dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18Z GFS is cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 fwiw 18z gfs is coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Pretty sick temp gradient over southern new england on the Euro. 55 in south/central CT and 32 in northern MA 35*....take, and run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Much weaker primary that is further SE. Keep that trend up and the sfc reflection may slide south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Models have a wave of lift Saturday that could be mixed precip, but the main show so to speak would be Sunday. However if we sustained lift between the two waves, you could just get a prolonged period of freezing drizzle. Quite certain social media will take care of placing folks in panic mode Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18Z GFS is cold. fwiw 18z gfs is coming in colder Keep the good news coming pls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Much weaker primary that is further SE. Keep that trend up and the sfc reflection may slide south of here. I would welcome getting that under us for more SN/IP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Much weaker primary that is further SE. Keep that trend up and the sfc reflection may slide south of here. What do you mean surface reflection? Is that the main low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18z GFS was Ice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I would welcome getting that under us for more SN/IPNot gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Much weaker primary that is further SE. Keep that trend up and the sfc reflection may slide south of here. Congrats on no power. That's quite the damming signal on the notoriously warm GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Not gonna happen. I am wishcasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 You yell "SWFE", everybody says "Huh, what?" You yell Ice Storm and you have a panic on the Fourth of July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 You yell "SWFE", everybody says "Huh, what?" You yell Ice Storm and you have a panic on the Fourth of July The last thing to mention up here ice storm and 1998 in the same sentance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 BIX AFD mentions ice possibility n of rte 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 BIX AFD mentions ice possibility n of rte 2 LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... * MILDER TEMPERATURES FRI * UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE WEEKEND * DRIER...COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK CONFIDENCE LEVEL/MODEL GUIDANCE... BELOW AVERAGE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION FOR THE WEEKEND...HIGHLY UNCERTAIN ON LOCATION AND TYPE. DEPENDING ON WHERE THE WARM FRONT ENDS UP STALLING...THIS FORECAST COULD HAVE A BUST POTENTIAL. LARGE GUIDANCE SPREAD IN THE FORECAST FOR THE EXTENDED. BERMUDA HIGH WILL SIT TO OUR SOUTHEAST FOR FRIDAY. A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST ON LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY. ANOTHER WAVE DEVELOPS AND QUICKLY TRACKS NORTHWARD TO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE NAM IS THE FASTER MODEL WHILE THE GFS IS MORE OF A LAG AND SLOWER ESP FOR THE FIRST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. FOR THE SECOND THE GFS IS FARTHER NORTH ON THE SURFACE LOW WHERE AS THE UKMET AND EC ARE STILL IN COLLABORATION WITH EACH OTHER. THE EC IS ALSO A LOT COLDER ON SUNDAY AND STRUGGLES TO PUSH THE WARM FRONT PAST THE SOUTH SHORE. THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND SURGES THIS FRONT WELL INTO NEW HAMPSHIRE. THE DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN EITHER POSSIBLE ICE OR RAIN FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF ROUTE 2. THIS SUNDAY EVENT IS VERY ANOMALOUS. FOR THE EXTENDED TRENDED THE FORECAST TOWARDS THE EC/WPC/AND PREV FORECASTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18z GFS is juiced over 1.50"+ here not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18z GFS is juiced over 1.50"+ here not good Here too and into W Ma - but not sure of P-type... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I wasn't on the boards for 2008, but I had gone back and read the old Eastern threads about the ice storm that year. This seems a bit different in the evolution. We did not have much snow otg prior to it either. Sort of early in my time on eastern then. I remember how eerie it was having posters just drop off the map for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 18z GFS is juiced over 1.50"+ here not good Stock up, I know its 3 days plus but consistent signal for 3 days for interior Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Stock up, I know its 3 days plus but consistent signal for 3 days for interior Maine. I will be prepared already been thru a couple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Congrats on no power. That's quite the damming signal on the notoriously warm GFS. If models are still this precarious come 12Z Friday I may have to borrow my dad's generator. I will probably need it more than him in Hooksett. I am wishcasting Kind of a weenie comment by me wrt the sfc reflection...it's more likely that we just stay dammed the entie time until the cold fropa a la the 12z euro op. There should still be warmth surging up through the Hudson/Champlain valleys eventually. Maybe even I briefly punch into the 53/53 air...but I like to see such a strong damming signal on the globals this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I will be prepared already been thru a couple You know ski areas are cringing with Christmas week coming up, not liking the looks at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 If models are still this precarious come 12Z Friday I may have to borrow my dad's generator. I will probably need it more than him in Hooksett. Kind of a weenie comment by me wrt the sfc reflection...it's more likely that we just stay dammed the entie time until the cold fropa a la the 12z euro op. There should still be warmth surging up through the Hudson/Champlain valleys eventually. Maybe even I briefly punch into the 53/53 air...but I like to see such a strong damming signal on the globals this far out. Well if your dad in Hookset won't need his genny - then I doubt I will need to go by one. Good to save money lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Stock up, I know its 3 days plus but consistent signal for 3 days for interior Maine. At this point I find it will be tough to get the freezing rain swath out of the GYX CWA. Whether it waffles north to the mountains, or does another 2008 across southern NH is still up in the air though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well if your dad in Hookset won't need his genny - then I doubt I will need to go by one. Good to save money lol lol...well he may need it if the euro op verifies. He actually tends to lose power quicker than me. I'm right off of rt3 so if I lose power it's usually only briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 It's times like this that I'm glad I have only one shade tree and live mostly in fields. Power lines to house buried... Of course if this parallels 1998 I'll be low/mid 30's, but mostly unfrozen. I will be prepared already been thru a couple Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Word of advice don't wait very long if you are going to pull the trigger on one, You wait to long there will be none to be had once the word gets out Get propane for the grill also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 The cold has won so far this winter, good reasons to ride the cold train with this event too. South of the pike might roast in places, but along and north might be able to stay at least in the forties (bos)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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