Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nam/old euro. Later phase is probably where this goes. We shall see. No about that qpf. Wow. Wind damage, flooding and 10-20 foot drifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I the only one who can't stand that the PSU site is always late with the 0z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah very Euro-like. Will be interesting to see what GFS and Euro do at 00z. The 0z NAM looks like a total joke and I'm surprised there's this much discussion of it. No way I go over to plain rain for hours like the NAM shows, and it's almost totally missing the southern stream energy which is indeed very potent on WV/radar/etc. I agree that it's a later phase like the Euro, but this is also a poor use of this model as it's not a model for figuring out complex synoptic evolution of systems with phasing, closed off mid-levels, etc. The ECM and GFS handle these broader features much better. I also think this is the type of storm where SE CT does well..I would personally think the jackpot amounts may run from HVN to IJD, but I wouldn't cut out GON. Areas just inland like Old Lyme could do really nicely in this set-up, maybe more than here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol that is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I sitting in subsidence on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawnmov Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I can't say that I watch th models ans much or remember as much as the pros in here, but my god at what the NAM is doing right now. It's scratching where a lot of people itch... And freakin big time! 3-4" QPF IMBY... And still going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This would be more exciting if the NAM wasn't an atrocious model....but fun to see that type of QPF being spit out, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I the only one who can't stand that the PSU site is always late with the 0z NAM?+1annoys the hell out of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anyone ever see the NAM do this before? Gosh... I've never seen this on anything before, frankly. Twice in one day, no less. But hey, it's the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the Euro showed that I would pass out. Holy ****. Lol...it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 all this talk about emass...what does it show for spfd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 all this talk about emass...what does it show for spfd? About 2" of qpf, all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anybody know how this setup stacks up to that of the Feb 69 new england snow bomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I the only one who can't stand that the PSU site is always late with the 0z NAM?They're having bigger issues than that tonight...nothing is running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 What insane qpf totals this run is going to spit out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like about 30-40'' verbatim lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 LOL love this storm. What a beauty for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol...it did. If it stalls where most models says it does 2-3 maybe 4 feet could fall. The OE contribution will be enormous for many many hours. Biggest of all time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anybody know how this setup stacks up to that of the Feb 69 new england snow bomb? I had 36" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just a crushing crushing run. Question for the mets... Normally see isallobaric flow out of the north, but with the banana high literally wrapping around the low pressure center does that imply weak convergence? Or at the very least will east flow be mitigated partially by an ageostrophic component out of the west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 +1 annoys the hell out of me Was gonna e-mail them once about it...but resigned myself to just accepting it. Figure they probably have the server crunching away at something else at that time that delays some of the other maps. If it was fixable I'm sure they would've fixed it by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anybody know how this setup stacks up to that of the Feb 69 new england snow bomb? Feb '69 was a retro-job...def different setup than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If it stalls where most models says it does 2-3 maybe 4 feet could fall. The OE contribution will be enormous for many many hours. Biggest of all time? Wow...most get 3-4" with a blob of 4-5" QPF RI-SE MA. Absolutely insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 FOUS has BOS with 010 at 46kts in blinding snow at 12z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 it's slowly catching on. that model is bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The 0z NAM looks like a total joke and I'm surprised there's this much discussion of it. No way I go over to plain rain for hours like the NAM shows, and it's almost totally missing the southern stream energy which is indeed very potent on WV/radar/etc. I agree that it's a later phase like the Euro, but this is also a poor use of this model as it's not a model for figuring out complex synoptic evolution of systems with phasing, closed off mid-levels, etc. The ECM and GFS handle these broader features much better. I also think this is the type of storm where SE CT does well..I would personally think the jackpot amounts may run from HVN to IJD, but I wouldn't cut out GON. Areas just inland like Old Lyme could do really nicely in this set-up, maybe more than here. Can you teach my wife to talk dirty to me like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anyone have the clown maps from the NAM for kicks and giggles? Can post it in the banter thread if needed, just curious to see it and archive it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 3-4" qpf totals over a wide area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Is it me or did the 0z NAM increase QPF regino wide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave5 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What are the odds off mixing occuring along the coast on the North Shore of Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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