HoarfrostHubb Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Agreed meh, but not toast yet either. Small event for eastern folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 12z GFS ensemble mean 48 hr precip total not bad, all things considered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 A little better. Honestly, a 2-4" deal will go a long way for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 GGEM looks slightly better for SE areas...much farther NW than past runs. 2-4" would be plenty given this upcoming storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 A little better. Honestly, a 2-4" deal will go a long way for me. Hello Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Hello a good 3"+ snowstorm would make my dad some money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 how does the 12z ECM shake out on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 how does the 12z ECM shake out on this? Through h66, looks slightly better than 0z. Not saying much yet though. Through h72, its about 50 miles north with MSLP in the SE, and the trough is slightly more negatively tilted. Overall better, I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Through 78, looks very close to yesterday's 12z run...light precip entering SNE. closed sub 1008 sfc low over Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 84- SO fooking close for coastal New England. Captures just a bit too late...but light to moderate snow for I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nice for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 h90- maybe 40-50 miles east of BM...nice for Cape/Islands actually as a CCB forms last minute. Overall verbatim, 2-5" southern CT, more for CC/Islands Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Close but no cigar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 AWT.. Meteorology folks.. Use heads and past patterns. Stay your course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 AWT.. Meteorology folks.. Use heads and past patterns. Stay your course x3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Not bad. Lets get it closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 If I get several inches tomorrow night (which I agree is quite possible), I'll approach it differently. For now though, most things have broken badly save for the wonderful 11/7 event and the birthday surprisingly robust 12/1. So we'll see. I'm not sure what to make of tomorrow but I acknowledge at least the antecedent is not awful vs most situations lately. So several inches quite possible and then we'll see. But it's been a rough road with a sloppy 2 inches 10/30/11 and not much since. It has been a brutal period...Save for some miracle tonight, I have to say this year is actually worse then last year. At least last year we knew we were fooked way in advance. It feels like we are still paying the dues for some awesome winters in the recent past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Getting better. Lets hope we can move this 50 miles west and we have a major hit for big population areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 right over cape cod closer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 It has been a brutal period...Save for some miracle tonight, I have to say this year is actually worse then last year. At least last year we knew we were fooked way in advance. It feels like we are still paying the dues for some awesome winters in the recent past. This^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Not bad. Lets get it closer. Not much closer...I'm fine with 2-4 or 3-6" on a scrape job...spread the wealth brother! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think two things could happen here. The shortwave sparking the low comes in tight and stronger and not just shear Vorticity. The other thing is that we may be able to infuse some energy to the backside of the trough from the ULl north of the border in srn Canada. That will care out a deeper trough too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Not much closer...I'm fine with 2-4 or 3-6" on a scrape job...spread the wealth brother! I think based on the past 22 months it's you who need to do the spreading....lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think based on the past 22 months it's you who need to do the spreading....lol. True all things considered we managed to do okay last winter/previous winter. But...I'm due now. Honestly though I'm not going to be here, the inlaws will...so it wouldn't bug me if that one trended NW. I like where it is now, I think Boston south gets at least something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 GFS Indiv. Ensm. comparing 00z, 06z, 12z 12z 06z 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Euro ensembles look just se of the BM but really blow up as it moves northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nice. Gonna end up being a nice 4-8/5-10 type event regionwide in Sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Euro ensembles look just se of the BM but really blow up as it moves northeast. How does it look for Nova Scotia? I think we're in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Nice. Gonna end up being a nice 4-8/5-10 type event for CC, Islands, SE MA with lesser amounts N & W. FYP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 How does it look for Nova Scotia? I think we're in the game. Looked good for western part of NS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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