EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We jumped up to 34.2 when rates stopped, we are back to steady snow and there is compaction. Few more nice bands left before it is done. 10" lol I hate you. JK jk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We jumped up to 34.2 when rates stopped, we are back to steady snow and there is compaction. Few more nice bands left before it is done. whoa.... if I were in your place I wouldn't even be thinking about compaction. 10" is a great total in any storm, let alone a marginal one like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anyone have euro digits for tmrw night? UNV: WED 06Z 05-FEB -4.7 -5.2 1023 87 100 0.10 559 541 WED 12Z 05-FEB -4.5 -1.9 1013 93 85 0.78 554 543 WED 18Z 05-FEB -2.0 -2.6 1008 90 53 0.16 541 535 THU 00Z 06-FEB -4.7 -10.2 1017 80 69 0.03 541 528 IPT: WED 06Z 05-FEB -4.9 -5.6 1023 84 97 0.06 558 540 WED 12Z 05-FEB -4.8 -3.4 1015 93 99 0.74 554 542 WED 18Z 05-FEB -2.7 -4.6 1008 89 73 0.27 541 535 THU 00Z 06-FEB -5.4 -10.1 1016 82 69 0.06 540 528 MDT: WED 06Z 05-FEB -3.4 -4.3 1023 90 100 0.05 563 544 WED 12Z 05-FEB -2.4 0.2 1014 95 99 0.59 558 547 WED 18Z 05-FEB 1.6 1.8 1007 86 54 0.16 548 543 THU 00Z 06-FEB -0.4 -8.4 1014 83 49 0.01 545 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anyone have euro digits for tmrw night? Analysis from NYC thread: Latest European showing 8 + from NW burbs of PHL to East Central PA to Northern NJ to NW NJ ..North Central PA is 9-12 along with SNE ..northern half of PA ,, Southern NY and SC NY State.... starting Tuesday night after midnight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Anyone have euro digits for tmrw night? Proabably just a tad under an inch total QPF for you, all snow. Warmest frame at 48 the 850mb 0 line very roughly runs just above Pittsburgh to somewhere around Punxy then drops straight down to Zacks house and runs to Allentown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Euro pretty dang good for weekend event. Southern tier well over .5" qpf with good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nice band across Rt 30 in West York. Any reports? Looks like that could be the last hurrah. Great storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 We have between 6-7 in Hershey. Hard to Tell because of compacting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 UNV: WED 06Z 05-FEB -4.7 -5.2 1023 87 100 0.10 559 541 WED 12Z 05-FEB -4.5 -1.9 1013 93 85 0.78 554 543 WED 18Z 05-FEB -2.0 -2.6 1008 90 53 0.16 541 535 THU 00Z 06-FEB -4.7 -10.2 1017 80 69 0.03 541 528 IPT: WED 06Z 05-FEB -4.9 -5.6 1023 84 97 0.06 558 540 WED 12Z 05-FEB -4.8 -3.4 1015 93 99 0.74 554 542 WED 18Z 05-FEB -2.7 -4.6 1008 89 73 0.27 541 535 THU 00Z 06-FEB -5.4 -10.1 1016 82 69 0.06 540 528 MDT: WED 06Z 05-FEB -3.4 -4.3 1023 90 100 0.05 563 544 WED 12Z 05-FEB -2.4 0.2 1014 95 99 0.59 558 547 WED 18Z 05-FEB 1.6 1.8 1007 86 54 0.16 548 543 THU 00Z 06-FEB -0.4 -8.4 1014 83 49 0.01 545 535 Beautiful for us... ugly for south-central PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 A few pics from a photo trip I took about an hour and a half ago. Tamaqua Railroad Station - Downtown Tamaqua, PA House along PA309 - West Penn Township, PA PA309 "Ridge Cup" hill - West Penn Township, PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Agreed. Much better model and ensemble agreement for that storm that we had for this or Wednesday's storms at the same range... like night and day, really. Still some major details to be worked out, though, so it's certainly quite possible we could end up seeing nothing or not much out of it, yet. Of course - we saw wild swings this past week even late in the game. Heck this upcoming event was a GLC sn-zr-rn for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I live in west york, nothing real heavy. A moderate snow at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 A few pics from a photo trip I took about an hour and a half ago. Good to see you finally break out of the slump with a decent event up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Of course - we saw wild swings this past week even late in the game. Heck this upcoming event was a GLC sn-zr-rn for a while. Indeed, though anybody who had been looking at the ensembles would have expected wild swings this week, with ensemble agreement near "abysmal" levels. At the very least, ensembles agree that there WILL be a storm to track for the weekend (even if it's weak and out to sea). If I remember correctly, even three days ago, some of the GFS ensembles didn't even have today's storm at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm having a hard time seeing how we have a crippling ice storm down here IF the EURO's text data comes true. For MDT it shows close to 6" of snow followed by a rapid transition to rain near the very end with less than 0.2" total liquid after the transition. Seems to me there would have to be some major warm tongue between 850 and the surface to create the heavy ZR scenario. I'm not trying to discount all the other model's and especially if Horst is worried, but the EURO along now with the UKIE try to keep 850 near or even slightly below zero during the meat of the storm in vicinity of MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Good to see you finally break out of the slump with a decent event up there. Thanks. We had 5 inches as of my last measurement. It is/was a real nice event, and I'm quite happy with how it turned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 12z EURO is god tier. Classic DC-BOS KU setup at 144. Surface low moving off the coast to a position near or just southeast of OC MD at 150. Significant snow spreading from DCA to PHL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Beautiful for us... ugly for south-central PA. If I understand correctly that is still a decent front end snow before our changeover at MDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm having a hard time seeing how we have a crippling ice storm down here IF the EURO's text data comes true. For MDT it shows close to 6" of snow followed by a rapid transition to rain near the very end with less than 0.2" total liquid after the transition. Seems to me there would have to be some major warm tongue between 850 and the surface to create the heavy ZR scenario. I'm not trying to discount all the other model's and especially if Horst is worried, but the EURO along now with the UKIE try to keep 850 near or even slightly below zero during the meat of the storm in vicinity of MDT. I think the Euro would bring a decent amount of sleet/zr down there. Even though 850s barely pop above 0C at hr 48 (they're near 4C at hr 51, though most of the precip is done by then), the warmest layer is between 850 and 800mb. So it's possible at hr 45 and hr 48 there's still a layer above 850mb that's above freezing. That being said, it would seem to argue for more of a snow->sleet rather than snow->zr scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Congratz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I live in west york, nothing real heavy. A moderate snow at best. fine by me. Great storm today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Ok...I promise I won't post anything more about my opinions on the next storm but please look at the text data from KCXY from the 12Z run and tell me where is the crippling ice storm. This is the coldest run yet for the storm. The warmest it gets is 0 at 850, 925, and the surface. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KCXY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 If I understand correctly that is still a decent front end snow before our changeover at MDT. Ya, you're right. I guess it's actually uglier down towards the PA/MD border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 I'm having a hard time seeing how we have a crippling ice storm down here IF the EURO's text data comes true. For MDT it shows close to 6" of snow followed by a rapid transition to rain near the very end with less than 0.2" total liquid after the transition. Seems to me there would have to be some major warm tongue between 850 and the surface to create the heavy ZR scenario. I'm not trying to discount all the other model's and especially if Horst is worried, but the EURO along now with the UKIE try to keep 850 near or even slightly below zero during the meat of the storm in vicinity of MDT. thing with text data is that the .2 C for 850 temp at 12z doesnt let us know when that transition from below 0 to above 0 occurs... we could see most of the 6 hour precip as snow or it could transition in the middle of that period... plus it only shows 850 and surface temps so when there is a warm layer at 800 we dont see it on the text data really coming down now in what I have a feeling is the final burst here... much drier snow so the best ratios we have seen all morning occurring now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Congratz Congrats to... Seattle!? Haha, looks like the resolution of that map is pretty poor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Final burst of snow coming through State College now. Almost "moderate" snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Congrats to... Seattle!? Haha, looks like the resolution of that map is pretty poor. It shows 24"+ for the entire region...who cares if the resolution is poor??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Congratz That's 0Z. 12Z more south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sun is showing here already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 12z EURO is god tier. Classic DC-BOS KU setup at 144. Surface low moving off the coast to a position near or just southeast of OC MD at 150. Significant snow spreading from DCA to PHL. Nice setup but it doesn't help us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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