packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Someone needs to put out a recon mission to make sure Brick is okay. He is probably curled up in the fetal position knowing that CLT/GSO are getting 12" and we are flipping to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 LOL, will settle for a 25 miles Euro shift east. Latest SREF takes it right over HAT How does that compare to the last SREF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I am still learning what that is a good thing, correct? SREF was good, we need it just off Hatteras, anything inside and we are toast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 How does that compare to the last SREF? Looks same to me, but all I looked at was SLP track, still 36+ hours out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 2 things for central NC folks, we want the SLP track south of the GA/FL line and over/east of HAT. We will know by 36 hours on the models if the SLP is tracking through GA or not. Our western NC friends want the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 2 things for central NC folks, we want the SLP track south of the GA/FL line and over/east of HAT. We will know by 36 hours on the models if the SLP is tracking through GA or not. Our western NC friends want the opposite. The WPC preferred track on the map posted in the main thread is really close to just that, is it not? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM IS ROLLING. ALL IN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 2 things for central NC folks, we want the SLP track south of the GA/FL line and over/east of HAT. We will know by 36 hours on the models if the SLP is tracking through GA or not. Our western NC friends want the opposite. Which models are south of the line and which ones are north right now? I have a feeling that I'm going to see a lot of sleet. It seems like the higher resolution models have found a warm layer in the column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The WPC preferred track on the map posted in the main thread is really close to just that, is it not? Yes, but on the edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Which models are south of the line and which ones are north right now? I have a feeling that I'm going to see a lot of sleet. It seems like the higher resolution models have found a warm layer in the column. Euro is the only one NW of that line, so far, but it has led the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeVa Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 50-75mile shift would do wonders for Hampton Roads and RDU. There is nothing worse meteorologically than 33 and rain. It honestly would be better if this shifts farther west and makes us an unequivocal 40 and rain, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Noticeably colder and dryer air this morning in Chapel Hill. And breezy. The CAD wedge starting to take hold. However; I wondering if the warm nose as modeled might bring many folks to or above freezing for long enough Wednesday night to evade catastrophic ice accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 2 things for central NC folks, we want the SLP track south of the GA/FL line and over/east of HAT. We will know by 36 hours on the models if the SLP is tracking through GA or not. Our western NC friends want the opposite. Well forgive me our western friends but I REALLY want a 25-50 mile shift to the east. You guys will be getting a foot of snow while it looks like rain for us. Wouldn't you still be happy getting 9" of snow while hooking us RDU peeps up with a few inches? If the roles were reversed I would be willing to share and be pulling for a NW turn . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldamon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Brick sighting in Forecast thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Come on NAM, bury me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Man, I am so nervous today. Not sure what to expect. Have models showing more snow, some showing ice, and so close right on the line. And then I see maps from DT and the News 14 in-house model showing a big snow for here and less ice. JB also thinks it will be more snow here. And looked like WxSouth thinks more snow here and the ice will be in SC. I wouldn't mind a mix of snow and sleet, but I don't want a lot of freezing rain. I am worried about the trees in my backyard that are close to the house if we get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 50-75mile shift would do wonders for Hampton Roads and RDU. There is nothing worse meteorologically than 33 and rain. It honestly would be better if this shifts farther west and makes us an unequivocal 40 and rain, lol. 33 and rain? For all that is holy give me 33 and rain in the RDU area! We are facing a major ice storm per the latest runs. Really really bad stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You'll know it's bad when you hear a low hum followed by a loud explosion as the ice kills the transformers (which is quite a pretty sight at night). And yes, I know I'm sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Man, I am so nervous today. Not sure what to expect. Have models showing more snow, some showing ice, and so close right on the line. And then I see maps from DT and the News 14 in-house model showing a big snow for here and less ice. JB also thinks it will be more snow here. And looked like WxSouth thinks more snow here and the ice will be in SC. I wouldn't mind a mix of snow and sleet, but I don't want a lot of freezing rain. I am worried about the trees in my backyard that are close to the house if we get that.Don't worry, unless the Euro is right! Then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Quarter mile from Brick Where are you located? I forgot and can't see anyone's location anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The Euro is much better in the medium range, rather than short range, so yall are good in Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I really don't like RaleighWx's new map. That freezaing rain needs to saty away and shift that snow east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Worse than 33 and rain? 25 and rain. Much worse. Anything but that. A glaze of freezing rain is OK, just a slight glaze, not half inch or more accrural though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 We need big east then. Welcome back, Brick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Folsk, I actually have a life outside of here. And I need to sleep sometimes. And work sometimes. Man, for once I hope DT is right. I much prefer his map than RaleighWx's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I really don't like RaleighWx's new map. That freezaing rain needs to saty away and shift that snow east. I was just thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Amazing how fortunate we were during the late Jan event for it to be so cold. Snowing harder than it ever did then and not sticking haha. It's really trying though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Noticeably colder and dryer air this morning in Chapel Hill. And breezy. The CAD wedge starting to take hold. However; I wondering if the warm nose as modeled might bring many folks to or above freezing for long enough Wednesday night to evade catastrophic ice accrual.Yeah, based on the Euro, I think we'll be mostly rain after starting out as a mix of sleet/IP/ZR, which won't last long, maybe an hour or two. No back end snow either as it'll be too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 SREF plumes keep at RDU near or above freezing for most of the storm. That'll take care of the ice problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The NAM may have ticked east by 5 miles or so. Trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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