What's your reasoning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Lol....I will take above normal again Same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Post should be titled, June 2014 will be 2009's almost equally, cool cousin. Bust. That June was cool and wet. This month at least the start of it looks dry and about average temp wise. Nothing like 2009 (Again the 1st week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted May 31, 2014 Author Share Posted May 31, 2014 Post should be titled, June 2014 will be 2009's almost equally, cool cousin. Now wouldn't I look foolish to put that in the headline if it doesn't even come close ?? Anyways I expect there is going to be periods when the trough and its cool east flow lessens its grip on us and the heat makes it here for brief periods - so I expect at least a couple 90 + days closer to mid month and beyond and quite a few 80's days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Post should be titled, June 2014 will be 2009's almost equally, cool cousin. I seem to recall somebody saying May was going to be an August 2011 repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 The first week of June looks above normal and the second week looks closer to normal. So we should carry a positive temperature departure for the first half of June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted May 31, 2014 Share Posted May 31, 2014 Houston We Have A Problem? Houston just had the first May without a 90 degree day since 1970! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Houston We Have A Problem? Houston just had the first May without a 90 degree day since 1970! Interesting.. how far below normal for the month are they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Another gem of a weekend - we have had a decent stretch of weekend weather overall the past few weeks. 75 and gorgeous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Another gem of a weekend - we have had a decent stretch of weekend weather overall the past few weeks. 75 and gorgeous Agreed, not too often do I not remember having the A/C on by early June and yet we still finished solidly above normal this May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 What a great day at the shore. Lov the AC effect 40 feet from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Interesting.. how far below normal for the month are they? http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/index.php?action=update_product&product=TDept Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/index.php?action=update_product&product=TDept 7th wettest May on record there. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_hou_top10_may Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Agreed, not too often do I not remember having the A/C on by early June and yet we still finished solidly above normal this May.Finished with a temp departure here of +0.7 degrees for May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 Finished with a temp departure here of +0.7 degrees for May. +1.0 here with a mean temp of 61.9. Very comfortable month overall with little need for heating or A/C. Total heating degree days of 5569 for the 2013-14 season, which is above average by a few hundred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 7th wettest May on record there. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=climate_hou_top10_may That's one way to kill the 90s. Have it be cloudy and rain all month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 1, 2014 Share Posted June 1, 2014 +1.0 here with a mean temp of 61.9. Very comfortable month overall with little need for heating or A/C. Total heating degree days of 5569 for the 2013-14 season, which is above average by a few hundred. Wow cant get much closer than this with 5562 HDD here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 Thurs looks to be the better chance for stronger T storms - And coming from the SW, I think these may hold together onto Long Island . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 Thurs looks to be the better chance for stronger T storms - And coming from the SW, I think these may hold together onto Long Island . The NAM looks a LOT better as it tracks the storm north of us (a pretty strong LP system for June as depicted). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 The NAN looks a LOT better as it tracks the storm north of us (a pretty strong LP system for June as depicted). The GFS Looks like the Euro Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 That's one way to kill the 90s. Have it be cloudy and rain all month.stagnant patterns are the new norm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 The 12z Euro and GGEM both really hammer the area on Thursday as a convective low traverses the country. The 12z ECMWF tracks an MCS from Nebraska on Tuesday night through the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and into the area on Thursday morning - Thursday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 The 12z Euro and GGEM both really hammer the area on Thursday as a convective low traverses the country. The 12z ECMWF tracks an MCS from Nebraska on Tuesday night through the Ohio Valley on Wednesday and into the area on Thursday morning - Thursday afternoon. Not for nothing. My lawn and Garden need the rain. Its been a fairly dry couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 Not for nothing. My lawn and Garden need the rain. Its been a fairly dry couple weeks. Nothing measurable here since the 24th of May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted June 2, 2014 Share Posted June 2, 2014 The OP and Euro Ens have a closed low heavy convection signal for Thursday. They both stall the warm front out close to the area with plenty of overrunning moisture available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 The OP and Euro Ens have a closed low heavy convection signal for Thursday. They both stall the warm front out close to the area with plenty of overrunning moisture available. S.gif 5.gif I hope that happens blue, these warm front setup always seem to go more south as we get closer the last few years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted June 3, 2014 Share Posted June 3, 2014 The 06z GFZ seems to have a problem here :http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_150_10m_wnd_precip.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=06¶m=10m_wnd_precip&fhr=150&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20140603+06+UTC&ps=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Just 3 hours later the cluster west of the GL region is at the East Coast! A 1000 miles in 3 hours!? It is really 27 hours. Frames need to be put back in sequence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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