Atomixwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Aliens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The wack jobs will say that it the government trying to push the storm south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It was that d*mn lochness monster again!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atomixwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 HAARP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 00z NAM wetter for central PA!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 HAARP No wonder why C PA has gotten the screws - gubmint wants to disrupt the cities! Martial law!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Hmmm....guess I'll take it. Tuesday: Snow, mainly before 2pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 29. West wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. One thing that could be a nice surprise is our location as the vort approaches and thermal profiles makes our area perfect for very high ratios if we can get into any kind of decent precip band. .2 qpf could easily be 4" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Radar doesn't look very impressive down south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I didnt think we were supposed to get more than 1-3 up here from yesterday's. Ya, that's why I said "(though last storm was more as expected)" And ya, we saw a lot of chaff on the radar while I was working at the Portland NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Radar doesn't look very impressive down south Meh, looks kinda like the Hi-Res NAM at this time. If anything, the heavier convective stuff is actually a little further north (into TN) than the Hi-Res had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I predict that a new thread will likely form in time for the Tuesday snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 18z GFS shifts heavy snow NW into SC PA. http://wxcaster4.com/gfs/CONUS2_GFS0P5_SFC_ACCUM-SNOW_36HR.gif York and Lancaster in 6-8", MDT right on the edge of 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Meh, looks kinda like the Hi-Res NAM at this time. If anything, the heavier convective stuff is actually a little further north (into TN) than the Hi-Res had it. It does look north now maybe we all cash in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The 00Z GFS snow map courtesy of the Pittsburgh forum. Apparently it came NW a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Youre welcome . Lets keep the trend alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Despite the GFS and NAM both moving the heavier slug 50 miles NW, CTP changed my point and click from 3-5" to 2-4". Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Seen this happen before, it never verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Seen this happen before, it never verifies. What never verifies? The changed lower amount or the original higher amount being lowered just before the event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Looks like maybe a half inch accumulation for State College and points northwest. The 00z NAM and the 01z HRRR seem to have a good idea of the current radar reflectivity distribution over the Tennessee Valley region. Both models keep State College mainly on the periphery of the heavier precipitation rates. Also, the 00z NAM is suggesting an area of 800-600 mb frontogenesis to the southeast which could place UNV in the sinking branch of the mesoscale circulation, reducing precipitation rates further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 What never verifies? The changed lower amount or the original higher amount being lowered just before the event? These sudden NW shifts. I've seen us get modeled up to 6"+ in events where the models days before show us getting cutoff. We ultimately wind up still getting cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Ya, right now I'd think 0" is more likely than 3" here in State College. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Ya, right now I'd think 0" is more likely than 3" here in State College. :axe: :axe: But 0" is very unlikely correct? I can't see how that precip. over the Ohio Valley is going to miss us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 :axe: :axe: But 0" is very unlikely correct? I can't see how that precip. over the Ohio Valley is going to miss us. The best echoes are moving well south of UNV, dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The best echoes are moving well south of UNV, dude. I disagree, I think we will get some 20-25 dbz for a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 20-25 dbz expanding further north now in Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I disagree, I think we will get some 20-25 dbz for a couple of hours. The danger I see is the AOO-UNV corridor being hung out to dry between the snow area in Indiana/Ohio and the area of heavier echoes to the southeast over KY and TN. It's something i've seen modeled pretty consistently since models other than the NAM/SREFs started picking up on this, and it has really been noticable on the SREF... where the precip area to the west dies off and yields to the more main area of precip that will be favoring places like the Sus valley before it ever reaches the central counties. Notice how UNV is in a bit of a hole. HRRR and RAP not too impressive looking for this area either. The advisory area for the Sus Valley does still look to be in good shape, but I'm not sure about the advisory counties near the I-99 corridor. CTP backed off on snow amounts on its new map and it would appear they could just about take Blair,Cambria, and Huntingdon out of the advisory as pretty big areas of each county are only in the 1-2 range. With all that said, I do think we should see at least a couple hours where we will have some decent snowfall, which should be good enough to manage an inch or two. The one thing we will have going for us is snow ratios which are supposed to be pretty high (on the order of 15:1 and potentially even up to 20:1) since the atmosphere aloft is now much colder and more conducive to good snow growth. So all that's really needed to manage up to a couple inches of fluffy snow is probably gonna be a bit over a tenth of liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 First flakes: leaders heights in York county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Heavy snow falling here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Dat snow (Frederick, MD): http://www.chart.sta...0437a45351f0214 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Very heavy snow in york,county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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