superjames1992 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Wow, this is a HUGE hit from perhaps Asheboro northward into VA. The low just bombs out and crushes VA and N NC. If we got that to bomb out a tick further south, it would be better, though, for most. 992 mb SLP over Cape Hatteras at hr 186. Richmond gets 1-2 feet of fantasy snow ... of course, barring surface temps. With such heavy rates, one would think they may be okay, though? EDIT: FWIW, surface temps look okay to me, at least in the foothills and western Piedmont. The freezing line dips down a couple times and even when it's not below freezing it's close. Of course, sweating details at this stage is foolhardy, so it's just for giggles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Just based on the SFC maps it didn't look too great for NC on the 00z GFS.....VA looks to get destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Things are ripe for a major storm on the East Coast around the 22-26 timeframe. We get a spike in the PNA to positive, Historic blocking with the -AO and the NAO dives into negative territory again. The GFS and Navgem may not be far off showing a big storm in the timeframe. As Gawx said, With an -AO this strong, unusual things can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 It appeared to me that the Euro suppressed our storm into oblivion based on the free maps. However, there is a 983 mb low off the coast of Cape Hatteras at the end of the run with 850s well below 0C, LOL. I have a hard time believing that our storm will be suppressed so severely in late March, but that would be typical. Of course, the GFS showed a bomb and isn't it usually biased towards suppression? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro was a swing and a miss for both storms...but you know this is where you wanna be at this time in the game. The problem is still marginal sfc temps. That being said Euro crushes NC @222. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro was a swing and a miss for both storms...but you know this is where you wanna be at this time in the game. The problem is still marginal sfc temps. That being said Euro crushes NC @222. It certainly beats looking to the north and hoping with futility for it to come south! Here is the 00z GFS clown. High-quality porn for N NC and VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Good morning, 06Z GFS! This is for 3/23, a six hour accumulation map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Things are ripe for a major storm on the East Coast around the 22-26 timeframe. We get a spike in the PNA to positive, Historic blocking with the -AO and the NAO dives into negative territory again. The GFS and Navgem may not be far off showing a big storm in the timeframe. As Gawx said, With an -AO this strong, unusual things can happen. Who are you and where is Metallica?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted March 17, 2013 Author Share Posted March 17, 2013 There is also that time where it nailed Sandy 8 days out. Exact landfall and pressure almost. Dude - you will get major arguments for and against in that case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Who are you and where is Metallica?? LOL! Well we did get a good amount of blocking in early March and there was a fairly big east coast storm, this blocking looks even better, you would think there is a good chance for something to happen in the next 10 days. I am sure whatever happens Boston will get another 12" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Well, my weenie member has 0% chance: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 12z GFS still has the storm, just much further offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 What's the word on the 12z euro? Come on people we have snowmageddon bearing down on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 What's the word on the 12z euro? Come on people we have snowmageddon bearing down on us Lol it hasn't began running yet. Starts at 2:00. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Lol it hasn't began running yet. Starts at 2:00. As long as you have been on here and you dont know what time euro runs? 2? Since when Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 12z starting to show the infamous no snow for the foothills way in advance...plausible solution but I would punch that through Mount Airy, NC by the time the event gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 As long as you have been on here and you dont know what time euro runs? 2? Since whenWhat time does it start then? Its only out to 24 hours. It just started running at 2:00 on raleighwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 What time does it start then? Its only out to 24 hours. It just started running at 2:00 on raleighwx. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 1 Time change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 As long as you have been on here and you dont know what time euro runs? 2? Since when With Daylight Saving's Time, it's roughly 2 PM/2 AM now (closer to 3 PM before we find anything out at this range). Even my insomnia-induced self isn't likely to be staying up for many Euro runs this week, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 1 Lmao DST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 The recent time change will shift the runs back an hour. Maybe that's the confusion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 12z starting to show the infamous no snow for the foothills way in advance...plausible solution but I would punch that through Mount Airy, NC by the time the event gets here. You should try and go to college to get a degree in "Rain Shadowing" you're the best around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 With Daylight Saving's Time, it's roughly 2 PM/2 AM now (closer to 3 PM before we find anything out at this range). Even my insomnia-induced self isn't likely to be staying up for many Euro runs this week, haha. Some will stay up late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Hilarious!! Time change folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Ugh nothing to see on the Euro except at 240. 850mb 0c line into the gulf and a 996 mb low OTS. Next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro doesn't have much. Has a storm swinging through around the 240hr timeframe and goes OTS. Spreads light snow over GA, SC, and E NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 I hear ya map boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted March 17, 2013 Share Posted March 17, 2013 Euro doesn't have much. Has a storm swinging through around the 240hr timeframe and goes OTS. Spreads light snow over GA, SC, and E NC. The free maps look okay with a low tracking from the northern Gulf to a couple hundred miles east of the SC coast at hr 168. Granted, it's probably nothing verbatim but I guess we want this suppressed rather than the alternative. I'd be lying if I wasn't scared of suppression at this point, though. Then, of course, there's that fantasy strong storm OTS at the end of the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.