40/70 Benchmark Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I'm looking at the GFS as giving the envelope of possibilities ... western-most at 12z, eastern-most at 18z. I believe the Euro will take a step east, though not a large one, We've seen that in the past Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 1'. You're expectations are high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 1'. All the chips to the middle of the table there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 1'. I miss those epic Ray / Messenger friendly battles where you guys offered to blow each other's snow if one of you was right and the other one was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Thank god its thursday and football and the celtics are on. This is going to be a long 2.5 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I couldn't get onto the Board from 3:00p.m. until now--I hope that issue goes away soon. But--what a buzz kill those 18z runs were. Afraid that I will get knocked off the board again, is there a lot of bridge jumping as a result or are those runs themselves just being tossed off the bridge in deference to what we saw 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 You're expectations are high. I'm sorry, if this ends up a 9" XMAS post card, I'll feel like vomiting....but at least it will be a white xmas, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 1'. lol is it really? I'd say odds of a foot for you are probably around 25% right now. We don't want to lose you.... you should consider lowering your benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I won't be surprised if the Euro ticks evena touch west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I miss those epic Ray / Messenger friendly battles where you guys offered to blow each other's snow if one of you was right and the other one was wrong. You will see those....it's too early yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm looking at the GFS as giving the envelope of possibilities ... western-most at 12z, eastern-most at 18z. I believe the Euro will take a step east, though not a large one. We've seen that in the past Nice post... agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 All the chips to the middle of the table there... He did say he was all in a couple pages ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm sorry, if this ends up a 9" XMAS post card, I'll feel like vomiting....but at least it will be a white xmas, anyway. You are all-in pretty early in the game...but I guess if you are all-in its good to have the Euro ensemble mean showing a HECS at 84-96 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 lol is it really? I'd say odds of a foot for you are probably around 25% right now. We don't want to lose you.... you should consider lowering your benchmark. I'm lowering nothing....this is comming.....it's time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 He did say he was all in a couple pages ago. Hah, oops, missed that. I'd expect nothing less with the Euro where it is after this year of agony. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Everyone should go to bed early and not stay up for 00z runs tonight..this way you'll be rested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 My confidence level of a 1' is about 60%...and most of the uncertaintly accounts for mesoscale dildos like the ones I was reamed with in Dec of 2003 and PDII. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Everyone should go to bed early and not stay up for 00z runs tonight..this way you'll be rested I'll text you when the Euro goes 300 miles east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Everyone should go to bed early and not stay up for 00z runs tonight..this way you'll be rested We're doing a radio show tonight, so expect the 00z NAM/GFS/GGEM/Ukie all to come in flat....and there will be people hanging themselves in this thread like last night before the Euro came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Everyone should go to bed early and not stay up for 00z runs tonight..this way you'll be rested This has zero chance of happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm gonna hit the GYM.....heavy heavy dumbells before heavy heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 My confidence level of a 1' is about 60%...and most of the uncertaintly is attributed to mesoscale dildos like the ones I was reamed with in Dec of 2003 and PDII. I'm going 10% out here, 18% that we get warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Did anyone post the 5 day HPC QPF forecast yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I'm going 10% out here, 18% that we get warning criteria. At this time, I'll say 30% 12+, 80% warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I still feel the best posiitoned folks are along and souteast of a Worcester through SE NH/SW ME line. Some of that could get screwed, but when all is looked at, I think you've got the higheset likelihood of heavy snow there. Selfishly, I hope you mix. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Did anyone post the 5 day HPC QPF forecast yet? Uhhh I don't think so... Maybe Ray should be going all in for more. Lock that immediately please. Euro love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Thank god its thursday and football and the celtics are on. This is going to be a long 2.5 hours. Rajon FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 We're doing a radio show tonight, so expect the 00z NAM/GFS/GGEM/Ukie all to come in flat....and there will be people hanging themselves in this thread like last night before the Euro came out. When I got your text I was elated lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gwhizkids Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Did anyone post the 5 day HPC QPF forecast yet? The heck with the east coast....I'm moving to Sierra Nevada land! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 18z UKMET was posted in the 18z model thread..goes out to 72 hours...but would probably be a good hit for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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