mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Any chance it trends wetter? What's top end on something like this qpf wise? if anyone could really predict the weather here, do you think we'd be here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Time to pin this one and delete the pinned thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Any chance it trends wetter? What's top end on something like this qpf wise? I don't see it trending wetter but do think someone will may see an inch. If someone wanted to be JB2 they might forecast 2" if they didn't mind looking foolish if the NAm somehow verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Any chance it trends wetter? What's top end on something like this qpf wise?probably about .1" maybe like .15". i kinda like jan 2010 as an analog since it's the only one i can think of right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 I don't see it trending wetter but do think someone will may see an inch. If someone wanted to be JB2 they might forecast 2" if they didn't mind looking foolish if the NAm somehow verified. don't call me foolish. .1" liquid will get you more than 1" snow most likely tho no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Seems like tomorrow night is the real deal! Hope BWI can squeeze 1 inch of baby powder out. So sad to have even just typed that, but I don't care anymore. Take whatever you can get and freakin love it! 1 inch is the new HECS for me. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 probably about .1" maybe like .15". i kinda like jan 2010 as an analog since it's the only one i can think of right now. For the life of me, I cannot remember that clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 For the life of me, I cannot remember that clipper. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2010/us0108.php it looks like it was probably better overall but not sure the difference in such light precip events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I just can't get myself worked up for this. Good luck though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Martin Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 HPC is on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Still just .07 for DCA on the 6z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Still just .07 for DCA on the 6z run if that is what falls, and assuming it falls in one batch, at least an inch will accum imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Did the euro spit out any qpf for the clipper. Looks like the NAM keeps wanting to hold it just to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Did the euro spit out any qpf for the clipper. Looks like the NAM keeps wanting to hold it just to our south. .03" over 12 hrs BWI had .01" for 3 consecutive 6-hr periods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 I might be able to see some snow as I get up for an overnight baby feeding. Just have to time it right and make sure my snow light is on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Is it too soon to start radar hallucinations regarding the snow trajectory? http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 hires nam pounds ian's house. i hope he has cheezits and stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Im in Columbus Ohio...i will let you know when/if it starts snowing here...maybe give a gauge for us later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Phone model viewing, but 12z looks about the same for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Phone model viewing, but 12z looks about the same for DCA. It's wetter making me increasingly of the opinion that someone between dc and Richmond will see over and inch. Trouble is I have no idea where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 This run even gets Mitch, it now looks like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 Booya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 The clipper is going to be better than Friday's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Kinda funny that what we thought would be conversational flakes tonight will likely be bigger than the Friday storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 WRF-NMM and ARW from last night were basically shutouts for the clipper. For post-analysis only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Deform band should setup just north of dc. Thinking rockville-columbia line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 WRF-NMM and ARW from last night were basically shutouts for the clipper. For post-analysis only. It will be interesting to see how right they are. My feeling is that with that strong of vort someone will get sow east of the mountains though it probably won't be as widespread as on the NAM but that there probably will be a narrow band where people see over an inch, maybe even two if they are lucky. Not sure where the band will set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Deform band should setup just north of dc. Thinking rockville-columbia line. how coincidental Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2013 Author Share Posted January 23, 2013 It will be interesting to see how right they are. My feeling is that with that strong of vort someone will get sow east of the mountains though it probably won't be as widespread as on the NAM but that there probably will be a narrow band where people see over an inch, maybe even two if they are lucky. Not sure where the band will set up. oh now you're mentioning 2". weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Gfs has shown a potomac special consistently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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