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TwcMan

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Everything posted by TwcMan

  1. TwcMan
    I wish @Isotherm would post. I wonder what his thoughts are. I haven’t seen a post from him in a while. He’s been solid (minus the snowfall so far) for the winter.
  2. TwcMan
    Meanwhile the MJO does its thing. Looks great.
  3. TwcMan
    PNA hopefully relaxes a bit by the 20th.
  4. TwcMan
    Payback for the 14-15 winter lol
  5. TwcMan
    18z GFS and 18z PARA couldn’t be more opposite of each other. Absolutely effin horrible. Ef this winter right in the A..
  6. TwcMan
    PARA looks amazing. But it’s the Para..
  7. TwcMan
    According to this, the AO will trend back to neutral/negative territory by the middle of the month. I’m more concerned about what the pacific does over the Atlantic. EPO can stay negative, with the PNA rising to neutral territory by the middle of February.
  8. TwcMan
  9. TwcMan
    Feels great out. The MJO looks great for later this month.
  10. TwcMan
    Best look of the season thus far.
  11. TwcMan
    2010-11 was giving 95-96 a run for its money. But unfortunately, winter ended after the early Feb ice storm that year.
  12. TwcMan
    The snow pack was amazing by the end of Jan 2011.
  13. TwcMan
    I believe a favorable pacific pattern is more important to have in our favor over a favorable Atlantic. You can still snow with a +NAO but it’s much more difficult to snow with a +EPO/-PNA.
  14. TwcMan
    -EPO +PNA -NAO -AO MJO p8/p1 Ticking timebomb of a pattern if those indices were to occur all at once.
  15. TwcMan
    Crazier things have happened in the past. You never know. Chances dwindle after Feb 20th but we could get snow in April. Would be funny if our snowiest months this winter occurred in November and April. Not sure if that’s ever happened before.
  16. TwcMan
    Like I said before, this is the worse winter just because of the constant teases. “It’ll get better”, “pattern will change”, “damn confluence pressing too much”, “damn confluence not pressing enough”, “DC is snowing”, “more virtual snow”, “arctic outbreak to cutter 12 hours later to arctic outbreak 12 hours after”, etc.. lol
  17. TwcMan
    Comical!! A real knee slapper!!
  18. TwcMan
    according to this, the EPO is already negative. How accurate are these graphs? That’s an ugly PNA.
  19. TwcMan
    Some light at the end of the tunnel?
  20. TwcMan
    Colder in Philadelphia than it is in Caribou atm.
  21. TwcMan
    About 0.5” in scotch plains. Heaviest snow I’ve seen since Jan ‘16.
  22. TwcMan
    That was epic!!
  23. TwcMan
    The snow showers today will be the highlight of January and the winter (minus nov) thus far for NYC.
  24. TwcMan
    I posted this in the Jan thread but this isn’t a bad look at all for February. We’ll see if it holds or trends better with time. MJO is heading into p8.
  25. TwcMan
    Not a bad look.
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