Sparky Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That map makes no sense...Westminster gets nothing on it. Seriously, if I get anything that requires more than sweeping I will be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Maybe that brief sunshine will help. I seem to have dropped a degree since the cloud cover came in in the last half hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice band setting up along the mountains down here. Coming down pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Seriously, if I get anything that requires more than sweeping I will be shocked. If you somehow get less than 6", I'll be shocked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 WBAL just went trace-2" for metro areas. Used the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 i know...but I am using any model that helps me Works for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 12z canadian has 0.1" contour just west of DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I do like the overall shifting of the trajectory of the precip field from WSW/ENE to a SW/NE trajectory that is what we need to see some snow forget the fact that Intellicast is a weenie radar for showing snow hitting the ground, it does show what I'm talking about http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?enlarge=true&animate=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I do like the overall shifting of the trajectory of the precip field from WSW/ENE to a SW/NE trajectory that is what we need to see some snow forget the fact that Intellicast is a weenie radar for showing snow hitting the ground, it does show what I'm talking about http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?enlarge=true&animate=true Nice band on nexrad down by ROA. How much were they supposed to get anyways? Could be a clue. Or a wishcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 This isnt't consistent with what it is showing I was right...15z RAP 0.05" for DCA...16z looks similar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 The WNW flow north of Cuba that is currently visible on the atlantic satellite that I have been talking about for two days will push the storm NW enough for central MD to get 3-4 inches. You heard it here first :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I do like the overall shifting of the trajectory of the precip field from WSW/ENE to a SW/NE trajectory that is what we need to see some snow forget the fact that Intellicast is a weenie radar for showing snow hitting the ground, it does show what I'm talking about http://beta.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?enlarge=true&animate=true Just think if that stripe into Tennessee makes a beeline into D.C. later... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow General Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice band on nexrad down by ROA. How much were they supposed to get anyways? Could be a clue. Or a wishcast. Local traffic cams show it is snowing there, picking up closer to Wytheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 So far for DCA: 12z NAM -- ~0.18 12z Hi-Res NAM -- ~0.15 12z RGEM -- ~0.12 12z GFS -- ~0.06 14z RAP -- ~0.20 Would seem pretty good agreement for an inch or just under... perhaps more if we catch a lucky break GFS 0.05" 15z RAP - 0.05" 12 Canadian - around 0.12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice band on nexrad down by ROA. How much were they supposed to get anyways? Could be a clue. Or a wishcast. Growing up, back in the days of NOAA weather radio and no internet, my rule of thumb was always that DC follows ROA when it comes to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 GFS 0.05" 15z RAP - 0.05" 12 Canadian - around 0.12" 16Z RAP looks even drier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice band on nexrad down by ROA. How much were they supposed to get anyways? Could be a clue. Or a wishcast. Really coming down right now. Was expecting only a dusting or flurries. Roads and sidewalks starting to get coated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Really coming down right now. Was expecting only a dusting or flurries. Roads and sidewalks starting to get coated. Good to hear. Looks like it will hold for some time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Growing up, back in the days of NOAA weather radio and no internet, my rule of thumb was always that DC follows ROA when it comes to snow. How well does that method work from your experience? Have you noticed any particular trend relative to Downtown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 That band over Roanoke looks sweet, seems like GFS will bust low for that area for now, has total precip under 0.1 up to 0z there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 How well does that method work from your experience? Have you noticed any particular trend relative to Downtown? I've seen it fail quite a bit with suppressed systems. With strong systems, it works pretty well, for flat waves, not so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Bah, Wes beat me to it. Grew up just outside of DC and it seemed to work ok. And it makes sense in general. Miller B's and clippers don't tend to hit either. For Miller A's it's a good predictor (since both tend to get most snow before the CCB sets up). Works well in warm advection events. It's an ok predictor on southern stream systems b/c ROA doesn't tend to get much unless there is a NE'ly component. Although the last one has the most exceptions, which is unfortunate given the set-up today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro has the 0.1" contour running right through DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro has the 0.1" contour running right through DC proper Thats great news to hear IMO... how close is the .2 contour? Wes land? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Thats great news to hear IMO... how close is the .2 contour? Wes land? 0.25" much further....not sure how useful the globals are right now but seeing the euro "wet" and support the NAM is always encouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 wxbell is showing the .08-.10 contour just east of dc. Calvert is split in half with .1 / .2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Euro has the 0.1" contour running right through DC proper I keep looking at downstream RH and thinking there's no way is anything but virga. But ROA is reporting SN- and 49%. So who knows. Nasty day on the gulf coast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Something to freshen up the ground would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 0.25" much further....not sure how useful the globals are right now but seeing the euro "wet" and support the NAM is always encouraging I am guessing you mean much further SE of Wes reading what Bob said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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