wxmeddler Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 18z GFS jumping N about 30 miles with everything. Progression is idenical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Is or isn't? I think if you subtract 1" from each zone, it's actually pretty good. whoops, meant to say isn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 To clarify, does this mean wet as in 1" QPF or wet as in rainy? oh yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 oh yoda Sorry, just had to make sure. Plus traveling to the NW some Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Are temps or rates more important at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 GFS is not a bad run for the area, as Zwyts said above, it is wet. The GFS could actually happen as modeled (with lower snow totals.) Farther to the west could do really well with 95 doing better with the coastal. In between may be an area of lower precipitation amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Are temps or rates more important at this point? Both are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 If I'm being honest, this actually isn't that bad a call His first calls often line up perfectly with HPC maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Everyone is being very cautious...nws says no snow....I smell am anti bust and lots of criticism by the public again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Everyone is being very cautious...nws says no snow....I smell am anti bust and lots of criticism by the public again True, I decided I would go with either 0 or 6-10" a long time ago. The only way everyone can be wrong is if everyone predicts the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 His first calls often line up perfectly with HPC maps. I can't remember the last time he's be right in the part of the state. Heck, the NWS has a hard time forecasting here, but I have to give them credit, they still do a pretty darn good job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Another government shutdown?? Edit: LMFAO Prequestration? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 Everyone is being very cautious...nws says no snow....I smell am anti bust and lots of criticism by the public again I mean, what would you do at this point? I sat here and thought about it and I think I'd do what they're doing. How can you trust any model, even King Euro, that paints 4 to 8 inches over us, with a good deal falling during the day? I'll admit, I'd be nervous about doing it, but the best bet and the most likely outcome is around an inch on grassy surfaces for us and call it a day. It could snow all day Monday and not one flake sticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 We really could have used these March vort tracks back in January. It's a damn shame really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 I mean, what would you do at this point? I sat here and thought about it and I think I'd do what they're doing. How can you trust any model, even King Euro, that paints 4 to 8 inches over us, with a good deal falling during the day? I'll admit, I'd be nervous about doing it, but the best bet and the most likely outcome is around an inch on grassy surfaces for us and call it a day. It could snow all day Monday and not one flake sticks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 (From DT's FB page) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Everyone is being very cautious...nws says no snow....I smell am anti bust and lots of criticism by the public again Read my mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 If we get 2 inches then Sterling forecast would bust - but they wouldn't care cause it prob wont stick to the roads - and we would be happy because we could add to our already awesome totals for the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 (From DT's FB page) too many snow maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 somebody's looking out for us http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=de&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 If we get 2 inches then Sterling forecast would bust - but they wouldn't care cause it prob wont stick to the roads - and we would be happy because we could add to our already awesome totals for the year. It's just hard to go with more when the biggest event of the year at DCA was .4. A lot of areas haven't seen a snow depth above 2" in the last 2 years. I think road crews need to be on standby, so it is not good for the NWS to go with 0". Me on the other hand I am going with not 1-6". That is less than 1" or more than 6" but not in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 too many snow maps Zwyts bolded Randy's 4-8 statement with the huh emoticon... so I posted that to show thats what the EURO shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 I've been out all day and just skimmed 12-18z. Nothing has really changed much. I've been waiting for the rug but it's kinda seems locked for the most part. 24 hours till nowcast. It can't come soon enuf. I'm kinda sick of models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 I've been out all day and just skimmed 12-18z. Nothing has really changed much. I've been waiting for the rug but it's kinda seems locked for the most part. 24 hours till nowcast. It can't come soon enuf. I'm kinda sick of models. I am really hoping this is the last of the forecasted model snow for this "winter"... its getting tiresome to see it show up again and again... I would like some 60s please (but doesnt look like we will get it in the next 10 days at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 Zwyts bolded Randy's 4-8 statement with the huh emoticon... so I posted that to show thats what the EURO showsWooshDT should know better but in social media all that matters is reach. The snow maps have issues in winter let alone spring in an airmass that never gets below freezing. Not sure what's messing with them maybe the cold 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted March 23, 2013 Share Posted March 23, 2013 18z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I am really hoping this is the last of the forecasted model snow for this "winter"... its getting tiresome to see it show up again and again... I would like some 60s please (but doesnt look like we will get it in the next 10 days at least) End of week we will start to get there. 60 on Sunday next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 RGEM through 48, covers all of the storm that is important. Through hr42 or 12z MON, 5" around DCA and BWI just for some better timing info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 I am really hoping this is the last of the forecasted model snow for this "winter"... its getting tiresome to see it show up again and again... I would like some 60s please (but doesnt look like we will get it in the next 10 days at least) It will be unless the ao goes negative 15 with a -10 nao. We would need a more anomalous pattern than this. Unless we get a monster miller A. April 3rd? Lol I was n of Frederick in Walkersville today. I thought the weather was great. Warm sun, shorts, and sweatshirt. I love mid 50s and warm sun. The only bad thing is that it doesn't bring out daisy dukes and halter tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 24, 2013 Share Posted March 24, 2013 This storm is named? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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