DomNH Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I think you'll get a wide variety of reports due to the long duration nature if the event, the cold temps promoting fluff that settles, especially in wind, and how the measurements are taken. Some spots that are forecast to get 0.5-0.75" QPF do so without ever getting a 6-hour period to exceed 0.1-0.25" QPF. It's like 5 six hour periods of 0.15" QPF and so measuring and clearing every 6 hours may give you a value that's like 30-50% higher than what's on the ground come Friday afternoon (ie 9" snowfall, 6" depth). Yeah a straight depth measurement on Friday morning would lead to heavy heavy disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 1.02 for kbos per frh (FOUS). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Pretty good map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 1.02 for kbos per frh (FOUS). You're golden Jerry...this should be a great storm for the coastal communities, and especially the SE MA crowd that can get left out from time to time. Should be fun to watch this unfold for you guys tomorrow evening/night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 RGEM like nam. Ct screw job on end 1 and rather meh thereafter. I'm bummed for my ct friends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 RGEM like nam. Ct screw job on end 1 and rather meh thereafter. I'm bummed for my ct friends! RGEM crapped all over itself in this event too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is the RPM the model many on-air mets use for graphics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Pretty good map. That's one of the worst maps I've seen. K/W j/k Looks spot on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 RGEM like nam. Ct screw job on end 1 and rather meh thereafter. I'm bummed for my ct friends! Lol I only have.15-. 20 Less than you on the NAM, possible higher ratio? I remember how that progged dry slot turned out last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Is the RPM the model many on-air mets use for graphics? some of them do, sometimesI think WCVB likes to use it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Lol I only have.15-. 20 Less than you on the NAM, possible higher ratio? I remember how that progged dry slot turned out last time. You're right near the RI border....not very representative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Lol I only have.15-. 20 Less than you on the NAM, possible higher ratio? I remember how that progged dry slot turned out last time.You are in a good spot though. Hartford area, SW CT might be screwgie central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 You're right near the RI border....not very representative.Anyone who borders Foster-Glocester does ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 RGEM crapped all over itself in this event too. We really haven't had any one model this year be superior than the others...they all seem to suck a little more than usual this winter so far, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Lower ratio event for the Outer Cape and Nantucket but we also get the highest QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Peoples thoughts on taunton area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 some of them do, sometimes I think WCVB likes to use it If it's the one Harv used at 6, it was a major screw hole for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianLaverty Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like I will get some good snow in Cumberland.. Hoping that the storm is a few more miles nw so I can get in the highest totals. We should be close no matter what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I'm off to bed. Heavy, heavies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Lol I only have.15-. 20 Less than you on the NAM, possible higher ratio? I remember how that progged dry slot turned out last time. You look to be on the gradient...more east of you, less west of you. You'll do fine in the main event tomorrow evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 We really haven't had any one model this year be superior than the others...they all seem to suck a little more than usual this winter so far, lol. Par the course for season characterized by progressive flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Looks like I will get some good snow in Cumberland.. Hoping that the storm is a few more miles nw so I can get in the highest totals. We should be close no matter what Cumberland always does well, best storm of the season either way for RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 This does not encompass the entire storm for areas right on the coast but better reflects the maximum westward extent of the heaviest. Hi Res NAM. Someone on the south shore back through that Weymouth to Easton/canton Brockton belt is going to get cranked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2014 Author Share Posted January 2, 2014 You're right near the RI border....not very representative. Yes when I think of Steve I think ri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Par the course for season characterized by progressive flow. That's what I was thinking...fast flow and the models have no idea. It just sucks because you think one model has a very reasonable solution, then 6 hours later it's completely different and another model flips the opposite way. Even the ensembles have been all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 You're right near the RI border....not very representative.NAM had. 62 in BDL, sticking with my 8-10 call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 I think you'll get a wide variety of reports due to the long duration nature if the event, the cold temps promoting fluff that settles, especially in wind, and how the measurements are taken. Some spots that are forecast to get 0.5-0.75" QPF do so without ever getting a 6-hour period to exceed 0.1-0.25" QPF. It's like 5 six hour periods of 0.15" QPF and so measuring and clearing every 6 hours may give you a value that's like 30-50% higher than what's on the ground come Friday afternoon (ie 9" snowfall, 6" depth). new nws guidelines dont want you to clear the board anymore, basically just want snowdepth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 Yes when I think of Steve I think ri.You have RGEM totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 NAM gives me about 1.1"qpf. .75" sounds about right. 8-10" it is. Final call mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2014 Share Posted January 2, 2014 NAM had. 62 in BDL, sticking with my 8-10 call Good call imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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