aldie 22 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 18z gfs looks pretty good for next week...not so much over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 So because I saw snow on bookend days around Christmas, I'm not supposed to be tired of seeing the same solution on the models daily? I don't care how much snow you've had. Not my problem. I want snow. But first I think I'm gonna need precip. I'm not gonna pretend to like seeing a trough consistently to my east, I don't spew too much negativity here. If my dislike for seeing virtually the same thing modeled daily bothers you, tough. My, you anger easily. Pretty sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 that's for both systems i think Kinda contradicts the zone forecasts which say little to no accums at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I wish we had retractable Mountains..like retractable domes. When It's clipper Season, we slide them EAST and when it's CAD time-- we slide them west. WV is having a decent winter between Sandy, Late Dec and this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 My, you anger easily. Pretty sad. I'm done after this, but I'm not angry. However, you can't respond in the manner that you did and expect nothing in return. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 If it was only as good as it looks! Hey, who knows? Right? Keep the positive vibe alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Gfs is considering a box of white chocolates around vd. Or watering the roses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Gfs is considering a box of white chocolates around vd. Or watering the roses. When Larry Cosgrove said winter is over...that's when I got excited again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Liking this a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Gfs showing Hecs potential after 1st storm that cuts. PD3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 looks like a boat load of rain, rather far out, things will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Gfs showing Hecs potential after 1st storm that cuts. PD3 It's been around in various forms or another too. Looks like a wet active pattern coming up. All it will take is the right track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Both the GFS and euro look interesting beyond 240 hours. both have a southern stream shortwave to sort out. The ensembles members from the GEFS at that time range are all over the place in how to handle that energy. It will be something to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 It's been around in various forms or another too. Looks like a wet active pattern coming up. All it will take is the right track. Warm? Rain? No? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Warm? Rain? No? Doesn't matter much yet but as is the model says rain but the track says snow. The thing we should focus on is energy behind the storm that cuts and the lw pattern over na. There is potential here but it's so far away I'm going to enjoy getting clipped to death and then rained on first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Both the GFS and euro look interesting beyond 240 hours. both have a southern stream shortwave to sort out. The ensembles members from the GEFS at that time range are all over the place in how to handle that energy. It will be something to watch. Now that sounds more like our typical winter around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Doesn't matter much yet but as is the model says rain but the track says snow. The thing we should focus on is energy behind the storm that cuts and the lw pattern over na. There is potential here but it's so far away I'm going to enjoy getting clipped to death and then rained on first. Keep the faith. You are right about focus on the immediate. I'm feeling good right now. I am ready for the clipper regime to end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Long range gfs looks darn close actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Punxsutawney Phil says early spring so it looks like chances are we see 6 more weeks of winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Both the GFS and euro look interesting beyond 240 hours. both have a southern stream shortwave to sort out. The ensembles members from the GEFS at that time range are all over the place in how to handle that energy. It will be something to watch. Yeah, have to say I really like the overall "look" in today's 00Z and 06Z GFS going into the 240+ hour range. Both 500mb and 850mb looked pretty encouraging to me. The 2-m temperatures aren't great even though the upper level situation and the surface low locations appear favorable. Ignoring the near-surface temperatures, it's implying a potentially good set-up there for snow. I know, can't split hairs on details that far out, but my understanding is that the GFS 2-m temps are more or less not worth looking at beyond the short range, and one should only pay real attention to the upper level set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Punxsutawney Phil says early spring so it looks like chances are we see 6 more weeks of winter! I believe last winter ol' Phil saw his shadow and we were supposed to get 6 more weeks of winter.......... . . . . . Trouble is, we were not able to get "more" winter since we didn't have any in the first place!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Punxsutawney Phil says early spring so it looks like chances are we see 6 more weeks of winter! I believe last winter ol' Phil saw his shadow and we were supposed to get 6 more weeks of winter.......... . . . . . Trouble is, we were not able to get "more" winter since we didn't have any in the first place!! Exactly, he was wrong, as he is more often than not. Just the weenie in me rooting for more winter......as if it matters (which it doesn't). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 As I posted a couple days ago, Monday night's clipper looks like the best potential out of all of the clippers we've seen this winter. It will have a pretty strong vort with it and looks like it could get a little southern-stream moisture involved. Still its a quick mover with the closed 500mb LP in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 12z GFS continues to show potential in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Exactly, he was wrong, as he is more often than not. Just the weenie in me rooting for more winter......as if it matters (which it doesn't). Oh, I know what you're saying and I guess I was attempting to agree with you (if humorously by my previous comment!). The weenie in me is likewise rooting for something decent to cheer about this winter beyond getting clippered to death with half-inch dustings. Funny note on Punxsutawney Phil. I heard or read something that he more often than not "sees" his shadow...not so much from actual sun, but from the lights set up for the TV cameras surrounding him! Not sure if that's true, but it would make sense. Yeah...hmmm, let's shine a bunch of light over here, I wonder if he'll cast a shadow!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 12z GFS continues to show potential in the long range. Yes, it sure does! It's very interesting, though I'm trying not to get overly excited yet. Ignoring the exact details and just looking at the overall flow, the possibility is there I think (or hope!). OK, looking at some details too, how about that 1050+ high pushing down from northwest Canada (and the 1036 high over Maine) just as our hopeful "PD3" starts gearing up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 12z GFS continues to show potential in the long range. Definitely... looks like after a cutter or GL low on teh 11-12 the pattern changes and we start seeing EC storms... 2 of them in fact in the LR after 276. Its lala land yes, but GFS seems to be harping on the idea that around V-Day and after, the pattern could show us some love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Doesn't matter much yet but as is the model says rain but the track says snow. The thing we should focus on is energy behind the storm that cuts and the lw pattern over na. There is potential here but it's so far away I'm going to enjoy getting clipped to death and then rained on first. Apparently Leesburg can't even get clipped to death. Hope you all are right about getting enough cold in here to make it all happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 If only we could shovel potential. Don't do it y'all. Don't be Charlie Brown to the GFS' Lucy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 Both the GFS and euro look interesting beyond 240 hours. both have a southern stream shortwave to sort out. The ensembles members from the GEFS at that time range are all over the place in how to handle that energy. It will be something to watch. I like seeing this too!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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