CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS QPF similar to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 a good 25-50 miles nw, earlier intensification, thus more QPF especially for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 almost identical qpf-wise with 18z NAM roughly: 0.5-0.75 from just north of Boston down to Plymouth 0.75-1 Plymouth to most of Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 i think about 30% more qpf than 12z at least.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS QPF similar to 12z yeah essentially identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS QPF similar to 12z much more for ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 qpf is the same up this way no changes, 2-4" maybe 5" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 nice run incoming.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Eeinie meanie miney mo with which met should this weenie go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 kbdr . 34QPF 12z.. dont have the exact numbers but I would guess .5-.6" for 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 0.50 line from BVY-new London and SE. BOS looks to be perhaps the 0.52 tht nam had. I think we're converging. Stay the course with 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS QPF similar to 12z a good 25-50 miles nw, earlier intensification, thus more QPF especially for eastern areas. i think about 30% more qpf than 12z at least.. yeah essentially identical much more for ct ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 kbdr . 34QPF 12z.. dont have the exact numbers but I would guess .5-.6" for 18z .5 inch is east of BDR. Looks the same for BDR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Eeinie meanie miney mo with which met should this weenie go lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 http://ge.ssec.wisc....resolution=250m I agree. I think the jump of best forcing and mid level low centers will be too late for my backyard (probably a 1-3 or 2-4 kinda deal most of CT) but once the mid level low jumps it will rip for a eastern areas. I like the PVD to Sharon/Foxborough kinda deal south toward TAN and depending on boundary layer issues the canal and places like Sandwich etc. When you get a jump of 850/700mb centers you can get sort of a sucker hole when that occurs. If I were to pick a place for that to occur it would be E NY and W SNE lol. If that jump can happen earlier then we'd be in better shape. I in my amateteurish way am concerned about the same thing. MRG to ALB dryslot? Well, technically it won't be a dry slot........ Noyes upped.... 5 for all of SNE...7 nrn CT, nrn RI, SE MA (mentioned 9 likely in Foxboro, Sharon) That "classic new england snowbelt". lol I went to find his map--instead I came out with what I think we should use as the definitive definition of NNE/CNE/SNE: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 it may have more in NW CT but we are splitting hairs. its basically the same overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 its going to be so close for most of CT whether they get into the good band or not.. I could easily see a gradient of 1 or 2" extreme NW to close to a foot interior eastern CT.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 So models are pretty much in synch. The surprises good and bad are unknown due to meso effects that are nearly impossible to deduce even 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 0.50 line from BVY-new London and SE. BOS looks to be perhaps the 0.52 tht nam had. I think we're converging. Stay the course with 3-6. ya I was looking on phone, on computer its only a slight jump in qpf for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 GFS QPF similar to 12z i think about 30% more qpf than 12z at least.. yeah essentially identical much more for ct qpf is the same up this way no changes, 2-4" maybe 5" event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 BOX pm update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 I'm still keeping my 4" threshold for now in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattmfm Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...RHODE ISLAND/SOUTHERN WORCESTER COUNTY/SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS. * HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Fa la la la la lock up a nice 2-4'' refresher here. No more no less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Models have converged, its time to sit back and enjoy a snowy Saturday during the Holiday Break it really does not get any better to be honest. A perfect 3-6 lolli to 8 type deal, just told the kids and they are super stoked for sledding and mellows at the pit. I plan to enjoy every dendrite, get out and enjoy it folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 interesting how gfs has BDR at 39 degrees at height of precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 BOX pm update: You know that map just made me puke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 BOX pm update: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 qpf depictions for 18z NAM, 12z GFS, 18z GFS, 15z SREF very similar... i think we're approaching some model consensus 18z Nam slightly more amped so a tighter gradient through CC, up to 1.25+ on outer Cape vs. 12z/18z Gfs which have most of Cape in 0.75-1 also 18z Nam has less qpf into eastern CT 12z RGEM was a high outlier 12z Euro was on the lower end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 You know that map just made me puke. The 14" you had wasn't enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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