JayPSU Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 probably for the best before the usual western surge inside 84hrs. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS has an even bigger one later. That's what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Not sure if this has been posted yet, but thought you might find it interesting... http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/weather-service-debunks-rumors-of-giant-snowstorm/2014/01/31/e629ecbe-8acf-11e3-a760-a86415d0944d_story.html I think Ryan Maue was upset about being misquoted somewhere as saying that a big storm was coming to that region and was quite upset about it. It was mentioned on his Twitter account today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro follows like the rest of the 0z suite with a weaker, drier storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 That's what she said. lol. That line just never gets old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Thundersnow12, man looking at those graphics you just posted, looks like nam really wants to turn this thing far west. almost looked liked it was goin to catapult north from there. wish we could see more frames. of course lookin at this current system is seems like nam can have a north bias at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Euro follows like the rest of the 0z suite with a weaker, drier storm. 00z Euro isn't especially strong, but it has a more robust deformation band getting up into Iowa than any of the recent runs. It's easily the best run yet for me.(about 0.43" precip) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrad08 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 another SE shift on 06z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 still think this one comes in north/stronger but will punt by 12z sunday if the writing is on the wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 1, 2014 Author Share Posted February 1, 2014 still think this one comes in north/stronger but will punt by 12z sunday if the writing is on the wall. Too early. Main disturbance will only be marginally sampled, as it stays over the Pac and then heads into Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Too early. Main disturbance will only be marginally sampled, as it stays over the Pac and then heads into Mexico. should be good enough IMO...I don't need to see a bunch of amped bombs but the playing field, including over the eastern US has a ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 12z Nam nice run for Hoosier and Chicagowx http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conusncep.php?run=2014020112&var=PCPTHKPRS_1000-500mb&hour=084 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 NAM definitely trending SE towards consensus guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like another heavy hitter here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Based on the AFD, LOT made it pretty clear they expect the defo snows to end up further southeast. Hard to disagree at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Based on the AFD, LOT made it pretty clear they expect the defo snows to end up further southeast. Hard to disagree at this point. True, but they also mention that that is just based on the current model blend of track, which could/should/will (etc.) change (obviously) ...but yeah, I would have to agree with that analysis of the models given what they are showing for the cold sector shield at this point not even looking at the numbers on the plumes at this juncture...but fun to see them start their upswing towards the end of their 9Z graphs.... constant tracking this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Hmm...NAM bullseye at 84 hours. Unsettling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GGEM color precip maps from last nights run stuck at hour 90. Would be interesting to see what it showed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 Looks like another heavy hitter here. What do you think of the dry slot showing up north of the 540 line?? Any merit or are we in the heavy axis of snow? Going to be a fun week ahead by the look of things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What do you think of the dry slot showing up north of the 540 line?? Any merit or are we in the heavy axis of snow? Going to be a fun week ahead by the look of things. Depends if the vort goes over us, if it does then eventually we will get part of the dry slot. It depends on the placement, of course we could really clean up before then that the snow loss would be negligible, of course it is still 3 1/2 days so I wouldn't lose sleep over it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 IMO, trends looking real good for CMI to DTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 quick glance at 12Z GFS... models seem to be trending slower and slower....or it could just my memory/eyes playing tricks....haven't actually done side by side comps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 I think I see a low hanging back in central Mexico at 81hr. The high pressure from the US NW looks strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS looks like it might come back a little NW and stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 3-5" over here on this run. No 12" clown yellow lollipops anywhere in IL, IN, or MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 we really need to do something about that SLP on the TX/NM border crapping the bed and reforming along the MS/AL border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 GFS looks like it might come back a little NW and stronger same placement just slightly weaker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 3rd down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 3rd downWhat's your punting criteria with this storm? Because I'd think that if we get 3-6", that's at least a field goal for some points on the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 1, 2014 Share Posted February 1, 2014 What's your punting criteria with this storm? Because I'd think that if we get 3-6", that's at least a field goal for some points on the board. if i punt it's only on a major, obviously a 3" hit is still in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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