Powerball Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 00z GGEM looks ok, but it continues to take baby steps towards a more GFS-like solution (even more northern stream-dominant). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 0z UKMET is another major for Alek and company Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Tim bust another forecast and LAF breaks the unofficial record. Only way for it to go down... Congrats LAF. Call me, Joey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Tim bust another forecast and LAF breaks the unofficial record. Only way for it to go down... Congrats LAF. Call me, Joey And another Chistorm thread started that ends up in suppression. I've got the next one, BMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 00z UKMET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 How does the 0z euro look precip wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 And another Chistorm thread started that ends up in suppression. I've got the next one, BMH. lots of limp weenies next winter. at least we're closing in on 50" SEMI style this yawn filled one... what a terrible climate they have. think of all the positives you can because next winter is dead at birth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 lots of limp weenies next winter. at least we're closing in on 50" SEMI style this yawn filled one... what a terrible climate they have. think of all the positives you can because next winter is dead at birth. We traded in most of our nickels and dimes for paper money this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 lots of limp weenies next winter. at least we're closing in on 50" SEMI style this yawn filled one... what a terrible climate they have. think of all the positives you can because next winter is dead at birth. All of a sudden you're a long range prophet? You should start a paid subscriber service like Accublunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 We traded in most of our nickels and dimes for paper money this winter. Hopefully, we'll get a Benjamin or two as well (if you get my drift). This storm has potential to do just that if we get a solution similar to the UKMET. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 All of a sudden you're a long range prophet? You should start a paid subscriber service like Accublunder. My milwaukee's beast gut rot can long range out-forecast the best. Nina next winter going to make you go back to mall map chasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Man the differences at 500mb between the GFS and the NAM/Euro is pretty drastic still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 no matter what any model shows this not so far out it will fail here. has all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 no matter what any model shows this not so far out it will fail here. has all winter. How did December 22nd work out for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 How did December 22nd work out for you? won the 9" se MI snow storm lottery. exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 And another Chistorm thread started that ends up in suppression. I've got the next one, BMH. You fail to realize that there's no suppression and that you're sitting in a decent spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 You fail to realize that there's no suppression and that you're sitting in a decent spot. you fail to care every threat for him has been depression outside about 4 hrs of snow. congrats LAF.. Surprised timmy hasn't dumped on this one already for LAF. Should be a good battle between, models, hoosier and lady friend this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 You fail to realize that there's no suppression and that you're sitting in a decent spot. I'm guessing he's meaning suppression as in "the jackpot looks to be south of me." Not saying I agree with that way of thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 liar 2-4" for laf call coming as early as 12z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I predict 2-4" for LAF. IWX agrees: "...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A 2 TO 4 INCH TYPE SNOWFALL ISPOSSIBLE" lol I just took that out of context. They are talking about the northern part of their forecast area (up around Indystorm's way). I predict a lot of "unknown precipitation" reports from FWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 you fail to care every threat for him has been depression outside about 4 hrs of snow. congrats LAF.. Surprised timmy hasn't dumped on this one already for LAF. Should be a good battle between, models, hoosier and lady friend this weekend. lol, not sure there is much to say for LAF other than a mixed bag is looking more likely. Still a host of solutions out there on the models. Regardless, I think it looks good for SE WI right now. Hope it does well for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 hard to take this too seriously with the GFS remaining garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 You fail to realize that there's no suppression and that you're sitting in a decent spot. I am now, but I wouldn't be surprised if there is another tick south. There are still 2 days left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 hard to take this too seriously with the GFS remaining garbage. LOT seemed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 And of course, if the screwy model solutions weren't enough, the 12z NAM is over an hour late and has yet to come out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 hard to take this too seriously with the GFS remaining garbage. Probably the best ensemble agreement of any storm this season too, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Latest RAP for wave 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 And of course, if the screwy model solutions weren't enough, the 12z NAM is over an hour late and has yet to come out. looks like it will be 2-3 hours for any american 12z models.... NOUS42 KWNO 151437 ADMNFD SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD 1433Z SAT FEB 15 2014 12Z MODEL PRODUCTION CYCLE DELAYED.. DUE TO THE MAJOR CIRCUIT AND INTERNET SERVICE ISSUE AT THE TOC/GATEWAY.. FURTHER DELAY OF 2HRS WE ARE STILL DELAYING THE START OF THE 12Z CYCLE RUNS.. . DUE TO THE ON-GOING ISSUES AT THE GATEWAY/TOC. THEIR VENDOR/CONTRACTOR SAYS THEIR WORK COULD TAKE UP TO 2-3 HRS ADDITIONALLY... CURRENT VENDOR ESTIMATES SHOW WORK MAY NOT BE COMPLETED FOR 2 MORE HRS.. SO AFTER 16Z.. WE WILL UPDATE YOU AS SOON AS WE KNOW HOW LONG THE DELAY OF THE 12Z MODELS WILL BE... MOST OF THE DATA NEEDED TO RUN THE MODELS IS NOT REACHING THE NEW WCOSS SUPER COMPUTER TO RUN THE MODELS AND WE ARE ALSO UNABLE TO SEND PRODUCTS OUT AS WELL TO AWIPS...VIA THE TOC/GATEWAY. MORE INFORMATION ONCE THIS BECOMES AVAILABLE.. NEWBY/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Today's clipper seems to have crapped the bed for Illinois and points east, but models show it peaking over the northeastern third of Iowa. We could get anything from 1.5 to 3.5 inches in just 3-4 hours this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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