mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Trending colder? Vision of 08? of 98? A New England classic in the making? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Trending colder? Vision of 08? of 98? A New England classic in the making? This could be very serious up here, 1998 was an epic ice storm with 1-2.25" ice accretion on .75" qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2013 Author Share Posted December 18, 2013 This could be very serious up here, 1998 was an epic ice storm with 1-2.25" ice accretion on .75" qpf Yes I am not a fan of icestorms. But I am a fan of cemented snowpacks. Hopefully primary trends west and qpf is lighter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 This could be very serious up here, 1998 was an epic ice storm with 1-2.25" ice accretion on .75" qpf Man - I would take that in a heartbeat just to be able to experience it. Here's to hoping this trends colder for SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 This could be very serious up here, 1998 was an epic ice storm with 1-2.25" ice accretion on .75" qpf There was way more qpf than that. Some of the ASOS qpfs are not correct for that storm since everything froze up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 There was way more qpf than that. Some of the ASOS qpfs are not correct for that storm since everything froze up. Figured, I had my handsfull with other stuff those 2 days, It was +RN and 23F all you could here was trees and power poles snapping and the sky was lit up in blue with all the transformers exploding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 There was way more qpf than that. Some of the ASOS qpfs are not correct for that storm since everything froze up. Yeah that was a pretty widespread like 2-4" QPF event across NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Look at this 12z GFS profile for RUM, ME.... lol how it goes from like -7C at 950mb to like +12C in about 8 hours. Most of the damage is already done though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 6z: 12z: much more of a consensus. there was a 6z member that gave me a snow/ice storm. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Yeah some of those members were obviously outliers on the earlier runs, but this event is more of an NNE deal regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Man - I would take that in a heartbeat just to be able to experience it. Here's to hoping this trends colder for SNH No, it blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Early on, You can already see the 12z euro is colder up here then 0z @ 18z friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 No, it blows. Well it would certainly be better than losing the snowpack... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well it would certainly be better than losing the snowpack... You sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well it would certainly be better than losing the snowpack... Lol I'll take grass over a Dec. '08 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 There was way more qpf than that. Some of the ASOS qpfs are not correct for that storm since everything froze up. In Gardiner, 9 miles S of AUG, I recorded 2.33" for Jan 7-9, 1998 at temps 25-30. 90% came on 8-9 and 1.4" on the 8th. At times that Thursday the rain was so heavy that accretion was probably only half the precip, but we still had 1.5" ice. Biggest ice I saw was on Greenwood Hill in Hebron, about 10 miles NW of Jeff, a 0.2" ash twig with ice that measured 2.25" by 3", or nearly 3 lb per linear foot. So for Sunday, nice snowpack, antecedent cold, abundant qpf, mild h85s, foothills CAD, what's not to like? Blecchhh!! In 1998 I was very fortunate to regain power in 4 days. Where I live now, on a dead-end 3-family road thru the woods, another '98 and 3 weeks would be more likely. Glad the woodpile is big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 You sure? Yes because I would like to experience an significant event like that at least once...then after that I might be all set lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Yes because I would like to experience an significant event like that at least once...then after that I might be all set lol Trust me, You don't want any part of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Wow, The euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Definitely stronger CAD signal on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 ORH ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Lol I'll take grass over a Dec. '08 redux. COMPLETELY agree !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 ORH ice? getting close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Didn't the GFS do a pretty abrupt shift now with a low driving way northwest of Montreal?, more phased I guess. The GGEM, on the other hand, takes a low over me and never warm sectors the ice zones. The old Euro also took a more wavey weak low across ENY...not La Tuque. Early on, You can already see the 12z euro is colder up here then 0z @ 18z friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 so much for the widespread 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Ice ice baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Why it could be touch-an'-go : Notice how quickly the temp recesses @BTV when the boundary settles on the NAM 54000928466 08606 102014 48040501 54012989773 10312 092208 41019999 60000958453 03707 142508 46050101 60003978056 00415 163509 37969595 This is not intended as a deterministic forecast; it is intended to demo how the atmosphere on the polar side of the boundary heading into the weekend so [probably] quite chilly, and it would not be anything like a location having to wait 12 hours of oozing before seeing their temperatures decline. Looking at a different model source, the 102-hour "Crapnadian" GGEM ( I really do hate this model with a passion, but I am using it again just to exemplify..) notice the top right panel: You can clearly see a fairly potent damming signature nosing down from Maine. And the boundary is hung up in Massachusets ... probably somewhere between the Pike and Route 2. This is happening despite the very mild therms at 850mb (showing that the gradient in the thermal fields will be as intense in the vertical as it is in the horizontal in this model's depictions. Pushing this chart on to 114 ...120+ hours, the boundary almost fails to really get N of Mass at the surface. Notwithstanding climo arguments, either... I still don't think a "warm" weekend is in the bag here. Euro's coming out, we'll see.... I did see the GFS and it was pretty ugly with more amp Lakes cutter. But it also is robust with the polar high N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Looking at 500mb, there is more confluence well north of Maine with a PV lobe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Ha, 32.0001F for Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Interesting... gotta wonder how long and deep the trends can go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.