NaoPos Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 through 84, h5 looks a little sharper/deeper out west. Height rises along the coast a little higher.(compared to 0z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 through 84, h5 looks a little sharper/deeper out west. Height rises along the coast a little higher.(compared to 0z) This run is much flatter with respect to the eastern trough. It is farther west through 102. EDIT: At h108, it is almost dead-on-balls even with h126 MSLP of 0z, granted the trough axis is maybe 50 miles west and not as sharp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 By 114, most of SE New England gets a sizeable snow storm.SE CT eastward gets probably 4-8" with a CC jackpot verbatim. Well deserved for these areas. 39N, 70W is where it passes by. Interested in the ENS. Timing is dead on with GFS, granted this is a pretty true Miller A evolution, whereas the GFS was a weak SWFE/ Miller A hybrid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Euro really close to ern ma crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Euro really close to ern ma crusher. nice...is the timing still SAT PM - SUN AM, or can we hold onto some SN- thru the pats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Would be ending Sunday morning verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I'm worried this one ends up missing us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Still sucks verbatim....the Thursday event is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 By 114, most of SE New England gets a sizeable snow storm.SE CT eastward gets probably 4-8" with a CC jackpot verbatim. Well deserved for these areas. 39N, 70W is where it passes by. Interested in the ENS. Timing is dead on with GFS, granted this is a pretty true Miller A evolution, whereas the GFS was a weak SWFE/ Miller A hybrid. What's the qpf looking like for SW Maine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I'm worried this one ends up missing us. Could happen but at d4-5 it wouldn't take much to make this a blizzard or a miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 What's the qpf looking like for SW Maine? Maybe 0.10-0.15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Still sucks verbatim....the Thursday event is better. For you. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 The 500mb setup looked better at 96 hours in the Midwest this run, it appears the deep ocean low which our storm for tomorrow is likely what keeps it from coming up the coast. Also note the Euro's usual bias over the SW digging that system, that could be impacting the downstream ridge over the Plains and ultimately the track of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Maybe 0.10-0.15". Cool, thanks. Will be interesting to follow the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Noyes on twitter: For the 1st time this season, I'm biting hard on Southern New England snowstorm threat. Sunday. Looks excellent right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Still sucks verbatim....the Thursday event is better. It would give me my biggest snow in nearly 2 years verbatim but not a blockbuster. So to me it would be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 6-10 Thursday and 4-8 Sunday wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 25, 2012 Author Share Posted December 25, 2012 Noyes on twitter: For the 1st time this season, I'm biting hard on Southern New England snowstorm threat. Sunday. Looks excellent right now I'm right there with him. I think this is the best shot in 2 years for SE NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 This could very easily be a major winter storm for southern and eastern New England. I'll try to write something up later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 This could very easily be a major winter storm for southern and eastern New England. I'll try to write something up later today Please do Sam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Still favor a brush for now. Pattern just seems progressive and not enough time to develop until the last minute. The trough out west and ridge in the Plains pretty much kicks this along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Still favor a brush for now. Pattern just seems progressive and not enough time to develop until the last minute. The trough out west and ridge in the Plains pretty much kicks this along. I think it's possible to get a progressive advisory event out of that though. I wouldn't expect a blockbuster, but a quick 3-6" on a Saturday night can be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I think it's possible to get a progressive advisory event out of that though. I wouldn't expect a blockbuster, but a quick 3-6" on a Saturday night can be great. Yeah I could see that, certainly possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Euro ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 Euro ens? ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 ? I'm on the cell and want to know if anybody has access lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I like where we sit for this one. Always better to have a scraper/near miss this time frame than something more amped. I'm am a bit nervous of a whiff to the south, as the Euro and the GFS...while still a decent hit for S & E locales...have trended a bit more progressive the past 24 hours. Hope to see them try to turn the corner a bit more over the next few days but not sure the pattern supports it. If not...we're either dealing with a light-moderate event or even a whiff. If we could turn the corner, could be something more significant. But still...if the coast can eek out a high end advisory or low end warning event out of this...I'm not gonna complain. For those getting something out of the Wed/Thu event...enjoy! EDIT: I suppose the event isn't totally progressive...just turns the corner too late to be of much impact to most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I like where we sit for this one. Always better to have a scraper/near miss this time frame than something more amped. I'm am a bit nervous of a whiff to the south, as the Euro and the GFS...while still a decent hit for S & E locales...have trended a bit more progressive the past 24 hours. Hope to see them try to turn the corner a bit more over the next few days but not sure the pattern supports it. If not...we're either dealing with a light-moderate event or even a whiff. If we could turn the corner, could be something more significant. But still...if the coast can eek out a high end advisory or low end warning event out of this...I'm not gonna complain. For those getting something out of the Wed/Thu event...enjoy! EDIT: I suppose the event isn't totally progressive...just turns the corner too late to be of much impact to most of us. Yeah, agree. We definitely have a chance with that one. Even an advisory snow would be fine after our 2" of rain tomorrow night into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I really can't imagine Boston missing this one to our south two days after missing 3-6" to our NW. If it does then we are beng punished for something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 25, 2012 Share Posted December 25, 2012 I really can't imagine Boston missing this one to our south two days after missing 3-6" to our NW. If it does then we are beng punished for something. I think this front end thump surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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