mattlacroix4 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The GFS has had two runs now, increasing in amounts, slowly moving towards the NAM like solution. The big issue seems to be where the main lobe of energy rotates into. The GFS keeps it in the Gulf of Maine, but gets very close to the coast, increasing amounts each run. Seeing how the NAM has had 5 runs of consistency, I am leaning towards the NAM IDEA, not total amount of precip, but the idea of it. I think tomorrows runs of the models will beef this up a little more and give a general .5-.75 for a nice swatch of Maine and eastern New England. Considering what we have had thus far, this will be HUGE for us. Might be a step in the right direction.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 I don't know about anyone else, but I'm pumped to see how utterly ridiculous the 0z NAM is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I don't know about anyone else, but I'm pumped to see how utterly ridiculous the 0z NAM is. It will be interesting to see how many more runs it can go before it finally starts to back off inevitably. The only way I can seriously buy its solution is if it sticks to it again and we finally see other guidance trend toward it. The only thing that makes the NAM have any credibility whatsoever, is that the 00z Euro last night wasn't too far off...just a bit further east and a little lighter, but still significant snows. But having it back off a bit at 12z didn't help matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 21z SREF mean doesn't appear much different on the NCEP maps from 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looking even juicier for Maine on the 0z NAM vs 18z through 36. Wonder if it'll keep up its M.O. through the rest of the run ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Maine is getting annihilated this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Very similar thru 54. Snow bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Maine gets walloped...especially in the interior. But the trough looks a little flatter to me at 54hr as it's beginning to pivot southwestward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looking even juicier for Maine on the 0z NAM vs 18z through 36. Wonder if it'll keep up its M.O. through the rest of the run ... Climo says that's where the trough should be, horrible.horrible model can not get six hours right, waste of money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 just give me 2 inches of snow and ill be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Doesn't look to hit GC or the lesser parts of SNE as hard this go-round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Maine gets walloped...especially in the interior. But the trough looks a little flatter to me at 54hr as it's beginning to pivot southwestward. Getting re-energized at 60-63 hours by the midwest shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Getting re-energized at 60-63 hours by the midwest shortwave. Yup...a different orientation to the trough axis as well. Looking better at 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coldsmoke Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 so we are inside of 24 hours and still don't have a clue.. maybe 2 feet?, maybe 2 flakes? WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Getting re-energized at 60-63 hours by the midwest shortwave. Is true. Strike my last comment about God's Country and the rest of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Doesn't look to hit GC or the lesser parts of SNE as hard this go-round. Snowmegedon, Surface temps are warm though.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 it still looks great on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Snowmegedon, Surface temps are warm though.............. what hour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It gets even funnier at 72h. It would be cool if the NAM weren't so friggin bad in this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It gets even funnier at 72h. It would be cool if the NAM weren't so friggin bad in this time range. Looks like 72-84 would be epic. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Hmm...interior ME could be hours away from a prolonged 12"+ snowstorm...yet, there isn't much in the forecast. It may be days from 2011, but I feel like we are back to the forecasting days of 1934. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Hmm...interior ME could be hours away from a prolonged 12"+ snowstorm...yet, there isn't much in the forecast. It may be days from 2011, but I feel like we are back to the forecasting days of 1934. It's the only guidance that is showing something like this. Pretty tough to take it seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 lol at 78hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 lol at 78hr. No kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 lol at the NAM It's an unusual setup but has potential to be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 Firehose opened to full throttle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 No kidding. I hope we at least get a couple inches out of this setup in ENE. It would be really embarrassing for this model to be so wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 If this happens it would be a pre christmas gift would love to see some other models catch on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 I may have to give the NAM a 21-bun salute. Holy sweet Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'd be lying if I said I wasn't really excited for the GFS and Euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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