UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Light snow currently falling.. Amazing how even the lightest precip is overrunning the dry air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 District is too big. It really should be broken up. Kids in Queens and SI and part of Brooklyn will have difficulty getting in. Manhattan is different. The Bronx will likely have even more snow. Who will staff these schools? Staff concerns should be considered as well. Guys, school discussions should be in the banter thread. Deleting all these. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILiveforThis! Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Light snow, coating. Scarsdale approx 2 miles south of White Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think school closings deserve it's own thread or in the banter thread. The obs thread used to say shut up and post obs for a reason although posting short term models is okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 the administration is getting reports of 4-8 inches. NYC schools do not close for that. if there is a changeover as modeled, they feel they can get the day in. All of the major forecasters in the area are going with around 6 then rain. Even Joe Sobel. Are they gonna believe them or people here? When I was a kid the NYC schools did not close for snow. If they are wrong they will shrug it off. Not all major forecasters. Nick Gregory had 9 to 12 for NYC, and said it could go even higher based on the new data tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 light snow Monroe,nj coating already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 All Snow so far! Maybe a coastal front on the jersey cost though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovintheWhiteFluff Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Changed over to rain down in Beach Haven West. Good luck to everyone!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Changed over to rain down in Beach Haven West. Good luck to everyone!! Sorry man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NYC will most likely see 12+ inches of snow out of this. Looks like a MECS/HECS is on tap. Mecs looks very possible. NYC 12"+ looks like a good call too...i do hate the terms secs, mecs and hecs though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I've noticed on the latest RAP and HRRR that rather than push right into NENJ, the heaviest returns and the best dynamics move from Monmouth county into Long Island bypassing this area. Is this maybe a good thing and a sign that the colder air is preventing a changeover longer ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 earlier this evening someone posted a gif of a hrrr run. Could anyone post an updated gif of that model? Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Check out what our friends in DC are getting right now (smoked): http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Check out what our friends in DC are getting right now (smoked): http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-6 Those bands are slamming on the brakes at the M/D line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Check out what our friends in DC are getting right now (smoked): http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=LWX-N0Q-1-6 and thats right in time for rush hour but b4 that take a look at the AC- PHL line and smile , thats 35-40 DBZ moving at a snail's pace probably up this way from 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 earlier this evening someone posted a gif of a hrrr run. Could anyone post an updated gif of that model? Thank you The latest run smokes our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 22.9F Light Snow 0.1" so far FWIW people down in dc reporting thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Light snow continues in avenel. When do you guys think the heavier snows begin to move north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pennfisherman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Don't know how to post just the loop. Here's the HRRR loop 4z. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2014021304&plotName=acsnw_t3sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR has close to a foot of snow for NYC by tomorrow afternoon. That's before the CCB comes through at night. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I hope so, so far this is fizzle fizzle as it moves north, very light snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR has close to a foot of snow for NYC by tomorrow afternoon. That's before the CCB comes through at night. WOW. Sometimes it over corrects though so we have to keep an eye on it. Also The RAP seem be handling the low level warming better with the rain the the Jersey shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GooGoo Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 HRRR 1 hr accumulated snowfall at noon today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickD2011 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are the 40+ dBz echoes near the shore around Toms River snow or sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are the 40+ dBz echoes near the shore around Toms River snow or sleet? Looks like sleet on the CC product. Coastal front setting Up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Are the 40+ dBz echoes near the shore around Toms River snow or sleet? Looks like sleet on the CC product. Coastal front setting Up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Took this from NWS ALB, talks about the coastal front setting up all the way to Nantucket: AS OF 1215 AM EST...A 1003MB LOW PRESSURE EAST OF WILMINGTON NC WASTRACKING NNE ABOUT 25 MPH. THIS LOOKS TO BE THE PRIMARY LOW CENTERTHAT WILL BECOME A FULL BLOWN NOR`EASTER BY LATER TODAY.MEANWHILE...THERE WAS A SLEW OF CONVECTION OFF THE EASTERNSEABOARD...NEAR THE GULF STREAM WHICH WILL HELP PUMP THE STORM ANDEASTWARD RIDGE...LIKELY FORCING THE STORM RIGHT UP JUST OFF THEEASTERN SEABOARD.ALSO...IT APPEARS THAT A COASTAL FRONT WAS SETTING UP EVEN AS FARNORTH AS NANTUCKET WHERE SURFACE WINDS HAVE SHIFTED TO THESOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BE THE PATH THE STORM TAKES...JUST OFF THEEASTERN SEABOARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I remember this being brought up before but correct me if I'm wrong but this is the 650-500mb EPVg but I think we need this to move up to bring the heavier snows in. We need the forcing to move more north which will happen in due time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Im a light to moderate snow but at 20 degrees the ratios must be a lot better than 8-10/1 that some were predicting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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