mitchnick Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 if this storm will park its azz over eastern Canada and become a 50/50, or at least act like one, it will have served its purpose....otherwise, what a lousy few days of rain ahead of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 We always bust droughts with Nov tropical systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I'm not seeing any snow on the high res nam maps but I just quick glanced them so I'll let Ian post prize if there is one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 sure looks line the NAM gives us some snow at the end on this run Yeah it looks like around 6 PM Wednesday for west of the city could be a changeover for a couple of hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 sure looks line the NAM gives us some snow at the end on this run 12z NAM, BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This storm reminds me of the storm from Dec 2011. We had a ton of rain with that one too. It also had the possible change to snow at the end that was supposed to give 2-4 inches but only gave a couple of hours of flurries before the moisture vanished. The rain didn't disappoint though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I called it first!! Presidents' Day IIII'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 12z NAM, BWI bwi.PNG good thing I didn't venture to guess how much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Looks like from the soundings Matt is posting... .1 QPF is snow on the 12z NAM at BWI and about the same for IAD based off the 06z GFS (rough guess)... better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 I called it first!! Presidents' Day III second, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 The NAM sim radar is really something. It is just dumping rain for 42 straight hours. I hope this is a sign of the storm tracks to come throughout the winter. It won't be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 This storm reminds me of the storm from Dec 2011. We had a ton of rain with that one too. It also had the possible change to snow at the end that was supposed to give 2-4 inches but only gave a couple of hours of flurries before the moisture vanished. The rain didn't disappoint though. Does it ever? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Looks like from the soundings Matt is posting... .1 QPF is snow on the 12z NAM at BWI and IAD (rough guess)... better than nothing IAD was the 6z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 IAD was the 6z GFS Fixed my post, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Fixed my post, thanks the story out west and for us are going to be completely different as usual...though I think me and you have a chance at a trashcan finish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 too bad mm isnt inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Tomorrow morning looks like possible fun at least. The front end can sometimes be a surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Does it ever? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Looks like from the soundings Matt is posting... .1 QPF is snow on the 12z NAM at BWI and IAD (rough guess)... better than nothing BUFKIT output just came out for 12 NAM. No front end snow for all 3 airports. Backend Snow: IAD: .3" (.03") DCA: .25" (.02") BWI: .1" (.01") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 dont we do the PD3 thing every year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 the story out west and for us are going to be completely different as usual...though I think me and you have a chance at a trashcan finish Yea, we've been here before more than once... I don't think I'll have a trashcan finish even if it does snow because my trashcan will be halfway to the potomac river by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 dont we do the PD3 thing every year And December 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 12z RGEM at 48 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/600_100.gif Looks like the h5 s/w's are phasing some? Anyway, 991 near PHL Says freezing rain at 12z tomorrow -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_R1_north@america_I_QPFTYPES_t6_024.png I would assume changeover is coming right after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 dont we do the PD3 thing every year yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 12z RGEM at 48 -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/600_100.gif Looks like the h5 s/w's are phasing some? Anyway, 991 near PHL Says freezing rain at 12z tomorrow, I would assume changeover is coming right after Don't we have the freezing rain at 32 degrees thing every year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 The cold is usually harder to scour out than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Yea, we've been here before more than once... I don't think I'll have a trashcan finish even if it does snow because my trashcan will be halfway to the potomac river by then. 1st call JYO Bob Chill Me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 The cold is usually harder to scour out than modeled. Unless you have 50+ kt southerlies screaming in at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 1st call JYO Bob Chill Me Lol, and i think you are being bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 25, 2013 Share Posted November 25, 2013 Unless you have 50+ kt southerlies screaming in at 850 Those scour out surface cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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