40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Looks like the 12z GFS is coming in further north with the boundary. A trend since 00z last night. So tmw HPC and the NWS will lean warm, regardless of what tmw's runs do because they are always 24 hrs behind trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Wow, GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Hydro boys are leanin cooooold for Sunday's 12z boundary placement iceeeee http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/nav_conus_pmsl.php?fday=3&fcolor=wbg heavy, heavy trees for dendirte and jeff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 19, 2013 Author Share Posted December 19, 2013 Wow, GFS Can you elaborate, SIR! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 GFS is bad for Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 gfs climbs aboard. Big big high big big cold. Ice ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 GFS is bad for Maine. That is just awful here, Worse then 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 GFS started off slow, but the boundary actually comes south after about hour 60...that is one ugly look for ME and parts of NH/VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I would like it to survive, especially for my young nieces coming up for Christmas. Unfortunately they will be here just in time to see us return to bare ground. This is a complete Grinch storm (at least for MBY in the CPV). You could always take them to the sledding hill in Underhill. That usually has snow... and is good sledding too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 GFS is bad for Maine.Looks like it has 32 f 2m temps line movin south early sun an down thru s nh (MHT) by 10 am for that qpf thump.Looks below for n conway , IZG , maine is dis as tah . 2-3 inches qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 You could always take them to the sledding hill in Underhill. That usually has snow... and is good sledding too. Yeah true. We will see how it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Will, are we just plain rain for Amherst, NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Will, are we just plain rain for Amherst, NH? It might be icing by 12z Sun...it lifts back north though...however, in reality the GFS placement of the high would probably argue for icing further south than it's 2m temps show. When the GFS is showing that much low level cold even for it's crappy resolution, then it can be a bit of a flag. But we'll have to see if other guidance agrees with the high placement and strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Will, are we just plain rain for Amherst, NH? too early to say. but we are close to freezing rain for a time. Doesn't look too bad right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Euro will be telling. Held cold at 0z and it will be interesting to see if it improves on that pushes the cold further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 That is just awful here, Worse then 06z Please no. Looks like I won't be seeing my newest grand daughter this Christmas. They were to come up from PA Saturday. Good thing I have a wood stove insert in the fireplace. Going to need it, the lanterns, gas grill, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Holy crap for ice potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Holy crap for ice potential. Bad Steve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Please no. Looks like I won't be seeing my newest grand daughter this Christmas. They were to come up from PA Saturday. Good thing I have a wood stove insert in the fireplace. Going to need it, the lanterns, gas grill, etc. I have 4 5 gal gas cans in the back of my truck being filled today and the genny has been moved to the front of the shed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Disaster for a lot of NNE. Like, disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 So far 20-30% probs for > .5 ice for the n conway- IZG corridor /area wrt 48 hr forecast ending 12z sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Disaster for a lot of NNE. Like, disaster. Generally want to see 1.5"+ of QPF as ZR. That starts to cause monster issues. If Saturday's stuff is ZR up there and so is Sunday's then it's trouble. Always hard to figure out what's sleet and what's ZR and how much QPF falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Generally want to see 1.5"+ of QPF as ZR. That starts to cause issues. If Saturday's stuff is ZR up there and so is Sunday's then it's trouble. Always hard to figure out what's sleet and what's ZR and how much QPF falls. Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Brutal Well that's a sleet sounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I have 4 5 gal gas cans in the back of my truck being filled today and the genny has been moved to the front of the shed Good for you! Let's hope the models overplayed in the end. But good to be prepared. I know I will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Plymouth New Hampshire in on the icing as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Looks close here. Probably ice considering the GFS warm bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Well that's a sleet sounding. Yeah I was gonan say...that is a very clear sleet sounding...almost mangled flakes. That wouldn't be bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Disaster for a lot of NNE. Like, disaster. The real issue even beyond this as it does not warm up after like it did in 1998 to melt off some of the ice that was on the trees and power poles, So we could have ongoing power issues as stuff continues to break from being stressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Well that's a sleet sounding. 925mb below 0 celsius will do that, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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