Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

[Clinch Leatherwood]

It's a bomb out to sea. Put the radio show on.

0-2

GGEM changed it up too, not sure where it's heading.

[weathafella]

My poor neck on the UKMET! What does it look like d5?

[dendrite]

I believe it was last Thursday night when we saw the GFS go OTS and then the UKMET followed suit and we just about "knew" where the Euro was going to go. Might not be as big a shift as it was last week, but I'm with you on this one.

Off to bed before any bad news.

There's a lot of trends toward the 12z EC tonight. It may not mean anything in the end though.

[weathafella]

Remember Scott...the models dissed us last week but in the end you got 7 inches right?

[NorEastermass128]

Remember Scott...the models dissed us last week but in the end you got 7 inches right?

He got 10"

[weathafella]

0-2

GGEM changed it up too, not sure where it's heading.

UKMET was in roughly the same place at 12Z fwiw..this would be 12 hours earlier so the end point appears roughly the same...

Here's 12Z

[DomNH]

There's a lot of trends toward the 12z EC tonight. It may not mean anything in the end though.

Yeah...I'd like to start seeing trends on the surface though and not at h5. I know that's generally bad meteorology, but that's what I'm thinking right now , right or wrong. Hopefully tomorrow.

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Remember Scott...the models dissed us last week but in the end you got 7 inches right?

10!

the usually skimpy trained spotter in sagamore reported 10", NWS Employee measured 9" towards the base.

Weatherfella I'm fine with the models for the most part. The UKMET was HORRENDOUS with this last event. I'll stay with the SE 1/3 of new england is in the game.

And my hopes for the trough are high, huge potential but it could miss.

[weathafella]

GFS ensemble mean actually looks better vs the OP to me.

[H2Otown_WX]

10!

the usually skimpy trained spotter in sagamore reported 10", NWS Employee measured 9" towards the base.

Weatherfella I'm fine with the models for the most part. The UKMET was HORRENDOUS with this last event. I'll stay with the SE 1/3 of new england is in the game.

And my hopes for the trough are high, huge potential but it could miss.

Everyone is still in the game until the Euro bows to the GFS.

[ROOSTA]

My poor neck on the UKMET! What does it look like d5?

Pretty colors but like Jer my neck is stiff and won't turn sideways...LOL

[Clinch Leatherwood]

GGEM is moving east from the last run.

[ctsnowstorm628]

canadian at 108 looks awful. looks to be going significantly east of its 12z run...

[Clinch Leatherwood]

canadian at 108 looks awful. looks to be going significantly east of its 12z run...

Its not awful but it won't be the 12z run. The thing that bugs me a little right now is it's getting away from the first 3 models we have. Now sometimes the models will rescue these systems later on and return to the wrapped up pulled in solution just further east than the first position.

I have about 1/5th the interest in this event, teleconnections and all, as I do with the trough.

[weathafella]

GGEM is moving east from the last run.

Yes. but in so doing it delivers us a blizzard.....

[Logan11]

I couldn't deal with a radio show this early in the game. Especially when they won't have the benefit of the Euro.

But one thing is for sure...man cannot survive on one model alone. We need the GGEM to be decent.

Who's seen it...where's the link? Other media on and don't feel like putting on headphones. It was a bomb at 12z but I'm not sure it's available that far out yet...maybe yes...

[Boston-winter08]

Yes. but in so doing it delivers us a blizzard.....

I'll take it

[weathafella]

I'm out. Tired....full schedule early tomorrow..

[Clinch Leatherwood]

Yes. but in so doing it delivers us a blizzard.....

It's fine for us but it's passing outside the BM which isn't great for a HUGE portion of the readers. And it's the GGEM.

I'd like to see the euro stay near the BM at least. Regardless until the models get through thursday's system I'm not that worried about Sunday!

the GGEM would appear to hit the SE 1/3 of New England but largely is a miss west of there.

[ROOSTA]

I couldn't deal with a radio show this early in the game. Especially when they won't have the benefit of the Euro.

But one thing is for sure...man cannot survive on one model alone. We need the GGEM to be decent.

We need the EURO to hold serve.

Future runs for myself, and believe is the key regardless of phase or not is the potency of the 5H southern energy. Stronger going forward the better IMO.

[NorEastermass128]

00z GEFS significantly further west of their 18z position according to this untrained eye.

[CT Rain]

It's fine for us but it's passing outside the BM which isn't great for a HUGE portion of the readers. And it's the GGEM.

I'd like to see the euro stay near the BM at least. Regardless until the models get through thursday's system I'm not that worried about Sunday!

the GGEM would appear to hit the SE 1/3 of New England but largely is a miss west of there.

With the GGEM sfc track and especially 500 mb low you gotta think we'll see a nasty comma head a bit further west than the QPF shield looks.

I think being 120+ hours out we're in sorta good shape. A really nice looking synoptic setup (better than last weekend) but the issues will be where the trough axis sets up and how the phasing takes shape.

[weatherwiz]

This far out it's more about the pattern and the setup rather than the solution...as far as tonight goes I think it was a definite trend towards positive rather than negative....but we'll see what the 0z Euro throws at us.

[ORH_wxman]

[Clinch Leatherwood]

We'd have to send Phil a rescue team.

[40/70 Benchmark]

First call with a gun to my weenie:

3-8" of snow for KGAY.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I'll take a EURO\GEM comp.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Not much I hate more than looking at GEM graphics, but that looks like another cc special to me.

[Logan11]

I wish I had the will power to just not look at one model for 48 hours and then check back in.

First call with a gun to my weenie:

3-8" of snow for KGAY.

[ORH_wxman]

Not much I hate more than looking at GEM graphics, but that looks like another cc special to me.

It still gives warning criteria back to ORH...so while CC would jackpot, its not exactly a terrible solution for us.