BxEngine Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 NO here is a link too show previous posts by this character - you are what is called an aggitator - very few of yours posts are original or weather related with an educated opinion about storms model runs etc. etc. - all you do is try to start crap with people trying to control what and how they say things or little snide remarks to cause a confrontation http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/user/75-bxengine/ click on posts in that link 1 g in agitator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Nice puffy clouds I'm the sky today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 1 g in agitator. I see you are in prime form today ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I see you are in prime form today ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I tried asking in the storm threat page, but that may have been the wrong thread. I've been reading about the recent SSW event, that took place over the last 10 days. Some models seem to indicate this will split the Polar Vortex. I'm curious about the influence this will have on any low emerging from the STJ. My basic understanding is that without any evidence of blocking, the PV will overwhelm the lows ability to come up the coast. Just trying to gage insight. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 20, 2014 Author Share Posted March 20, 2014 I tried asking in the storm threat page, but that may have been the wrong thread. I've been reading about the recent SSW event, that took place over the last 10 days. Some models seem to indicate this will split the Polar Vortex. I'm curious about the influence this will have on any low emerging from the STJ. My basic understanding is that without any evidence of blocking, the PV will overwhelm the lows ability to come up the coast. Just trying to gage insight. Thanks. I think BXEngine would be the best person to answer this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Happy Astronomical Spring you guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 I think BXEngine would be the best person to answer this 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Regarding post made about the Blizzard of 1978….. It was not forecasted days in advance... (storm started late Sunday early Monday) Friday's models came in and it showed a cutoff low forming off the carolinas…. At this point Alan Kasper said it would give us 6", and Boston a major open….He was excited and surprised…. The next day the models pulled the low closer, and the rest was history….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 20, 2014 Share Posted March 20, 2014 Does The Monty Hall Door Number 3 (MHDN3) model use 4DVAR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swamplover56 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The general public reaction if we got a MECS or possibly HECS (esp due to time of year) would be hilarious to the weather enthusiast. The general public has no clue to how close we potentially are to seeing something we have never seen this late in the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The public will go nuts thinking spring is here especially by Saturday with 60s only to face a brutal reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The public will go nuts thinking spring is here especially by Saturday with 60s only to face a brutal reality. Face brutal reality IF the wednesday storm does come to fruition. IMO the progressive pattern and the lack of any blocking in the atlantic is not reallt giving me a warm fuzzy feeling with this one TBH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Does The Monty Hall Door Number 3 (MHDN3) model use 4DVAR? Yes, same as the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DRVTS Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What is ocean city MD looking like with this upcoming storm. We have a 20 man golf trip starting Wednesday there, and we're wondering how likely it is that a big storm will hit there at this point. Does it look like snow is possible on the coast down there? Thanks for any IMO's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What is ocean city MD looking like with this upcoming storm. We have a 20 man golf trip starting Wednesday there, and we're wondering how likely it is that a big storm will hit there at this point. Does it look like snow is possible on the coast down there? Thanks for any IMO's. Should be rain and gone by Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Face brutal reality IF the wednesday storm does come to fruition. IMO the progressive pattern and the lack of any blocking in the atlantic is not reallt giving me a warm fuzzy feeling with this one TBH Were you ever excited about any storms this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 The public will go nuts thinking spring is here especially by Saturday with 60s only to face a brutal reality. What brutal reality? That after a cold shot it warms up again? Seek help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What brutal reality? That after a cold shot it warms up again? Seek help.what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Were you ever excited about any storms this season? YES I WAS! Dont be lambasting me anthony , at this point of the season 60's and 70's are just as equally impressive to me as a HECS ( weenies assault me ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 what? Yes, it will be warming up. Happens every spring! It's borderline disturbing that some on here almost relish in seeing the masses deal with unseasonable weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What brutal reality? That after a cold shot it warms up again? Seek help. I get the impression you never talk to anyone or live in your own little world. Go out and take a random of poll of 20 people and see what they say. Just about everyone in the general public is dreading even the idea of more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 I get the impression you never talk to anyone or live in your own little world. Go out and take a random of poll of 20 people and see what they say. Just about everyone in the general public is dreading even the idea of more snow. Obviously, but it's in the 50s a couple days after the potential snow. People have short memories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Yes, it will be warming up. Happens every spring! It's borderline disturbing that some on here almost relish in seeing the masses deal with unseasonable weather. I think he was referring to any possible winter storm next week to dampen hopes for spring's arrival after a couple warm days. If we do get a significant winter storm, people will be insufferable—he's right. Not sure what there is to debate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 the bickering in this thread about winter storms is almost as good as the real housewives of nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What da Heck happened to the technical thread? I had a question about convective feedback and possible warm core development? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What brutal reality? That after a cold shot it warms up again? Seek help. Why you would tell someone to seek help on a weather board is beyond me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 What da Heck happened to the technical thread? I had a question about convective feedback and possible warm core development? I found it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Per the HPC's extended-range synoptic discussion: THE EARLY/MIDDLE PART OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD WILL BEHIGHLIGHTED BY A CNTRL-ERN CONUS COLD SURGE AND RAPID/DEEP WRNATLC SFC DEVELOPMENT BOTH SUFFICIENTLY EXTREME FOR LATE MARCH TOBE OBSERVED TYPICALLY ONLY ONCE EVERY 10-20 YEARS For now, I'm going to go with what seems like a pretty solid model consensus for a clear miss to the east. That will sting not only because it likely represents our very last shot at a snowstorm for the next ~35 weeks, but because the combined cold/cyclogenesis apparently represents a 1-in-up-to-20-year return rate for this time of year. Ouch. (Cue drive-by "seek help" remarks by the self-righteous) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 21, 2014 Share Posted March 21, 2014 Per the HPC's extended-range synoptic discussion: For now, I'm going to go with what seems like a pretty solid model consensus for a clear miss to the east. That will sting not only because it likely represents our very last shot at a snowstorm for the next ~35 weeks, but because the combined cold/cyclogenesis apparently represents a 1-in-up-to-20-year return rate for this time of year. Ouch. (Cue drive-by "seek help" remarks by the self-righteous) We have had plenty of severe winter events in the past 10 years- Boxing Day, 1/27/11, 2/8/13, 2/25/10, and so on. I don't think we'll have to wait 20 more years for another widespread 1-2 foot snowstorm given our run of severe winter storms in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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