snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Will that most likely cause it to move further northwest? Mid level center gets to the MO boot heel and then moves almost due E across KY. Probably not going to get the job done for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Congrats St. Louis to LAF to Detroit. Lake effect/enhancement showing up at 72 hours in NE IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Can't seem to lose here. Whether the H5 low stays south/progressive and induces a quicker coastal transfer or whether it gets wound up to the NW and drives a stronger primary into the OV...we get blitzed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Thanks guys. I will just continue screaming on the inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 10-16" from central OK up to Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Mid level center gets to the MO boot heel and then moves almost due E across KY. Probably not going to get the job done for you. The way it handles the 500mb low path is a bit weird. I don't know if I see the 500mb low tracking due East like that, it should go more ENE than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KokomoWX Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Toronto gets in on the action at 78 hours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I wouldn't be so quick to assume, I am told it is south through 42 hours. Then again, that might mean it will dig and amplify more. You don't really think we're getting any snow with this do you? There is going to be no NW trend that gets us anything and the LES looks like crap for up here.. Fun to track I suppose if there is nothing else to do but we've been cooked for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Congrats St. Louis to LAF to Detroit. Lake effect/enhancement showing up at 72 hours in NE IL. Lol...after that, I am truly in the donut hole. I am so disappointed that I moved here during such crappy winters ..and all the southeast MI folks can guilt trip me and tell me to be "happy with what I get in a lake effect snow belt", but truth is, this area seems to SUCK synoptically...and if the winds aren't right, there is no lake effect....and the winds haven't been right for several winters. Urgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I will certainly take that track, not to mention the other models....snowblower is primed and ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 401 From Detroit to Toronto... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 clown map is for the lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 YYZ gets pelted on this run. Really starting to think we could have snowfall rates 2-3'' per hour with thunder and lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spwild47 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 What's your prediction for northeastern IL Geos? Congrats St. Louis to LAF to Detroit. Lake effect/enhancement showing up at 72 hours in NE IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 lol, 24"+ right over my house. POS model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I don't know how well the NAM does in this area but in the Southeast it almost always over does snowfall. So I tend to cut in by 25-50% or so but that could be wrong for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 lol, 24"+ right over my house. POS model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Really liking my chances here in Elkhart County with this run since I only got a third of an inch of snow Dec. 21. Moisture looks really impressive with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 With the last storm, other than that one run on the 72+ hr run of the nam that was way nw, how accurate was it once it got within 60 hrs? Not that it relates to this storm, but just curious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Lol...after that, I am truly in the donut hole. I am so disappointed that I moved here during such crappy winters Maybe you'll get your snow when the next system later in the week comes across! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michigander Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I don't know how well the NAM does in this area but in the Southeast it almost always over does snowfall. So I tend to cut in by 25-50% or so but that could be wrong for this area. You are right on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Boy, seriously, if you believe that map I got a bridge to sell you. Temper your expectations because I don't want to hear complaining when we get 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 clown map is for the lolz LOL... I give up. Enjoy the storm, guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 I have one concern over this storm and that is whether or not the convection down south from what should be a pretty solid severe weather episode may interfere with the moisture in the snowy side of this storm. Not saying it'll completely ruin things but it may keep totals down a tad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Boy, seriously, if you believe that map I got a bridge to sell you. Temper your expectations because I don't want to here complaining when we get 4-6". No I dont believe it but hey 10-16'' could be possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 You are right on. Figured as much, stupid pos model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Lock that sucker in! I'll gladly take that isolated 1' speck right on top of Flora LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 lol, 24"+ right over my house. POS model. I got no words, holyy...... that should make up for the past few winters, haha. Seems like the low develops quite the deformation band and seems stay consistent too. The other 0z runs will most definitely be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 24, 2012 Share Posted December 24, 2012 Nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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