Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=201402151424-KNES-TXUS20-SPENES Do you have difax machines kicking around lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 All hail Canada and Europeans I guess, hey MPM 2-3? in Bartlett but as far as GC, you are missing some goods as we speak Thanks, Steve. You're in a fun spot for watching this unfold. On the edge of the envelope there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 NAM hasn't even been initialized yet. Ugh. It's going to be a long day. When do we get the RGEM? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 LOL. I had to try that the other day. Ended up needing a new router and had to run down to Staples in the snow Thursday for a new one. Maybe they have a Staples nearby. GYX is showing the Whites picking up quite a bit, but nothing just below them. Hopefully, we'll be able to pull down a few in Bartlett. Since the snow is currently at the level of the picnic table, I guess if we miss out, it won't matter much. What you're actually seeing there is the upslope snow on the backside of the system. Our storm total graphic must have gone that extra 6 hour period to pick that up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 The panic that just set over the TV rip and readers is palpable Yes they do look nervous this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 moving parts coming together: http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=BWI&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20130306&endTime=-1&duration=4 So that convection as currently depicted seems to line up well of your on the big solution bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I like how they call us "The New England." Did they comment on trends vs modeled? They focus on the satellite features, not so much the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Congrats, first 21 only, dont fret Maine crew you get buried later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Do you have difax machines kicking around lol We probably do have one sitting around the storage room somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 NAM hasn't even been initialized yet. Ugh. It's going to be a long day. When do we get the RGEM? lol I think it's kind of fun. Break out the colored pencils and do some hand drawn maps. Use satellite to nowcast. Old school. But yes, heavy, heavy sitting on our hands right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Congrats, first 21 only, dont fret Maine crew you get buried laterWith such a tight gradient, I wish we could see county lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Might be able to see hints of Norlun now..Look at that heavy snow over E central NJ moving north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 What you're actually seeing there is the upslope snow on the backside of the system. Our storm total graphic must have gone that extra 6 hour period to pick that up. Thanks--I wouldn't be suprised to see some enhancement realized here from that by actual snow and blow-off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Congrats, first 21 only, dont fret Maine crew you get buried later On the coast... I'll take my 4-6 and be content. Given CAR forecasting 12-18 for Downeast, what must the Maritimes be expecting? White Juan 2.0? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Just don't have a good feeling for this one in CT. We were too far east/warm to cash in on part 1 on Thursday...too far east to get into the CCB snow Thursday night, and now too far west to really expect much here. Sorry...weenie rant I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 last nights Euro, love this website by the way http://www.weather.us/animatedOK/watch.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Rgem is ugly. Under 5mm for most of ct and western ma. Maybe a little wetter in extreme eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I think it's kind of fun. Break out the colored pencils and do some hand drawn maps. Use satellite to nowcast. Old school. But yes, heavy, heavy sitting on our hands right now. Do they still teach those skills? lol, that's how things were done when I first got in the business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Rgem is ugly. Under 5mm for most of ct and western ma. Maybe a little wetter in extreme eastern areas. its only out to 12 hrs, where are you getting precip totals from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Looking at it rgem is a toaster bath for many. It's an epic gradient. Don't hold me to these numbers as I'm guesstimating off crude maps but looks like it dropped all of ct to under 5mm, all of ma west or Worcester under 5. Ri would be in the 7-8mm range. Se ma 12-15mm. Cape cod more. Taunton maybe 6mm? It looks like it backed off but now has the nam epic totals near ack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 its only out to 12 hrs, where are you getting precip totals from?There is a clear dryslot showing up in N Central CT on the front end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Some nice obs coming out of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Some nice obs coming out of NJ Radar looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Bump those up for ri to boston. 7 or so including Taunton maybe 8mm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Looking at it rgem is a toaster bath for many. It's an epic gradient. Don't hold me to these numbers as I'm guesstimating off crude maps but looks like it dropped all of ct to under 5mm, all of ma west or Worcester under 5. Ri would be in the 7-8mm range. Se ma 12-15mm. Cape cod more. Taunton maybe 6mm? It looks like it backed off but now has the nam epic totals near ack It actually doesn't even get BOS to advisory snow...its a horrific run. Not sure I buy it though. RGEM has been pretty far east this whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Rgem track was dead on from last run. Looks kind or what the chat from ostatewx posted. West of the main event rgem struggles to develop moisture. When the cumulative map is in my guess is it has more over the cape than last run, less well west about the same around Taunton etc. it's still not buying a significant hit very far west and is definitively dryer the first 12 hours west of main. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 is the model being compromised by the lack of model data that nws referenced as one of the reasons that they could not run 12z models? does rgem use only their data? It actually doesn't even get BOS to advisory snow...its a horrific run. Not sure I buy it though. RGEM has been pretty far east this whole storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 It actually doesn't even get BOS to advisory snow...its a horrific run. Not sure I buy it though. RGEM has been pretty far east this whole storm. It actually upped totals a lot on the cape. Prolific qpf with 58mm overnight just offshore. But west of about Quincy to east providence it cut everything. Everyone loves the hrrr. IMO before it crashed it was a toaster bath too. Rap looked fine though. Rgem was late to realize how much would fall over the cape but it's cut back in ct at 6 and now 12z confining precip to this mega band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Radar looks good. radar looks a million times better than i thought it would.. i wasnt expecting it to look like that until 4pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 is the model being compromised by the lack of model data that nws referenced as one of the reasons that they could not run 12z models? does rgem use only their data? No, RGEM is a Canadian model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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